A near normal rainfall activity is also expected over peninsular India till July 30. Above normal rainfall activity likely over Western Himalayan Region and Indo-Gangetic plains till July 20 and over northeastern states till July 30.
This would be the second straight year of drought- or drought-like conditions for only the fourth time in 115 years, which is another setback for Prime Minister Narendra Modi struggling to win over political opposition to pass reforms and unshackle Asia's third-largest economy.
June witnessed excess precipitation of 16 percent, while there was a monsoon deficit of 16 percent in July. IMD had predicted around 16 percent deficient rainfall during August and September.
More than 50 percent of the sowing of summer crops has been completed so far in this kharif season and farmers have taken up pulses, oilseeds and coarse cereals in a big way, as per the latest data of the Agriculture Ministry. Sowing of kharif crops begins with the onset of southwest monsoon from June.