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Vivek Y Kelkar

Researcher And Analyst

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Can global firms navigate the age of economic weaponisation?

BUSINESS

Can global firms navigate the age of economic weaponisation?

Multinational firms are facing a new era of complexity that could reshape how, and where, they invest

Long-term dilemmas await Asia caught in US-China tariff rivalry

BUSINESS

Long-term dilemmas await Asia caught in US-China tariff rivalry

India has diplomatic edge but cannot escape the threat from the US-China rivalry

The rare weapon in China’s economic arsenal

BUSINESS

The rare weapon in China’s economic arsenal

As tensions rise between Washington and Beijing, a quiet but powerful move is playing out in global supply chains. This isn’t just about tariffs or tweets—it’s about materials hidden in the gears of global innovation, from defence to electric vehicles. A new front in the US-China standoff has opened, and the implications are far-reaching

Trump’s tariffs signal a hard pivot to security-driven economic nationalism

BUSINESS

Trump’s tariffs signal a hard pivot to security-driven economic nationalism

Trump’s tariffs risk making China a bigger headache for Asia

BUSINESS

Trump’s tariffs risk making China a bigger headache for Asia

China’s territorial ambitions, weaponization of trade and burgeoning surplus are already causing trouble in the continent. Why US tariffs may make a bad situation worse

Shifting Sands in the Middle East: A new global power struggle emerges

BUSINESS

Shifting Sands in the Middle East: A new global power struggle emerges

The Middle East is once again at the centre of a high-stakes geopolitical chess game, with global powers vying for influence over a crisis that could reshape alliances and redefine the balance of power. As new strategies and alliances emerge, the unfolding scenario hints at a world where the traditional players might not hold all the cards

Can India handle the policy dilemmas thrown up by Trump, China and the EU?

BUSINESS

Can India handle the policy dilemmas thrown up by Trump, China and the EU?

Amid shifting global power dynamics, escalating tariff wars, and the evolving centrality of manufacturing, India finds itself at a crossroads. With opportunities to reshape its economic future and vulnerabilities to address, the path it chooses now could redefine its role in the geo-economic landscape

Can Europe rebuild its economic, military muscle?

BUSINESS

Can Europe rebuild its economic, military muscle?

Europe faces mounting security and economic challenges as it grapples with Donald Trump’s unpredictable policies, rising geopolitical tensions, and internal divisions. The EU’s proposed ReArm Europe Plan aims to rebuild defence capabilities while balancing economic resilience and green commitments

India’s FTA with the EU will face a Trump problem

BUSINESS

India’s FTA with the EU will face a Trump problem

The EU’s position is sticky after Trump has made America an unreliable ally

Trump leaves Europe’s future considerably weakened -- and uncertain

BUSINESS

Trump leaves Europe’s future considerably weakened -- and uncertain

America’s warming up to Russia is putting Europe in disarray

Trump’s policies could make the EU a contested geopolitical space

BUSINESS

Trump’s policies could make the EU a contested geopolitical space

The EU’s disarray comes at a time when US-Russia-China relations are changing fast

Modi’s US visit can help India secure its long-term strategic goals

BUSINESS

Modi’s US visit can help India secure its long-term strategic goals

The outcome of the visit will have a significant impact on India’s economy, manufacturing sector, defence capabilities and its projection as a global superpower 

A new Trump tariff era could benefit China, disadvantage US

BUSINESS

A new Trump tariff era could benefit China, disadvantage US

Canada, Mexico and China will feel the heat from Trump’s tariff war, but the US will not be left unscathed either, in a conflict that threatens to envelop the world

Trump’s executive orders will disincentivise US industry, boost China

BUSINESS

Trump’s executive orders will disincentivise US industry, boost China

The exit from the Paris Agreement and ending support to EVs risks leaving US auto-makers behind and climate change mitigation-related technology, cementing China’s lead in these markets

The lessons from China’s sustained dominance in the global EV market

BUSINESS

The lessons from China’s sustained dominance in the global EV market

A recent proposal by China to restrict export of EV battery technology may be just another step to maintain its global EV dominance that has been built carefully over the years

Will geopolitics derail natural gas markets in 2025?

BUSINESS

Will geopolitics derail natural gas markets in 2025?

Ukraine’s refusal to allow transit of Russian gas is a signal of how geopolitics could upend economics in 2025 and beyond. The US, Iran, the Middle East and China all figure in the risk equations

Will India carve out a significant role for itself in the undersea cable wars?

BUSINESS

Will India carve out a significant role for itself in the undersea cable wars?

India is now aiming to utilise its advantageous geographic location to position itself as a power hub both across the global undersea cable network

India’s growing dependence on Chinese imports is a potential security issue

BUSINESS

India’s growing dependence on Chinese imports is a potential security issue

New Delhi is concentrating on the benefits of shared prosperity but there are security concerns with China

US-China antimony trade war reflects a weaponised industrial reliance

BUSINESS

US-China antimony trade war reflects a weaponised industrial reliance

Antimony is at the centre of US-China trade war, ironically also of their mutual dependence

COP29 outcome highlights need for reframing climate finance question

BUSINESS

COP29 outcome highlights need for reframing climate finance question

Pulling up the Global North for emissions is a normative approach, but getting them to spend is an economic one

Economic realities could nullify Trump’s threat to BRICS on dollar substitution

BUSINESS

Economic realities could nullify Trump’s threat to BRICS on dollar substitution

The key to the future is events in geopolitics and pace of the rise of a China-led trade bloc. Will this lead to increased usage of the RMB in cross-border trade?

Tariff wars bring China’s massive industrial investments into focus

BUSINESS

Tariff wars bring China’s massive industrial investments into focus

China’s investments in industrial production pose grave dilemmas globally. Huge capacity built up in several industries — from old to new — can affect other countries’ ability to invest unless demand picks up speed

Trump’s hardline tariff pitch can spell dilemmas for emerging markets

BUSINESS

Trump’s hardline tariff pitch can spell dilemmas for emerging markets

Will Donald Trump 2.0 bring a paradigm shift in the existing global order?

BUSINESS

Will Donald Trump 2.0 bring a paradigm shift in the existing global order?

Trump faces a world where the risks are far higher than during his first term in office, and his actions could be far more consequential

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