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Saibal Dasgupta

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The Eastern Window: In Trump era, might is right will be the new geopolitical mantra

POLITICS

The Eastern Window: In Trump era, might is right will be the new geopolitical mantra

Donald Trump’s claims on foreign territories such as Greenland would create political confusion and break up the established system of each country respecting the sovereignty of other countries. He will make is easy for leaders like China’s Xi Jinping and Russia’s Vladimir Putin to do whatever they wish

The Eastern Window: What message is Xi Jinping sending through the dam project in Tibet?

BUSINESS

The Eastern Window: What message is Xi Jinping sending through the dam project in Tibet?

Why is Xi Jinping building the world's largest dam on the Brahmaputra in Tibet, a move that will be harmful to India, while at the same time making a show of mending fences with us? 

External factors will have a major impact on India’s economy in 2025

BUSINESS

External factors will have a major impact on India’s economy in 2025

Though 2025 will open up new opportunities, the Indian economy will face adverse headwinds blowing from diverse geopolitical tensions.  Relations with the U.S. would play a key role in helping India deal with the changing scenario 

The Eastern Window: India-Sri Lanka relations soar but hurdles remain

WORLD

The Eastern Window: India-Sri Lanka relations soar but hurdles remain

Sri Lanka's President Anura Kumara Dissanayake’s visit to New Delhi show that he has overcome his past opposition towards India and is ready to do business. But he is also trying to balance his relations with India and China

The Eastern Window: How the end of Assad's reign over Syria alters Middle East power equations

WORLD

The Eastern Window: How the end of Assad's reign over Syria alters Middle East power equations

The fall of the Assad regime has created a power vacuum in Syria with several countries keen to exploit the situation by supporting or weakening the new leader, Jolani. Little attention is being paid to the declining economy that has left millions of Syrians starving and helpless

The Eastern Window: Nepal-China deal poses strategic challenge to India

BUSINESS

The Eastern Window: Nepal-China deal poses strategic challenge to India

Nepal’s PM Oli has signed an agreement allowing China to build connectivity infrastructure under the BRI scheme. This could pose a strategic challenge for India while Nepal risks getting into a debt trap 

The Eastern Window: Global markets bear the brunt of overcapacity in Chinese manufacturing

BUSINESS

The Eastern Window: Global markets bear the brunt of overcapacity in Chinese manufacturing

The U.S. and E.U. are creating additional trade barriers for China. The move may hurt developing countries like India as China may resort to heavy dumping of goods on India and other developing countries

The Eastern Window: India needs to reconsider its policy towards the new Bangladesh leadership

POLITICS

The Eastern Window: India needs to reconsider its policy towards the new Bangladesh leadership

Bangladesh is frantically trying to improve its relations with China and Pakistan. There may be bigger risks along the Bangladesh border which has been a source of smuggled arms for a long time. India may need to reconsider its Bangladesh policy 

The Eastern Window: Can India's outreach succeed in Africa where China holds big sway?

BUSINESS

The Eastern Window: Can India's outreach succeed in Africa where China holds big sway?

China’s growing influence in African countries and its zero-tariff plan is a tough challenge to competitors

The Eastern Window: Is the world ready to call Trump’s bluff?

BUSINESS

The Eastern Window: Is the world ready to call Trump’s bluff?

Trump's policies are likely to face strong pushback from the affected countries and may come back to haunt the US 

Trump or Harris: two different foreign policy approaches for India

BUSINESS

Trump or Harris: two different foreign policy approaches for India

If elected, Kamala Harris and Donald Trump would influence India’s foreign policy in different ways. New Delhi will have to undergo some difficult policy adjustments but there is no way any American president can push and shove the new India with its wide political influence

The Eastern Window: Is BRICS emerging as a counterweight to US power?

BUSINESS

The Eastern Window: Is BRICS emerging as a counterweight to US power?

The recent BRICS meeting exposed the limits to US power as the group challenged the economic sanctions regime and pushed for the de-dollarisation agenda. The next US president would have to decide whether it would confront the group as a geopolitical rival or resolve pending issues through dialogue 

The Eastern Window | Canada's Trudeau finds himself isolated on allegations made against India

BUSINESS

The Eastern Window | Canada's Trudeau finds himself isolated on allegations made against India

India treats the Khalistan-related controversies in the US and Canada as separate issues. Canada has not got much support from other countries with a large Sikh population in the controversy

The Eastern Window: China struggles to resolve economic challenges with a stimulus package

BUSINESS

The Eastern Window: China struggles to resolve economic challenges with a stimulus package

Economists are asking why China has withheld the release of a full-sized stimulus package to address the economic challenges and achieve the target of 5% GDP growth. The Chinese leadership is looking for a consensus on the contents of the package because it has political overtones and is also watching the outcome of the US elections 

The Eastern Window | Whether it's Trump or Harris in office, US policy on Middle East will be written in Tel Aviv

BUSINESS

The Eastern Window | Whether it's Trump or Harris in office, US policy on Middle East will be written in Tel Aviv

The US presidential election in November is unlikely to alter Washington’s wholehearted support for Israel even if its conflict with Iran results in severe harm to the global economy

The Eastern Window: At 75, China is anxious to match US power in the next 25 years

BUSINESS

The Eastern Window: At 75, China is anxious to match US power in the next 25 years

China has crossed several milestones in the 75 years since the creation of the People’s Republic. But the country which transformed itself from abject poverty to being the “factory to the world”, now wants to match the U.S. in economic and military power

The Eastern Window: With rising Chinese influence, Myanmar can emerge as a grave security risk

BUSINESS

The Eastern Window: With rising Chinese influence, Myanmar can emerge as a grave security risk

India’s decision to set up a 1600-km fence along the Myanmar border is not merely meant to check the free flow of insurgents, arms and narcotics. It is also driven by concerns about China’s growing footprint in Myanmar which can be a security threat in coming years 

It's time to assess India’s gains from Quad membership

BUSINESS

It's time to assess India’s gains from Quad membership

PM Modi’s coming visit to the U.S. to attend the meeting of the Quad is important because it involves some serious plans to counter China. But India also needs to reassess its role in the Quad which has limited utility for India’s objective of strengthening its land-based border security 

The Eastern Window: China set to become the biggest power in Africa, superseding US

BUSINESS

The Eastern Window: China set to become the biggest power in Africa, superseding US

China is making a big push in Africa by offering a big line of credit to gain better access to its mines, create new markets for Chinese companies and politically counter the US 

The Eastern Window: The government needs to tread a fine line on Chinese investments

BUSINESS

The Eastern Window: The government needs to tread a fine line on Chinese investments

The government recently approved a slew of Chinese investments, creating the impression that it was reversing its policy of discouraging the flow of funds from China. But two ministers including S Jaishankar have clarified that the policy remains unchanged. The industry needs clarification about whether more investment proposals from China would be cleared 

The Eastern Window: Complaints about floods reveal growing anti-India sentiment in Bangladesh

BUSINESS

The Eastern Window: Complaints about floods reveal growing anti-India sentiment in Bangladesh

The recent floods gave an opportunity to anti-India forces in Bangladesh to raise a clamour. India was blamed for triggering the floods though the gushing waters killed many in India as well.  The removal of the Awami League government of Sheikh Hasina has offered a golden opportunity for politicians who are unfriendly towards India 

The Eastern Window: New government faces both economic, geopolitical challenges in Bangladesh

BUSINESS

The Eastern Window: New government faces both economic, geopolitical challenges in Bangladesh

The future of India-Bangladesh relations hinges on several factors including India’s ability to accept the new reality in Dhaka. The interim government of Muhammad Yunus is battling on several fronts including a sliding economy which will make him vulnerable to external pressures

Is Kamala Harris a better bet for India than Trump?

BUSINESS

Is Kamala Harris a better bet for India than Trump?

trapline: With Kamala Harris joining the U.S. presidential race, Indian leaders and diplomats are evaluating if she or the Republican candidate Donald Trump would be best for India. The evaluation is based on the assumption that Harris would continue with Biden’s foreign policy and Trump is unlikely to change his known attitude towards different issues. 

Turmoil in Bangladesh may become a policy challenge for India

BUSINESS

Turmoil in Bangladesh may become a policy challenge for India

The bloodbath in Bangladesh has challenged the stability of the Sheikh Hasina government. Though a regime change is a remote possibility, India should be ready for such a drastic development. It needs to empathise with the people to avoid the rise of an anti-India campaign

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