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Santosh Nair

Executive Editor, Special Projects

Moneycontrol

Santosh Nair is Executive Editor, Special Projects, Moneycontrol.He has been writing on the financial markets for over two decades, having previously worked with Business Standard, myiris.com, Crisil Market Wire and The Economic Times.He is also the author of the popular book on Indian markets, Bulls, Bears and Other Beasts.

Short Call: Beware of sucker rally, the domestic liquidity argument, Hind Zinc, Titan, Dhanuka Agritech, UPL in focus

BUSINESS

Short Call: Beware of sucker rally, the domestic liquidity argument, Hind Zinc, Titan, Dhanuka Agritech, UPL in focus

Down cycles are not fun. But they form the basis for enormous future profitability. - Steve Schwarzman

Short Call: Why market veterans are wary; Oberoi Realty, Suzlon, Bajaj Electricals, Supreme Industries in focus

BUSINESS

Short Call: Why market veterans are wary; Oberoi Realty, Suzlon, Bajaj Electricals, Supreme Industries in focus

"Wall Street sells stocks and bonds, but what it really peddles is hope." - Jason Zweig

Budget 2024: Bulls leap over yet another wall of worry, this time higher capital market taxes

BUSINESS

Budget 2024: Bulls leap over yet another wall of worry, this time higher capital market taxes

Prashant Jain of 3P Investment Managers said the Budget was overall positive despite the tax hikes, but he is cautious in his outlook, barring some pockets of the market.

Short Call: No market for bears, AC stocks have a cool run, steel, paints, Man, HUDCO, Kalpataru, Bajaj Auto in focus

BUSINESS

Short Call: No market for bears, AC stocks have a cool run, steel, paints, Man, HUDCO, Kalpataru, Bajaj Auto in focus

“The most important word in the world of money is cash flow, the second most important word is leverage.” - Robert Kiyosaki

Short Call: Hour of reckoning for bulls, green shoots in logistics, steady Q1 for QSR; Indian Hotels, Titan, DOMS, Raymond, Macrotech in focus

BUSINESS

Short Call: Hour of reckoning for bulls, green shoots in logistics, steady Q1 for QSR; Indian Hotels, Titan, DOMS, Raymond, Macrotech in focus

“History shows that bull markets can go well beyond rational valuation levels as long as the outlook for future earnings is positive.” - Peter Bernstein

Short Call: Mutual fund investors chase momentum; capex cycle, Lupin, ITC, Persistent, Inox Wind in focus

BUSINESS

Short Call: Mutual fund investors chase momentum; capex cycle, Lupin, ITC, Persistent, Inox Wind in focus

“Opportunities come infrequently. When it rains gold, put out the bucket, not the thimble.” Warren Buffett

Short Call: It continues to be a mix picture for chemicals and the economy; MGL, IGL earnings may surprise, Gujarat Gas margins to hurt

BUSINESS

Short Call: It continues to be a mix picture for chemicals and the economy; MGL, IGL earnings may surprise, Gujarat Gas margins to hurt

MGL and IGL will report double-digit volume growth on a low base, while margin weakness is expected drag Gujarat Gas sequentially, despite better volumes in Morbi.

Short Call: The HDFC Bank puzzle, muted hiring trends, IEX, Coal India, Marico, Safari in focus

BUSINESS

Short Call: The HDFC Bank puzzle, muted hiring trends, IEX, Coal India, Marico, Safari in focus

“You make most of your money in a bear market, you just don’t realize it at the time.” Shelby Cullom Davis

Short Call: NBFCs face struggles; hospitality shines; focus on Navin Fluorine, Zomato, Wockhardt, Varun Beverages

BUSINESS

Short Call: NBFCs face struggles; hospitality shines; focus on Navin Fluorine, Zomato, Wockhardt, Varun Beverages

Higher FII flows have led to the softening of G-sec yields, more NBFCs are raising funds through corporate bonds as banking funding has reduced, and lastly, liquidity, in general, is tight.

Short Call: Earnings season surprise, high inflation, telecom rally, steel case; Bharat Dynamix, Inox Wind, Godrej Properties in focus

BUSINESS

Short Call: Earnings season surprise, high inflation, telecom rally, steel case; Bharat Dynamix, Inox Wind, Godrej Properties in focus

The near one-way rally in stock prices indicates that the earnings season will have more positive surprises than negative ones.

Short Call: Bulls take shine to cement stocks, Dr Reddy’s, Cipla, HUL, Fine Organics in focus

BUSINESS

Short Call: Bulls take shine to cement stocks, Dr Reddy’s, Cipla, HUL, Fine Organics in focus

"Lower costs are the handmaiden of higher returns." - John Bogle

Short Call: Bulls are dancing to liquidity tune, auto faces bumpy ride, Price Pipes, Stylam, LIC Housing Finance, Shivalik in focus

BUSINESS

Short Call: Bulls are dancing to liquidity tune, auto faces bumpy ride, Price Pipes, Stylam, LIC Housing Finance, Shivalik in focus

“In a bear market nearly every stock goes down, in a bull market not all stocks advance.” - Fred C. Kelly

Short Call: Bull market in realty, Kalpataru, Olectra, PVR, Gulf Oil in focus

BUSINESS

Short Call: Bull market in realty, Kalpataru, Olectra, PVR, Gulf Oil in focus

“The stock market is a device for separating the many from their money.” - Ralph Nader

Myth of stock market eating into bank deposits, foreign investors’ FOMO, MGL, Star Health, Prestige in focus, bears gun for Ujjivan Small Fin

BUSINESS

Myth of stock market eating into bank deposits, foreign investors’ FOMO, MGL, Star Health, Prestige in focus, bears gun for Ujjivan Small Fin

"Sell a stock because the company’s fundamentals deteriorate, not because the sky is falling." - Peter Lynch

Short Call: Bulls bet on retail buying power, Tata Comm, HPCL, Mankind, Arvind in focus

BUSINESS

Short Call: Bulls bet on retail buying power, Tata Comm, HPCL, Mankind, Arvind in focus

"The best kept secret in the investing world: Almost nothing turns out as expected." - Harry Browne

Short Call: RBI may go easy on rate cut, Sun TV at 6-year higher, analysts upbeat on Tata Motors, Federal Bank rallies

BUSINESS

Short Call: RBI may go easy on rate cut, Sun TV at 6-year higher, analysts upbeat on Tata Motors, Federal Bank rallies

"Investing is a funny business. It's easy to be average; just buy an index fund. It's hard to be above average." - Howard Marks

US Fed's new ‘Dot Plot' forecast signals only one rate cut by end of 2024

BUSINESS

US Fed's new ‘Dot Plot' forecast signals only one rate cut by end of 2024

The US Federal Reserve's latest dot plot projects only one quarter-point rate cut by the end of 2024, down from earlier forecasts of multiple cuts.

Short Call: India’s Gamestop moment? China’s iron ore puzzle, Honasa, Suzlon, HCC, Tata Consumer in focus

BUSINESS

Short Call: India’s Gamestop moment? China’s iron ore puzzle, Honasa, Suzlon, HCC, Tata Consumer in focus

“Taking risks today for tomorrow's reward is both challenging and difficult. Unbridled optimism must be tempered with reality.” - Sam Zell

Short Call: Watching every signal from Delhi, no respite for chemicals, GMDC, SBI, CEAT, Mahanagar Gas

BUSINESS

Short Call: Watching every signal from Delhi, no respite for chemicals, GMDC, SBI, CEAT, Mahanagar Gas

"The broker said the stock was “poised to move.” Silly me, I thought he meant up" - Randy Thurman

Short Call: The everything rally, earnings picture, cushion for market; Indigo, Tata Motors, Dabur, Wipro in focus

BUSINESS

Short Call: The everything rally, earnings picture, cushion for market; Indigo, Tata Motors, Dabur, Wipro in focus

"Owning stocks is like having children – don’t get involved with more than you can handle." - Peter Lynch

Short Call: Focus still on Delhi as bulls bet on Modi magic; Page Industries, ITC, Heritage Foods, United Spirits in focus

BUSINESS

Short Call: Focus still on Delhi as bulls bet on Modi magic; Page Industries, ITC, Heritage Foods, United Spirits in focus

"It’s precisely when people can’t see what it is that could make things turn down that risk is the highest." - Howard Marks

Short Call: BJP allies to set market mood near term; HNIs wait and watch, HUL, Max Financial, Gujarat Gas in focus

BUSINESS

Short Call: BJP allies to set market mood near term; HNIs wait and watch, HUL, Max Financial, Gujarat Gas in focus

"There are two hedges I know of; one is cash and the other is knowledge." - Bruce Berkowitz

Short Call: Reality check for momentum players, from defence to defensives; BEL, RITES, Lemon Tree, Coal India in focus

BUSINESS

Short Call: Reality check for momentum players, from defence to defensives; BEL, RITES, Lemon Tree, Coal India in focus

“Price is a creature of the market’s mood. In booms, it is set by the greediest buyer; in busts by the most fearful seller” – Benjamin Graham

Poll verdict not a threat to reforms, but PSU stocks could see uncertainty, says ithought's Shyam Sekhar

BUSINESS

Poll verdict not a threat to reforms, but PSU stocks could see uncertainty, says ithought's Shyam Sekhar

The market veteran feels any selling over the next few sessions will be absorbed.

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