Today's gains in HDFC Banks stock came even as the Nifty Bank index flattened out. The stock found support from Macquarie, which said it expects HDFC Bank to deliver a strong earnings trajectory over the next two years.
Bank Nifty has gained 14.2 percent over the past year, outperforming the NSE Nifty 50, which has risen 6.8 percent in the same period.
Slippages across banks have risen 26% on-year to Rs 63,000 crore, with private banks recording a sharper 41% rise, said Siddhartha Bhaiya of Aequitas Investment, adding that a rise in lower-quality retail loans coupled with lack of low-cost CASA deposits has resulted in some stress in the microfinance space.
Bank Nifty rallied for the 12th consecutive session on September 18, climbing 4 percent in two weeks as credit growth optimism, asset quality stability, and policy support lifted banking stocks
Analysts cautioned that the coming quarters may stay subdued as the full impact of repo rate cuts is yet to play out on profitability
Downgrades pile up, yet most brokerages remain cautious despite deep-value appeal
Defence stocks remained in focus amid continued investor interest, while textile stocks saw profit-booking and banking stocks came under pressure after sharp declines in HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank ADRs
Q4 results from leading private sector lenders—HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, and Axis Bank—have so far received positive reactions from brokerages
Amid uncertainty over Trump tariffs, Indian banks are leading the stock market rebound from the front
To strengthen credit availability across key sectors, the revised PSL norms will introduce higher loan limits, expand eligibility criteria, and set increased lending targets for banks
"Growth multiples that banks once enjoyed will no longer be available unless they return to strong growth," says Ashish Gupta, Chief Investment Officer at Axis MF.
Analysts had said that with more tax exemptions, people would have more money in hand, which could improve deposit and credit growth for banks.
Analysts expect the government to maintain a strong focus on capital expenditure, particularly in roads, railways, and urban development, to spur investment opportunities and thus credit demand for banks.
Banking sector is eagerly awaiting measures in the 2025 Union Budget to stimulate credit expansion and improve liquidity, fostering future growth
Brokerages remain largely positive on the private lender as loan-to-deposit ratio (LDR) fell below 100 percent for the first time after merger
The acquired loans are categorised as standard assets, further aligning with Kotak Mahindra Bank's plan to accelerate growth and expand its market share
SBI is expected to register healthy 10 percent YoY growth in net interest income (NII) to Rs 43,464 crore in Q2FY25
Brokerages were impressed by the results and retained their 'buy' calls, seeing up to 36 percent upside potential.
Following its Q2 update, Kotak Institutional Equities maintained their 'buy' rating and kept target price unchanged at Rs 160 per share
Apart from IndusInd Bank, Kotak Mahindra, RBL Bank, and AU Small Finance Bank have reported stress in their asset quality, with significant increase in bad loans driven by stress in credit card and microfinance loans
Profit is estimated to rise by 7 percent YoY to Rs 10,667 crore in Q2FY25, as compared to Rs 10,261 crore in the year-ago period.
While the bank faces persistent stress in the micro-finance segment, management remains hopeful that disbursements will normalise soon, driving recovery
Weaker loan growth, higher slippages, shrinking margins, and the RBI's restrictions on its digital banking operations impacted the bank’s Q2 performance, with brokerages warning that these challenges could remain key concerns moving forward
The consensus view is that the bank is on a stable path to address post-merger challenges as NII, profit metrics grow and credit to deposit ratio drops
Bank of Baroda also announced its decision to divest its Oman operations to Bank Dhofar