February 20, 2017 / 17:03 IST
Aurobindo’s (ARBP) Q3FY17 EBITDA (up 9% YoY) was 4% below our estimate. Gross/ EBITDA margin declined 180 bps/170 bps QoQ on increased price erosion of key oral solid products (gAbilify, gEntecavir) in US. While injectables grew over 80%, the growth could soften given withdrawal (post injunction) of isosulfan blue.
Outlook
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We cut FY18/19E EPS by 6%/7% given increasing pricing pressure in US and higher R&D costs. We revise TP to Rs 800 (17x Dec’18) vs. Rs 860 earlier. While we expect near term pressure, we maintain BUY as we expect growth to pick up with increased capacity in FY18.
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