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Tim Harford: The simple maths puzzle that shows us how to separate fact from fiction

BUSINESS

Tim Harford: The simple maths puzzle that shows us how to separate fact from fiction

Are you reflective, careless or hopeless? The answer might affect your ability to spot fake news

Is the Federal Reserve done with interest rate hikes?

BUSINESS

Is the Federal Reserve done with interest rate hikes?

Chair Jay Powell says US central bank will proceed ‘carefully’ with any change to monetary policy

The economic consequences of the Israel-Hamas war

WORLD

The economic consequences of the Israel-Hamas war

How the conflict unfolds will have implications for a global economy already battered by a series of shocks

The struggles of the offshore wind industry

BUSINESS

The struggles of the offshore wind industry

Governments around the world have set ambitious targets to tackle climate change, but developers say power prices will have to rise to pay for it

Big Oil’s transatlantic strategy gulf has never been wider — and that is OK

BUSINESS

Big Oil’s transatlantic strategy gulf has never been wider — and that is OK

Mega-deals in the US make sense, but it’s not obvious why European groups should scale up too

Inflation eats away at wealth

BUSINESS

Inflation eats away at wealth

The real value of fortunes has been eroding during the past two years at its fastest rate in more than four decades

Simplicity is key to avoiding a gap in investment returns

BUSINESS

Simplicity is key to avoiding a gap in investment returns

Exotic strategies . . . in real life confound investors into costly mistakes

Corporate bonds: record yields are putting the juice back into junk

BUSINESS

Corporate bonds: record yields are putting the juice back into junk

The advice last year to jump into fixed income was bad and it still makes little sense

Politics poses the biggest threat to economic growth in China

BUSINESS

Politics poses the biggest threat to economic growth in China

Abroad Beijing must manage rising hostility, while at home it wrestles with the relationship between communism and capitalism

Ten years of China’s Belt and Road: what has $1tn achieved?

BUSINESS

Ten years of China’s Belt and Road: what has $1tn achieved?

The massive infrastructure initiative has granted Beijing additional influence, but critics question whether the cost has been worth it

Why are some jobs so ‘greedy’?

BUSINESS

Why are some jobs so ‘greedy’?

Economist Claudia Goldin has helped narrow the gender pay gap. But working practices are still an obstacle to progress

The VC industry needs to rip up the playbook and start again

BUSINESS

The VC industry needs to rip up the playbook and start again

The boom is over but Silicon Valley’s optimism is masking problems with investor capital and returns

Mustafa Suleyman and Eric Schmidt: We need an AI equivalent of the IPCC

BUSINESS

Mustafa Suleyman and Eric Schmidt: We need an AI equivalent of the IPCC

An International Panel on AI Safety could offer an objective body to help shape protocols and norms

Goldman Sachs: Retrofit bank must deal with pay and capital costs ahead

BUSINESS

Goldman Sachs: Retrofit bank must deal with pay and capital costs ahead

US lender can only hope to position itself for a rebound in IPOs and merger activity

Slowing Chinese EV demand drives down battery metal prices

BUSINESS

Slowing Chinese EV demand drives down battery metal prices

Lithium, cobalt and nickel prices tumble as ‘irrational exuberance’ wears off and surge in supply hits markets

Positive real yields sting safe stocks

BUSINESS

Positive real yields sting safe stocks

And how tight policy constrains supply

Tim Harford: Why we can’t quit email, even though we all hate it

BUSINESS

Tim Harford: Why we can’t quit email, even though we all hate it

Our inboxes contain news that ranges from the trivial to the life-changing, which is why they’re so addictive

Copy trading: a road to riches or risk?

BUSINESS

Copy trading: a road to riches or risk?

Following the portfolio choices of online ‘experts’ can lead to considerable losses

How rising conflict is reshuffling global supply chains

BUSINESS

How rising conflict is reshuffling global supply chains

Research by the Bank for International Settlements shows goods are subject to increasingly complex delivery routes

Biden, Netanyahu and America’s choice

BUSINESS

Biden, Netanyahu and America’s choice

The temptation is to offer Israel’s leader unconditional support but it would be wiser to try to break the cycle of violence

The global economy is resilient but limping

BUSINESS

The global economy is resilient but limping

Convergence between rich and poor countries is stalling and more challenges lie ahead

The news is depressing — but data can help us

TRENDS

The news is depressing — but data can help us

COVID, the Ukraine war and climate chaos make for anxious reading, so maybe it’s time to go back to numbers

A bitter blame game will follow Israel’s wartime unity

BUSINESS

A bitter blame game will follow Israel’s wartime unity

The inquest into what went wrong ahead of Hamas’s attack could lead down a dangerous path

Bond market gyrations are yanking us into uncharted territory

BUSINESS

Bond market gyrations are yanking us into uncharted territory

Nobody ever said that exiting quantitative easing would be easy; the real challenge has barely even begun

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