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Budget Express 2026

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Ishaan Gera

Associate Editor

Moneycontrol

Indian economy to grow at 6.5% in FY26 and FY27: IMF

BUSINESS

Indian economy to grow at 6.5% in FY26 and FY27: IMF

The World Bank had projected the economy to grow 6.7 percent over the next two fiscal

RBI Bulletin: India must join larger trade deals, boost infrastructure to tackle global risks

BUSINESS

RBI Bulletin: India must join larger trade deals, boost infrastructure to tackle global risks

RBI paper argues for measures like building strategic buffers, forging bilateral swap agreements, and engaging with multilateral institutions to reduce geopolitical risk-related disruptions

Budget 2025 may keep capex target largely unchanged: MC Poll

BUSINESS

Budget 2025 may keep capex target largely unchanged: MC Poll

Nearly all economists in the MC poll agreed on a need to push manufacturing, but opinion was divided on expanding production-linked incentive schemes to other sectors

Budget 2025 should provide a boost to consumption, say economists in an MC poll

BUSINESS

Budget 2025 should provide a boost to consumption, say economists in an MC poll

The majority of economists in a survey cite slowing consumption as a primary concern, say there is a case for rationalisation of income tax rates.

MC Poll | Govt may set fiscal deficit target at 4.5% in Budget 2025-26, say economists

BUSINESS

MC Poll | Govt may set fiscal deficit target at 4.5% in Budget 2025-26, say economists

Nominal growth to be pegged at 10.4 percent as per MC Poll median of 13 economists

Chhattisgarh, MP lead Ayushman Bharat registrations, Tamil Nadu tops in hospitalisation

BUSINESS

Chhattisgarh, MP lead Ayushman Bharat registrations, Tamil Nadu tops in hospitalisation

As of January 13, 360 million people, 26 percent of the country's population, had been issued Ayushman cards. Chhattisgarh had a coverage of 76 percent

Pay commissions have had their impact on finances with double-digit growth in wage bill

BUSINESS

Pay commissions have had their impact on finances with double-digit growth in wage bill

Pay commissions have seen a rising difference between between maximum and minimum pay. While the difference had declined to 10.2 times by the fifth pay commission, it had increased to 11.4 times by the sixth pay commission and 12.5 times by the seventh pay commission

Housing and urban affairs budget rose five-fold in a decade: MC Analysis

BUSINESS

Housing and urban affairs budget rose five-fold in a decade: MC Analysis

Analysis indicates a shift in spending patterns as well. Pradhan Mantri Awas Yojana has emerged as the top category in the ministry’s budget, with allocation rising four-fold post the pandemic.

UP and Delhi are looking for helicopter rides, AP for tents and Kerala for next Kumbh: Google Trends

INDIA

UP and Delhi are looking for helicopter rides, AP for tents and Kerala for next Kumbh: Google Trends

The searches from UP were also focused on Steve Jobs’ wife attending the Kumbh Mela, while the Delhi population wanted to know the temperature in Prayagraj.

'Experiences' push is driving recreation services inflation

BUSINESS

'Experiences' push is driving recreation services inflation

Data indicates that a low base and a spurt in demand for 'experiences' pushed recreation service inflation to a four-year high of 13.8 percent in December

States' health spending rises 15% since FY20, while centre's share halves to 7%

BUSINESS

States' health spending rises 15% since FY20, while centre's share halves to 7%

While the government’s outlay on health doubled from Rs 30,000 crore to over Rs 62,000 crore between 2014-15 and 2019-20, growing 15 percent per annum, the growth rate slowed to 7 percent between 2019-20 and 2024-25

Defence production up 2.6x since FY15, as India pushes for indigenisation

BUSINESS

Defence production up 2.6x since FY15, as India pushes for indigenisation

The share of old defence public sector undertakings has risen during this period. While old PSUs had a 54.6 percent of total production in 2016-17, it rose to 58.4 percent by 2023-24

Kumbh tourism has been doubling every six years: MC analysis

INDIA

Kumbh tourism has been doubling every six years: MC analysis

More foreign tourists too visit UP during the Kumbh years. In 2019, the state witnessed a jump in foreign tourist arrivals to 4.75 million, of which 1.2 million came to the Prayagraj region—a seven-old jump from the previous year.

Why retail inflation pinched less despite remaining above 5% in December

BUSINESS

Why retail inflation pinched less despite remaining above 5% in December

December marks the first time in 10 months that around 75 items witnessed deflation

Pollution-control budget doubles, while environment spending tapers post-pandemic

BUSINESS

Pollution-control budget doubles, while environment spending tapers post-pandemic

In five of the past 10 years, the budget for the ministry of environment, forest and climate change has contracted even as pollution has worsened

Wholesale price inflation rises to 2.37% in December

BUSINESS

Wholesale price inflation rises to 2.37% in December

The trajectory of wholesale prices contrasts with retail inflation, which declined to a four-month low of 5.2 percent in December

Retail inflation eases to four-month low of 5.22% in December

BUSINESS

Retail inflation eases to four-month low of 5.22% in December

In December, India’s food inflation eased below 9 percent for the first time in four months

Subsidy spending has grown faster post-Covid but Budget share has declined

BUSINESS

Subsidy spending has grown faster post-Covid but Budget share has declined

Between 2019-20 and 2024-25, food subsidies were up 13.6 percent compared with a contraction of 1.6 percent in Modi's first term, while fertiliser subsidies have expanded 15.1 percent annually in the past six years

Higher education in focus as spending nearly doubles in a decade

BUSINESS

Higher education in focus as spending nearly doubles in a decade

While spending on higher education expanded at a compounded annual growth rate of 10.6 percent, spending on schools has grown at a slower pace of 5.3 percent between FY15 and FY24

IIP growth rises to a six-month high of 5.2% in November

BUSINESS

IIP growth rises to a six-month high of 5.2% in November

India’s core sector output had expanded to a four-month high of 4.3 percent in November compared with 3.7 percent in the previous month

Nominal GDP growth has been lower than the budget projection in 10 of 13 years: MC Analysis

BUSINESS

Nominal GDP growth has been lower than the budget projection in 10 of 13 years: MC Analysis

The government projected a nominal GDP of Rs 326.37 lakh crore for FY25, but the first advance estimate puts the number at Rs 324.11 lakh crore

India’s GDP growth is usually revised up from first advance estimate: MC Analysis

BUSINESS

India’s GDP growth is usually revised up from first advance estimate: MC Analysis

A Moneycontrol analysis shows that India’s growth figures have witnessed an average 0.9 percentage point revision over the last eight years between the first release and final data

Government's agriculture spending has grown six-fold since FY15

BUSINESS

Government's agriculture spending has grown six-fold since FY15

While the agriculture budget has grown at a compounded annual growth rate of 5.4 percent since 2019-20, non-PM-KISAN spending has increased 6.5 percent annually

Investment rate likely declined to 30.1% in FY25, a three-year low, but consumption and agri outperform pre-pandemic levels: MC Analysis

BUSINESS

Investment rate likely declined to 30.1% in FY25, a three-year low, but consumption and agri outperform pre-pandemic levels: MC Analysis

The investment rate, calculated in nominal terms, was even lower than the pre-pandemic average of 30.2 percent

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