BUSINESS
IMF forecasts India will become fourth-largest economy by 2025, third by 2027
India has improved its per capita GDP ranking from 153 in 2018 to 144 in 2023, going past the Republic of Congo, Ghana, Kenya, Cambodia and the Lao People’s Democratic Republic. By 2029, it is forecast to overtake Uzbekistan, Papua New Guinea and Angola
BUSINESS
What the IMF forecasts say about India’s economic growth
The forecasts show tepid growth in investment as well as exports in the next few years
BUSINESS
MPC minutes: The many reasons for not cutting rates
Spikes in food inflation and geopolitical and financial uncertainty are holding back the MPC from cutting the policy rate
BUSINESS
Moneycontrol Pro Weekender: Smug markets are sitting ducks
The high valuation and sizzling oil prices make Indian stocks vulnerable to shocks, but domestic funds inflows have been a saviour so far
BUSINESS
Decoding Economics | How will the Second Cold War skew trade and investment?
A set of non-aligned ‘connector’ countries is rapidly gaining importance and serving as a bridge between blocs. Exports from these non-aligned economies are substituting for declining Chinese imports by the US
BUSINESS
IIP numbers show long-term decline in capital goods production
The sub-index of capital goods production in February 2024 was not only lower than in February 2019, but 10.6 percent lower than its level in February 2018
POLITICS
The spectre of an Iran-Israel war is the latest reminder of rising geopolitical risks for investors
There is only one nation that can put an end to the fighting and that is the United States
BUSINESS
Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Horses for courses
While growth is picking up worldwide at the moment, the medium term outlook is far from rosy, says the IMF
BUSINESS
Decoding Economics | Corporate debt and boom-bust cycles
While the authors’ research is based on a global sample of 115 economies, its conclusions fit very well with the Indian experience where the rise in corporate debt led to a huge rise in bad loans and the subsequent clean-up slowed the economy and led to an investment drought
BUSINESS
Consumer confidence recovers before general election, boosting BJP’s prospects
The RBI’s consumer confidence survey for March 2024 shows sentiment improving, just as it did in March 2019, before the last general election
BUSINESS
Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | An elephant called Inflation
Here are the details about how the Mad Pachyderm Committee (MPC) fought against the elephant Inflation, the weapons they used, and the epic poems about the heroic battle
BUSINESS
Green shoots in rural demand?
Taken together, recent news reports, higher rural wages, lower inflation and the fall in demand for work under MGNREGA could indicate the green shoots of a turnaround in rural consumption
BUSINESS
Share of informal employment is rising, it's a worrying trend
The percentage of workers in the non-agriculture sector working in informal enterprises has been continuously rising since 2017-18, according to the government’s PLFS data
BUSINESS
South Asia has a 'Jobless Development' problem, says World Bank
The World Bank says South Asia’s employment ratio is lower than that of other developing regions because of two primary reasons---low employment ratios for women and lack of jobs in the non-agriculture sectors
BUSINESS
What's behind the sudden boom in bank credit to MSMEs?
Bank credit to MSMEs in Jan-Feb was higher than even advances to the housing sector. Brighter business prospects and a regulatory change may explain the jump
BUSINESS
Decoding Economics | The implications of a Chinese manufacturing recovery
A research paper from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York spells out the effects of the Chinese government’s turn from real estate-led growth to increased investment in manufacturing
BUSINESS
April Fool stories
We bring you a few stories very appropriate for April Fools' Day 2024
BUSINESS
Chart of the Day: Take the year-on-year core sector growth figures with a large dose of salt
The month-on-month growth data tell a completely different story--the core sector shrank in February from a month ago by a sizeable 4.9 percent
BUSINESS
The intriguing maths behind India's improved current account position
A lower current account deficit implies domestic savings must have gone up, and at a faster rate than investment
BUSINESS
Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | The very long view
IMF managing director Kristalina Georgieva's recent speech at Cambridge echoes Keynes' essay of 1930. Both share the spirit of hope and optimism, which is also the message of Easter
BUSINESS
What the Hurun Rich list tells us
The rapid increase in the wealth share of the very richest segment of the population in India is the reason for the proliferation of Indian billionaires
BUSINESS
Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Roaring Twenties?
With Fed chair Powell signalling that he's comfortable with inflation being high for longer, a global rate cutting cycle is about to begin, and the markets are celebrating
BUSINESS
India’s Flash PMI for March shows growth accelerating
The PMIs show higher growth in the March quarter, both compared to the previous quarter as well as the year-ago period. That augurs well for corporate performance in the March 2024 quarter and provides fundamental support to the equity market
BUSINESS
HDR report: India has high inequality, but that doesn’t matter
India’s rank in the Human Development Index (HDI) is a lowly 134, but it’s even lower, at 140, when the index is adjusted for inequality
