Climate change is launching a mutant seed space race

Warming temperatures and weather disruptions reduced food productivity worldwide by almost 13% since 1961, according to recent United Nations estimates. NASA expects fundamental changes to the way food is grown over the next decade.

Enter China, with almost a fifth of the world’s population but just 7% of its arable land. For decades, the second-biggest economy has been sending seeds into space aboard rockets and high-altitude balloons.

Scientists said the space seeds produce higher-yielding harvests of wheat, barley, corn, cucumber and tomato. The country is still testing samples from a 2006 mission carrying 130-plus species, and a joint mission with Pakistan last year returned medicinal-plant seeds to the University of Karachi.

“We hope they can grow better with stronger resistance, survival rate and efficacy,” Wang Yan, a university researcher, told China Economic Net. “All can be achieved via genetic mutation in space.”

This is the first time IAEA is using cosmic radiation to mutate seeds. However, it’s been administering controlled radiation doses using a cobalt-60 source at its lab in Seibersdorf for more than a half-century.

The sorghum and arabidopsis (a cousin of cress used widely in genetic experiments) seeds shot 400 kilometers (249 miles) into orbit atop a Northrop Grumman Corp. rocket in November are expected to land back at the IAEA’s labs in April, after which they’ll be put through trials that may take years.

Unlike newer techniques that genetically engineer DNA with tools like CRISPR, inducing mutations with radiation is considered natural. Therefore, the seeds aren’t subject to the same market restrictions as genetically modified organisms, or GMOs.

“The lab is truly changing the way we fight disease, the way we fight hunger,” said Cindy McCain, the US ambassador to the UN food agencies in Rome, one of which supports the labs. “Food security is a national-security issue.”

Rice is the crop most-frequently exposed to radiation, with 870 new varieties under cultivation. Increasingly parched conditions have diminished production of the staple food for half the world’s people. Tweaked varieties in Vietnam and Indonesia increased yields by more than 40%.

Sivasankar researches in a humid greenhouse, filled with banana and coffee plants, about an hour’s drive south of Vienna. Countries send her scores of seeds every year to be bombarded with gamma rays and then cultivated for arid conditions.

It can take about a decade to develop a new variety through controlled mutation — and business is booming.

“Food production is going to be affected by climate change,” she said. “Helping plants adapt to these changes through genetic diversity is the most sustainable solution.”

The IAEA labs are one of the final frontiers of diplomacy, generating collaboration between China, Russia and the US amid a resurgence in superpower jockeying. Countries have invested almost $100 million in recent years to upgrade the Cold War-era facility, which helps satisfy a non-proliferation treaty obligation by the five official nuclear powers.

“We’re making sure that the beneficial uses of nuclear technologies and materials can be made available,” said Laura Holgate, the US ambassador to the IAEA.

Rich countries also benefit from research. A sterile-insect program helped North American farmers save tens of billions of dollars by eradicating fly strains that attack fruit and livestock. A program in Italy eliminated about 80% of disease-carrying mosquito populations in targeted regions.

The agency site includes eight nuclear-application labs ringed by razor wire and pastures. One windowless building houses a machine to detect uranium traces in environmental samples from countries such as Iran. Another was used to develop tests for Covid-19, the Ebola and Zika viruses, and African swine fever.

One more contains swarms of insects buzzing around in boxes covered with white-mesh cloth. Inside rooms heated to tropical climes, the air hangs heavy with the scent of bug food: animal blood, liver powder, tuna meal and yeast.

The specimens cause billions of dollars in damages annually in sub-Saharan Africa, where tsetse flies propagate sleeping sickness in people and render cattle herds weak. Irradiating the pests helps scientists raise infertile males to help curb hatching rates.

For many people, the IAEA is synonymous with being the UN’s nuclear watchdog, guarding against the illicit trafficking of materials that could wind up in atomic weapons. But, increasingly, it’s another threat to humanity — climate change — that’s driving new investment, said Chantel de Beer, a South African entomologist.

“Our old labs were way too small for the kind of growth we’re experiencing,” she said. “It’s our responsibility to manage environmental problems with respect.”