February 20, 2017 / 17:39 IST
Hero Motocorp’s (HMCL) Q3operating performance was 11% ahead of estimate, as EBITDA margin at 17.0% (up 130 bps YoY) beat est of 15.4%. Management expects single digit growth in FY18 post ~9% decline in Nov/ Dec.
Outlook
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We expect HMCL’s volumes to grow by 13% in FY18 after 5 years of flattish volume (only 2% CAGR). Valuations at 16x& 10x FY18 PE & EV/EBITDA are undemanding. Our FY18 estimates are largely unchanged. Maintain BUY with TP of Rs 3,655 (12x FY18E EV/EBITDA).
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