US President Barack Obama has set out the case for a limited military strike but divisions in Britain and among US lawmakers seem set to delay any imminent action, giving investors a reason to take a breather.
Market experts explain that the trade-off between growth and the rupee will start to become a major risk for the market in the medium term.
The rupee was expected to start on the back foot today because of the dollar strength versus emerging market currencies, but nobody was quite prepared for this kind of a fall in the rupee. RBI steps are not working as the rupee hit fresh lows and maybe now the market is tightening its belt for more tightening
RBI cancelling T-Bills auction and taking much lesser amount in OMO auction has helped in keeping yields down, which is currently a little less than 8%. If there are no measures coming from the central bank until policy, then yields may drift further down, says Neeraj Gambhir, Managing Director & Co-Head, Fixed Income India, Nomura India.
Indian currency rupee ended the trade at an all-time closing low of 57.78 against dollar Not only Indian rupee but currencies of other emerging markets were also battered ahead of Federal Open Market Committee meet scheduled tonight.
Sandeep Bhatia said the current flow of liquidity from the US will tend to slow down in the next two years although it will be in abundance in Europe and Japan; and India can enjoy some of the benevolence coming from Japan.
The sell-off in emerging market currencies over recent months looks set to worsen, according to analysts, who point out India‘s rupee, Indonesia‘s rupiah, and to some extent, South Korea‘s won could face the brunt of the pressure.
Silver prices tumbled and gold dropped to one-month lows on Friday, amid a sell-off in commodities as fear heightened that the global economy could plunge back into a recession.
Robert Prior-Wandesforde of Credit Suisse feels that the interest rate hikes by RBI are likely to impact India’s growth story. He expects another 25 basis points rate hike in October 25. However, he told CNBC-TV18 that India might start outperforming early in calendar 2012.