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Manas Chakravarty

Group Consulting Editor

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Decoding Economics: India’s two hundred and fifty thousand democracies

BUSINESS

Decoding Economics: India’s two hundred and fifty thousand democracies

Villages have seen the emergence of a new class of local political elites who are diverse and more representative of the underlying population than their higher-tiered counterparts

RBI surveys indicate two economic reasons that may have worked against the BJP

BUSINESS

RBI surveys indicate two economic reasons that may have worked against the BJP

The Consumer Confidence Survey’s Current Situation Index, which measures sentiment about current economic conditions, went down in May to 97.1 from a reading of 98.5 in March

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender: The future ain’t what it used to be

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender: The future ain’t what it used to be

Nobody had expected a coalition government before the poll results came in. Surely that should have dented the optimism in the markets? Yet the Sensex made an all-time high on Friday

Moneycontrol Pro Panorama | With both growth and uncertainty higher, there’s no hurry to cut rates

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Panorama | With both growth and uncertainty higher, there’s no hurry to cut rates

In today's edition of Moneycontrol Pro Panorama: Indian ads need to shed tokenism, coalition politics and its impact on stocks, wealth preservation needs your attention, OPEC extends production cuts and implication on oil prices, and more

The return of political risk

LOK-SABHA-ELECTION

The return of political risk

For business and the markets, the election results are a big blow. But the good news from the poll verdict is the strengthening of Indian democracy 

Urban unemployment edges up in Jan-Mar 2024, but is well below pre-pandemic levels

BUSINESS

Urban unemployment edges up in Jan-Mar 2024, but is well below pre-pandemic levels

India has improved its female labour force participation rate, but we still lag Bangladesh

Some central ministries spent only a fraction of their budgets in FY24

BUSINESS

Some central ministries spent only a fraction of their budgets in FY24

The Ministry of Minority Affairs, as per the CGA figures, has spent a mere 6 percent of the amount shown in the revised estimate for 2023-24

How has the structure of the Indian economy changed in the last 10 years?

BUSINESS

How has the structure of the Indian economy changed in the last 10 years?

The share of manufacturing has barely budged, despite the noise about the Make in India programme

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | The next five years

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | The next five years

It won't be business as usual for the next government or the ones that follow it. The world as we know it is changing dramatically for the worse

What were the drivers of GDP growth in Q4?

BUSINESS

What were the drivers of GDP growth in Q4?

GDP growth in Q4, FY 24 has been very strong, but the laggards have been the agriculture sector and private consumption. The share of private consumption in GDP in the March 2024 quarter is the lowest since the March 2010 quarter

S&P holds out a carrot for India, but with conditions

BUSINESS

S&P holds out a carrot for India, but with conditions

The rating agency says continued policy stability, deepening economic reforms, high infrastructure investment, high growth, along with cautious fiscal and monetary policy could lead to a higher rating over the next 24 months

Decoding Economics: Do umpires play with a straight bat?

BUSINESS

Decoding Economics: Do umpires play with a straight bat?

Did the temporary introduction of home umpires in international test matches during the pandemic lead to a bias in favour of home teams? A research paper from the IZA Institute of Labour Economics comes to some surprising conclusions

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Markets raise a rousing cheer for RBI

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Markets raise a rousing cheer for RBI

While Shaktikanta Das steered Indian equity markets to new highs, Jensen Huang supported the US markets

Eleven-year high positive sentiment in May Flash PMI signals strong confidence about election outcome in Corporate India

BUSINESS

Eleven-year high positive sentiment in May Flash PMI signals strong confidence about election outcome in Corporate India

The Flash Composite PMI for India came in at 61.7 for May, up from April’s final reading of 61.5, indicating strong growth momentum

Decoding Economics: The economic basis of identity politics

BUSINESS

Decoding Economics: The economic basis of identity politics

Development is not a smooth process; it disrupts the old social milieu and creates new winners and losers. The losers and winners both then mobilise along lines of identity, one to try for a bigger share of the pie, the other to preserve their share of the newly baked pie

Go out and VOTE

ELECTION

Go out and VOTE

The best method to make more people vote is one that I have been advocating for a long time, but vested interests inimical to India have always managed to scuttle it. Basically, we need to have a scheme allowing voters to bet on the candidates of their choice

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Edge of Euphoria

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Edge of Euphoria

Among the global fund managers surveyed by Bank of America, 61 percent said they expected lower-than-average growth and higher-than-average inflation for the global economy over the next 12 months

Decoding Economics: Who gains, who loses from building roads?

BUSINESS

Decoding Economics: Who gains, who loses from building roads?

A World Bank paper that studied the impact of the Golden Quadrilateral on the growth of firms shows that while survival rates increase for all plants as a result of their proximity to the road network, it is the younger plants who fare better. Older plants, in contrast, stagnate or contract, because of the increased competition

Food inflation rises in April, caution should be the watchword for monetary policy

BUSINESS

Food inflation rises in April, caution should be the watchword for monetary policy

There is no hurry to ease monetary policy when the economy is booming

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | What the Vix says about elections

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | What the Vix says about elections

This time around, the India Vix is much lower compared to the previous three general elections

Moneycontrol Pro Panorama | A boost for consumption

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Panorama | A boost for consumption

In today's edition of Moneycontrol Pro Panorama: Lupin eyes US pie stock valuations turn pricey, India houses the most emigrants World Migration Report says, is AI the answer to achieve techno-utopianism, nations can do better under pandemic treaty, and more

How the national economic pie was shared

BUSINESS

How the national economic pie was shared

The NSO data show that the share of the household sector in gross value added, gross savings and gross capital formation have all come down

Decoding Economics: US Fed paper says inequality increases financial vulnerability

BUSINESS

Decoding Economics: US Fed paper says inequality increases financial vulnerability

The researchers find that a 1 percent increase in the top 1 percent wealth share predicts a 1.038 percent increase in equity valuations Manas Chakravarty

Is Warren Buffett right about the fiscal deficit and what effect will it have on the markets?

BUSINESS

Is Warren Buffett right about the fiscal deficit and what effect will it have on the markets?

Investors seem to be betting that they will have the best of both worlds -- the markets will rally on stronger growth, but if growth disappoints, they will rally on rate cut hopes

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