Valuation makes the Indian market vulnerable to a military escalation. The gap between Nifty earnings yield and the 10-year G-Sec yield is closer to the average during historical market peaks
The Fed has laid the groundwork for tapering this year, but it has also given plenty of advance notice
Stocks which hit fresh lifetime highs in April include names like HDFC, Maruti Suzuki, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Yes Bank, P&G, MRF, RBL Bank, Dalmia Bharat, Godrej Industries, Natco Pharma, IIFL Holdings, Future Retail, Jubilant Life Sciences, Exide etc.
An untoward outcome of the UP elections could hit market sentiment for a couple of days but the buoyant fund flows will limit decline, according to Pramod Gubbi, Head of Equities at Ambit Capital.
It has been a buoyant start to the year for Indian equities. Strong domestic flows, absence of any major negative surprises in the Budget and a general lack of alternative investment options have overshadowed the worry of demonetisation delaying earnings recovery.
Manish Gunwani, senior fund manager at ICICI Prudential AMC believes dollar trajectory will be the key variable in the short-term