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BNP Paribas sees further downside to Sensex

Given the intensifying macro headwinds, political uncertainties and downside risks to earnings, we believe there might be further downside to Sensex, says Manishi Raychaudhuri of BNP Paribas.

May 11, 2011 / 10:17 IST

Here are experts equity calls for the day on how the markets are expected to trade:


Manishi Raychaudhuri, BNP Paribas: Given the intensifying macro headwinds, political uncertainties and downside risks to earnings, we believe there might be further downside to Sensex. If we assume 4% downside to our EPS estimates for FY12 and FY13, and the Sensex trading down to a 10% discount to its long-term average of 13.5x, it would imply a near-term floor of 17000. L&T, Axis Bank, IndusInd Bank, Bajaj Auto, TCS and RIL are at attractive levels.

Ian Scott, Nomura: We think it is too early to discount an end to the tightening and continue to be Underweight emerging markets and Asia ex-Japan in our recommended global portfolio. We conclude that there is a policy induced element to the current upswing in EM inflation, something that is unlikely to be masked entirely by lower commodity prices.

first published: May 11, 2011 07:47 am

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