Expert Columns

The recent dip in the MTF book, alongside weakness in the BSE Small-cap Index, suggests that excess risk is just beginning to unwind, a phase that has often preceded healthier market conditions.

Beyond Panic: Take control when your derivatives trade turns red, says Shubham Agarwal

Shubham Agarwal shares strategies to reshape your positions, reduce risk, and enhance reward potential when the market moves against you.

Global markets pricing in two more rate cuts from US Fed in 2026, says Julius Baer's Unmesh Kulkarni

The sharp division of views within the FOMC makes it a bit challenging to gauge the likely future course of rate decisions by the FOMC, as there are differing views among FOMC members on the future direction of rates.

Why the next market upswing will belong to the large caps

We are at the beginning of a phase, that history has shown repeatedly, where large caps lead, steady, and stabilize the market, before the baton eventually passes down the ladder.

RBI cuts rates amid benign inflation and strong growth: The perfect hook shot

Overall, it was a well-balanced policy, and we expect a long pause in this cycle—much like a batter choosing not to swing at every delivery after finding the boundary early in the test innings.

Evolve Your Trade: The missing step in most trading systems, says Shubham Agarwal

Buy call at the right entry point. If the call doesn't perform immediately but data remains positive, sell a call two strikes away from your position.

RBI’s forward guidance stays dovish, but offers no clear signal of a February rate cut

The floor for the repo rate in this cycle has already been hit. This is because the guidance for H1FY27 Headline CPI is at 4 percent and with the current repo rate at 5.25 percent, the real gap is low at 1.25 percent.

Julius Baer's Unmesh Kulkarni sees rate cut pause in Feb meet, says RBI not worried about rupee's fall

The MPC might want to see improved transmission of the cumulative rate cuts carried out so far.

Mixed signals ahead of monetary policy: Kotak Mahindra AMC sees a 50% probability of a 25 bps rate cut

Deepak Agrawal of Kotak Mahindra AMC expects the RBI to revise its FY26 GDP growth forecast above 6.8 percent.

Dancing December ahead for Nifty, 27,000 emerging as the next major milestone

With strong higher-timeframe momentum, resilient support zones, easing FPI shorts, and options positioning favouring a bullish undertone, Nifty enters December on a firmly positive footing.

Bullion eyes further gains amid Russia-Ukraine tensions and dovish sentiment

Commodities markets are preparing for a busy calendar of data releases and speech by Fed Chair Powell. Final PMI readings from major economies, US ADP employment data for November, September’s PCE inflation report, and the University of Michigan’s sentiment and inflation expectations surveys are all due this week.

Best trending option trading strategies: Shubham Agarwal

The unique high sensitivity + low time value impact is utmost important in the last few days of expiry. So, be it Intra-Day or BTST best Options to trade in the last few days of expiry are the Lower Strike Calls for bullish view and Higher Strike Puts for bearish trades

The next AI arbitrage: Betting on energy, not on algorithms

AI may or may not fulfil its most ambitious promises, but the infrastructure powering AI is set for an unavoidable and sustained boom.

Greed, leverage & complacency: Signs the next market domino may be ready to fall

History’s greatest investors made their fortunes not by predicting peaks, but by respecting cycles. Today’s environment of easy money, high leverage, and AI euphoria may look unstoppable but so did every bubble before it.

Commodities face renewed volatility as Ukraine peace talks and shifting Fed bets jolt markets

Commodity market turbulence is expected to persist as traders now await a series of economic releases including US retail sales, producer price inflation, durable goods orders, and potentially preliminary third-quarter GDP and core PCE figures.

3 best ways to hedge using Options: Shubham Agarwal

Shubham Agarwal explains 3 uses on Hedging and how can that be incorporated in day-to-day trading and investments.

US jobs report and FOMC minutes set to drive commodity prices next week

Looking ahead, commodity markets will turn their focus to a heavy slate of economic data due next week starting from November 17.

Fed policy signals may guide commodities amid lack of US data

With limited economic data available due to the shutdown, the Fed’s policy path for December remains uncertain.

Identify potential turning points with advance-decline: Shubham Agarwal

The advance-decline numbers are often used to see the inclusive quotient of the market move.

Slow and spreads more efficient: Shubham Agarwal

Vertical Debit Spreads are the spreads that has both options of the same type and expiry date. Also, the debit element of spreads indicate we have to pay premium to get into the trade. Higher Strike Calls and lower Strike Puts are relatively less expensive.

Bulls dominate October series as FPIs unwind shorts, setting the stage for a bullish November expiry

As long as the Nifty sustains above the 25,500–25,600 zone, the bias remains constructively bullish. Traders should adopt a buy-on-dips strategy, focusing on accumulation near supports.

India won’t just consume the GLP-1 revolution; it will manufacture it for the world

In the short term, Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk will continue to dominate due to strong branding and doctor trust. But in the medium to long term, expect Indian pharma to emerge as a major competitive force bringing innovation, affordability, and scale to one of the fastest-growing drug segments in history.

Retail exuberance in IPOs: Caution, curvy roads ahead

IPOs often generate significant hype, capturing the attention of retail investors with the allure of quick gains. However, the true potential for wealth creation lies not in chasing immediate listing-day profits, but in a disciplined, long-term approach to accumulation.

Commodities eye US inflation numbers, Chinese key data for further direction

US PMI readings, in particular, will be closely watched for early signals on economic momentum and labor market health, as further softness may reinforce expectations of rate cuts by the Fed.

How to trade potential breakout post consolidation: Shubham Agarwal

Call Option compared to a Futures Buy will always have a better reward to risk ratio but the success ratio for Buy Call will always be lower for various reasons.