As the government homes in on a contender to replace outgoing Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan, there is a list of challenges that the new central bank chief will inherit. Here are the major ones.
Recently the rupee has bounced back, which has also been helpful to investor sentiment. By reducing demand for dollars, and tightening domestic liquidity & positive steps which will help banks mobilize FCNR deposits, the RBI has succeeded in breaking the arresting the rupee fall.
Keki Mistry of HDFC feels that the RBI's steps on Monday will bring down the short term rates by 50 bps. However, with the possibility of higher inflation going forward, repo rates may be hiked, he says.
RBI's measures to promote currency swaps have helped lower the bank‘s cost of funds (or interest costs), says Rajat Monga of Yes Bank.
Given the kind of data that has come from global as well as domestic markets, it is unlikely that the FOMC decision will be favourable and the RBI will continue to maintain a soft stance.
Under this window, banks can swap the dollar deposits raised from non-resident Indians with rupee deposits. And for this hedge, banks will have to pay RBI an interest at just 3.5 percent per annum, against current hedging costs of 7 percent. This will bring the total cost of FCNR deposits down to around 9 percent.
Jayesh Mehta of Bank of America feels that the RBI moves announced on Wednesday will shore up confidence of banks and increase reserves too.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on Friday announced measures to augment foreign currency inflows, following a sharp fall in the rupee in recent sessions.