A year after French President Emmanuel Macron stunned Europe by calling snap elections that nearly delivered power to the far right, speculation is once again swirling about whether he might try it again. According to a Politico report citing multiple officials and Macron confidants, the president remains tempted by another high-stakes throw of the dice, despite publicly ruling it out earlier this year.
According to the report, the centrist government, now led by Prime Minister Francois Bayrou, is barely holding on, and with the far-right National Rally dominating the National Assembly, Macron appears increasingly frustrated. “Macron is boiling over. It’s driving him crazy,” one of his close friends told Politico, describing rising tensions in both the president’s political and personal life.
Last year’s snap polls, announced by Macron on the night of the European elections in June 2024, backfired spectacularly. His party lost its legislative majority, the far right surged, and France entered a period of political gridlock. Despite his bold declaration at the time — “It’s better to have Bardella at Matignon than Le Pen at the Elysee in 2027” — Macron’s bet that the Left would fail to unite proved wrong. They did come together, narrowly beating the National Rally, though without securing a clear majority.
While Macron seemed to rule out another election during his April trip to Madagascar, Politico reports that he has privately kept the option alive. Former President Francois Hollande reportedly believes Macron is still mulling it. “Of course” he’s thinking about another election, Hollande has told contacts, calling it Macron’s “last power.”
In his New Year’s address, Macron stopped short of a full apology for last year’s snap vote. “This decision has brought more instability than serenity, and I take full responsibility for that,” he said – a carefully worded line that some advisers felt lacked genuine contrition.
Behind the scenes, allies paint Macron as a gambler who "leaves the casino with his pockets nearly empty but convinced he’ll beat the house on the next try," as one former colleague of his top advisers told Politico.
For now, there are no formal plans for a new election. But the political instability, combined with Macron’s personal impatience and a reportedly risk-averse prime minister he didn't originally want, has left the door ajar. “He’s irritated. He gets annoyed about everything,” one of Macron’s close friends told Politico.
Whether through another snap vote or a quiet reshuffle, Macron may be preparing to provoke his fate once more, rather than suffer it.
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