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Jay Powell reveals Federal Reserve’s hand on US interest rates

BUSINESS

Jay Powell reveals Federal Reserve’s hand on US interest rates

The end of the central bank’s monetary tightening campaign is in sight — and so are rate cuts

Google/Epic Games: Storefront monopoly could upend apponomics

BUSINESS

Google/Epic Games: Storefront monopoly could upend apponomics

California jury sides with video game maker in its dispute with company

China faces the risk of a debt-deflation loop

BUSINESS

China faces the risk of a debt-deflation loop

The country should stimulate consumption with spending on education, healthcare and public housing

Making lemonade out of macro lemons

BUSINESS

Making lemonade out of macro lemons

Investors will need to adjust portfolios more frequently — we are in a new regime and not going back any time soon

Google pins its hopes on Gemini to leapfrog GPT-4

BUSINESS

Google pins its hopes on Gemini to leapfrog GPT-4

Top-of-the-range Ultra is the search group’s best weapon in the race to turn generative AI into a useful everyday tool

Mohamed El-Erian: The peculiar market divide on the rate outlook

BUSINESS

Mohamed El-Erian: The peculiar market divide on the rate outlook

Investors should beware of disregarding the signals emitted by the Fed

GitLab: AI tools are key to raising net retention rates

BUSINESS

GitLab: AI tools are key to raising net retention rates

The technology can help software development company expand the range of services clients buy

Investors hope for road map for China’s economy

BUSINESS

Investors hope for road map for China’s economy

Even as Beijing tries to focus policies away from investment in infrastructure and property, investors are seeking indications of how it plans to arrest a liquidity crisis among developers and how far policymakers intend to support struggling local governments

Gold’s weird rally

BUSINESS

Gold’s weird rally

The metal has tried and failed for three years to break its ceiling of $2,050 or so. And the forces now boosting it may not have enough kick to keep prices rising

Elon Musk/X: one-man band will face wrath of stakeholders he dismissed

BUSINESS

Elon Musk/X: one-man band will face wrath of stakeholders he dismissed

Internal equity valuation of $19bn in October would be vastly lower today

Too little. Too late. Too slow. But could COP yet turn the tide on climate change?

BUSINESS

Too little. Too late. Too slow. But could COP yet turn the tide on climate change?

We started too late. We are going too slowly. A peak in global emissions seems closer than ever, even though the dramatic falls needed are still very hard to imagine

How fast can Big Tech grow?

BUSINESS

How fast can Big Tech grow?

A 2028 p/e ratio is only as good as the growth estimates backing it.

Charlie Munger, Berkshire Hathaway vice-chair, 1924-2023

MARKETS

Charlie Munger, Berkshire Hathaway vice-chair, 1924-2023

He told acolytes that they “should recognise reality even when one doesn’t like it” and that “there isn’t a single formula” for success in business or investing

Gold: the consequences of war are shock and Au

BUSINESS

Gold: the consequences of war are shock and Au

Central banks’ gold purchases are not just providing demand. They also signal a more fractious global order

Investors dump dollar in bet that US rates have peaked

BUSINESS

Investors dump dollar in bet that US rates have peaked

Asset managers sell greenback at fastest pace in a year as market prices in more rate cuts next year

OpenAI turmoil exposes threat to Microsoft’s investment

BUSINESS

OpenAI turmoil exposes threat to Microsoft’s investment

Satya Nadella’s bet on AI start-up destabilised by shock sacking of Sam Altman

How Silicon Valley reunited Sam Altman and OpenAI

BUSINESS

How Silicon Valley reunited Sam Altman and OpenAI

With the AI start-up’s future in peril, venture capitalists mounted an extraordinary campaign to reinstate the charismatic CEO

The Sam Altman effect: ‘His superpower is getting people onside’

BUSINESS

The Sam Altman effect: ‘His superpower is getting people onside’

Ousted OpenAI chief inspires staff and investors as leader of the generative AI revolution

OpenAI/Microsoft: non-profit’s mission is at odds with its biggest investor

BUSINESS

OpenAI/Microsoft: non-profit’s mission is at odds with its biggest investor

The AI company depends on Microsoft’s cloud computing resources and the $10bn investment it pledged

China’s rise is reversing

BUSINESS

China’s rise is reversing

The past two years have seen the largest drop in the nation’s share of global GDP since the Mao era

China stocks: Panda bearishness should counter any buy signal

BUSINESS

China stocks: Panda bearishness should counter any buy signal

No number of cute pandas can offset the asset deflation threatening the property sector

The US-China currency wars are in an unstable lull

BUSINESS

The US-China currency wars are in an unstable lull

If Beijing returns to promoting export-led growth, tension over exchange rates may return

The case for loosening is getting stronger

BUSINESS

The case for loosening is getting stronger

As inflation eases, central banks now find themselves at the most difficult point in the policymaking cycle

Private equity faces a reckoning

BUSINESS

Private equity faces a reckoning

The change in circumstances is dramatic after decades of triumphalist money making

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