What deserves credit is that despite delivering the customary pre-election sops, the budget exercised restraint and did not lose sight of long-term value creation
Paytm’s debacle shows that fintechs cannot function like the Wild West anymore and claim to be above rules. Even so, there are some lessons for the regulator too here.
We had hoped that this year the budget will include, among other reforms, policy upgrades to classify investment trusts as an equity or equity-like instrument or allow us to participate in mainstream indices, but lack of any major update has left the sector disappointed.
At a time when private capex is expected to revive, the government’s commitment to cut its expenses will bode well for the cost of borrowing of the private sector.
The government has re-emphasized its commitment towards e-mobility, and has clearly articulated that it will be looking at supporting the manufacturing and charging infrastructure Shruti Saboo
The budget not only allay fears of populist measures, but reaffirms the government’s focus on infrastructure development and the commitment to follow the path of fiscal consolidation
The interim budget has used a positive economic backdrop to strengthen the long-term growth impulses provided by public investments, build back fiscal buffers to counter future shocks and aims to put public debt on a downward path to free up space for productive spending
Who will actually give these loans? What are the sunrise sectors? What kind of entrepreneurs and companies will qualify?
The commitment to rooftop solarisation, providing 300 units of free electricity monthly to 1 crore households, is a groundbreaking move. Beyond the evident cost savings for citizens, this initiative aligns seamlessly with country's efforts to reduce emission intensity and achieve net-zero emissions.
While the start-up ecosystem will be disappointed at the lack of tax-related incentives to encourage domestic investment, they can take heart from the budget’s encouragement of entrepreneurship
Development of infrastructure network, by way of roads, dedicated freight corridors, railway stations, etc will boost demand for housing in Tier 2 and 3 cities
Empowering the marginalized sections of society has been a focal point of this Budget. By targeting the upliftment of the poor, women, youth, and farmers, the government is addressing the roots of socio-economic disparities.
Lower government borrowing, combined with the Indian bond market’s inclusion in global bond indices will lead to strong inflows into India, generating funds to build long term infrastructure projects that boost the GDP, provide employment and keeps the INR stable
The government has retained its focus on infrastructure creation but the real action for companies is after a new government is elected
What are the signals from the Interim Budget? What strategy does the government have in pruning the fiscal deficit? Why is the onus on the private sector now?
The focus is on directing more institutional credit and implementation of the key government schemes
Banks will struggle with slower credit growth while corporate bonds are set to become more attractive
The soft assumptions on gross domestic product (GDP) growth, tax growth and revenues gives the economic numbers far more legitimacy than was expected
In a speech lasting less than an hour – the shortest in recent memory – the FM unambiguously showcased her government’s confidence in returning to power in the general election based on its track record and not promises of freebies. In 2019, the BJP-led NDA was on the backfoot and was forced to announce a quarterly stipend for farmers and direct tax concessions for the lower middle class
Market interest in the budget has been low since it was an interim one, and it was proved right. Attention will now shift to global events such as the Fed’s interest rate cuts and geopolitics while the next domestic trigger could be elections
Private sector innovation in sunrise sectors will be greatly facilitated by allowing them greater access to grants. Private sector research requires long term patient capital. Funding models such as permanent capital vehicles have been established globally. Innovation ecosystems require such frameworks in order to be able to invest resources
A lower deficit automatically translates into a lower supply of bonds from the government. Indeed, the gross borrowing of the government is pegged at Rs 14.13 lakh crore, lower than Rs 15.43 lakh crore for FY24.
Focus on deep tech investments in defence and a Rs 1 lakh crore corpus for tech-savvy youngsters to fuel their startup dreams are the most prominent digital economy-related announcements. A disclosure on the progress of announcements relating to AI and DPI made in last year’s budget would have helped
Hopes that the government could put more money in the hands of low-income consumers were not realised. Demand recovery is likely to remain gradual
India’s banks are the biggest investors in the government’s bond issuance every year and they hold a little over 37 percent of outstanding government bonds