Bihar Exit Polls 2025: NDA poised for clean sweep, Tejashwi hits roadblock; markets likely to stay flat

Bihar Exit Polls 2025 Live: Pappu Yadav questions exit polls, says Bihar has voted for Mahagathbandhan

Independent MP from Purnea, Pappu Yadav, said, "When was the exit poll correct? You are saying that the vote has increased, but where has it increased? I believe that the people of Bihar have cast their votes for the Mahagathbandhan. From my experience in Bihar, I feel that either there will be a hung assembly, or the Mahagathbandhan will form the government."

Bihar Exit Polls 2025 Live:Bihar elections: Congress MLA Ajeet Sharma calls exit poll ‘entirely wrong’

Congress MLA and Bhagalpur candidate Ajeet Sharma said, “The voting has ended today. Who is to say who will win till the counting is done? I am contesting elections in Bhagalpur. Should I already say that I am winning? The public makes the decision. The Mahagathbandhan will form the government. The exit poll is entirely wrong.”

Prashant Kishor predicted ‘10 or 150 seats’ for Jan Suraaj. Exit polls hand him a humbling reality check

For months, Prashant Kishor promised to upend Bihar’s old order with his Jan Suraaj movement. Now if exit polls are any indication, his Jan Suraaj Party could face a wipeout in its debut election. News18 Mega Exit Poll, along with other poll agencies, suggests that the JSP might not even open its account in the Bihar Assembly polls. For a man who has helped craft some of India’s most successful political campaigns, from Narendra Modi’s 2014 wave to Mamata Banerjee’s 2021 victory, such a result would mark a humbling setback in his personal political journey. (Read More)

Bihar Exit Polls 2025: Massive setback for Tejashwi Yadav's RJD, Mahagathbandhan predicted to win 75-100 seats

After months of extensive campaigning and an effort to pit the election as one for the routine everyday issues , the predictions from major exit polls is extremely grim for the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD). Major pollsters have predicted an average tally between 75-100 seats from the Mahagathbandhan, of which RJD is an important component. If such predictions hold true on November 14, it will be a big dent not only to the Mahagathbandhan, but more so to the RJD, who fought the election primarily with Tejashwi Yadav as its face. (Read More)

Bihar exit polls predict Mahagathbandhan defeat: Fresh jolt to INDIA bloc in heartland?

Exit poll predictions for the Bihar Assembly elections that concluded on Tuesday showed a clear victory for the Nitish Kumar-led NDA. A majority of the exit poll results predicted below par performance for the Mahagathbandhan of the RJD, Congress, VIP and Left parties, adding a fresh chapter in the Opposition's prolonged quest for a breakthrough in the state.  As per the 'News18 Mega Exit Poll' for Bihar, the NDA is projected to win 140-150 seats while the Mahagathbandhan could be restricted to 85-95 seats. Prashant Kishor's Jan Suraaj is seen unlikely to have made any impact with the survey predicting 0-5 seats while Others are expected to bag 5-10 seats. (Read More)

Exit polls say ‘phir ek baar NDA sarkar’ with big boost for Nitish Kumar

Exit polls after the final phase of the Bihar Assembly elections on Tuesday predicted a clear victory for Chief Minister Nitish Kumar-led National Democratic Alliance. In the 2025 election, the NDA faced the opposition Rashtriya Janata Dal, allied with Congress. A new group, Jan Suraaj, floated by Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s former poll manager Prashant Kishor, was also in the fray. (Read More)

JDU surge to power NDA's sweeping Bihar victory: News 18 Exit Poll

The ruling National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is set for a decisive victory in Bihar, with the News18 Mega Exit Poll predicting that the alliance will bag 140-150 seats in the 243-member assembly — a clear improvement over its 2020 tally of 125 seats. The opposition Mahagathbandhan (MGB) is expected to finish a distant second with 85 to 95 seats, while the Prashant Kishor-led Jan Suraaj Party (JSP) is likely to draw a blank, according to the projection. (Read More)

Bihar Exit Polls 2025 Live:What will be impact of Bihar exit polls on markets

Despite the political buzz, market reaction to the Bihar election results is expected to be muted, as most of the news is already priced in, an Economic Times report says. The Gift Nifty, an early indicator of the Indian market, was trading flat. Analysts told Economic Times that the Bihar outcomes are unlikely to cause major market swings, as most investors have already factored in an NDA win. Markets are currently more influenced by global and national economic trends than by state-level outcomes. Since polls suggest the NDA will stay in power, the result would largely signal continuity and stability, keeping market sentiment steady. Only a surprise result, such as a narrow NDA lead or an unexpected loss, could trigger short-term volatility.

Bihar Exit Polls 2025 Live: News18 Mega Exit Poll Results

NDA - 140-150

MGB -- 85-95

JSP -- 0-5

Others -- 5-10

Total - 243

Bihar Exit Polls 2025 Live: Here are PMARQ's predictions

NDA -- 142-162

MGB -- 80-98

Others -- 1-7

Bihar Exit Polls 2025 Live: Poll of polls

NDA- 148

MGB - 88

Others - 7

Bihar Exit Polls 2025 Live: Check what Dainik Bhaskar is predicting

NDA -- 145-160

MGB -- 73-91

JSP -- 0-0

Others -- 5-10

Bihar Exit Poll 2025 Live: Chanakya Strategies shows edge for NDA

NDA - 130-138

MGB- 100-108

JSP - 0

Others - 3-5

Bihar Exit Poll 2025 Live: Times Now JVC Exit Poll predicts an NDA win - Here's tally

NDA -- 135- 150

MGB - 88-103

Others 3-7

Bihar Exit Poll 2025 Live: Here's what People's insight says

NDA 133-148

MGB: 87-102

JSP:0-2

Oth:3-6

Bihar Exit Poll 2025 Live: MATRIZE-IANS exit poll indicates NDA returning to power

NDA: 147-167 seats

Mahagathbandhan: 70-90 seats

Others: 2-6 seats

Bihar Exit Poll 2025 Live: Peoples Pulse exit poll shows clear edge for NDA

Peoples Pulse Bihar Exit Polls 2025 show a clear advantage for the NDA, with the alliance projected to win 133-159 seats and secure a strong 46.2% vote share, putting it on track to cross the 122-seat majority mark.

Bihar Exit Poll 2025 Live: Advantage NDA in phase 1 seats, 45-55 seats for Mahagathbandhan - See News18 Mega Exit Poll takeaways

JDU: Seen as a major gainer in Phase 1, likely to win 35-45 seats out of the 57 it contested. The party appears to be benefiting from NDA vote consolidation, with several seats it lost in 2020 due to LJP opposition now expected to return to JDU in 2025.

BJP: Projected to win 20-30 seats from the 48 it contested in Phase 1.

RJD: Predicted to secure 25-35 seats. It contested 71 seats independently, with one seat in a friendly contest with Congress.

Congress: Expected to win 5-10 seats. The party contested 24 seats in Phase 1, including some friendly fights. In 2020, Congress contested 70 seats and won 19; this time, it is contesting only 61 seats, mostly in Phase 2.

Left parties (combined): Anticipated to win 10-15 seats.

Bihar Exit Polls 2025 Live: Misa Bharti says this on high voter turnout

On Bihar elections, RJD MP Misa Bharti says, "This time there will be a change because women are concerned, they are worried about their children's future. For the last 20 years, there have been no employment opportunities here, and no factories have been set up. Therefore, women are voting in large numbers. Whenever the voter turnout is high, there is a change..."

Bihar Exit Polls 2025 Live: Axis My India exit poll results tomorrow

"The wait is almost over! Axis My India exit poll for Bihar elections will be released tomorrow on 12th November 2025 from 5:30 pm onwards," tweets AxisMyIndia MD Pradeep Gupta

Bihar Exit Polls 2025 Live: Kishanganj records highest voter turnout in phase 2 at 76.26%

Kishanganj recorded the highest voter turnout in the second phase of the Bihar Assembly elections at 76.26%, followed by Katihar at 75.23%, Purnia at 73.79%, Supaul at 70.69%, and Purvi Champaran at 69.02%. According to the Election Commission of India's Voter Turnout app, Nawada saw 57.11% polling till 5 pm.

Other districts also reported strong participation, including Araria (67.79%), Aurangabad (64.48%), Bhagalpur (66.03%), Gaya (67.50%), and Jamui (67.81%). Rohtas, Madhubani, and Sitamarhi recorded relatively lower turnout, ranging between 60% and 65%.

Among key constituencies, Supaul registered 69.72%, Sasaram 60.97%, Dhamdaha 74.20%, and Harsiddhi 70.98%. This phase is crucial as it will decide the fate of 12 ministers from Chief Minister Nitish Kumar's cabinet, including JD(U) leaders Vijendra Yadav (Supaul), Lesi Singh (Dhamdaha), Jayant Kushwaha (Amarpur), Sumit Singh (Chakai), and Mohammad Jama Khan (Chainpur).

Bihar Exit Polls 2025 Live: Bihar exit poll results to be released shortly

The wait ends. As the polling concludes for the second phase, the Bihar exit poll results will be released shortly. Stay with us for most accurate tally and insights.

Bihar Exit Polls 2025 Live Updates: Tejashwi Yadav tweets on high voter turnout

Expressing satisfaction over the high voter turnout, a political leader posted on X, saying, "My heart is brimming with joy; my Bihar has truly worked wonders. Reports of bumper turnout are pouring in from every corner. The elderly, women, youth, traders, farmers-every caste, every class-is eagerly ensuring their participation in this grand festival of democracy."

Bihar Exit Polls 2025 Live Updates: BJP files complaint against RJD for alleged code violation

The BJP has lodged a complaint with the Chief Electoral Officer (CEO) against the RJD, accusing it of violating the Model Code of Conduct during the second phase of the Bihar polls. The BJP alleged that an RJD social media post sought to influence voters on polling day, calling it an attempt to "manipulate voter perception."

The complaint cited an RJD Facebook post that claimed friction among BJP, JD(U), and LJP workers - a claim the BJP said was false and misleading. The post allegedly stated that BJP and LJP workers were preventing votes for JD(U), while JD(U) workers were blocking votes for the BJP.

Bihar Exit Polls 2025 Live Updates: Final phase polling to decide fate of 1,302 candidates

The final phase of Bihar's assembly elections on November 11 will decide the fate of 1,302 candidates contesting across 122 constituencies.

Bihar Exit Polls 2025 Live Updates: Voter turnout for second phase is here

The voter turnout for second phase polls is here. As per the latest data by the Election Commission, the voter turnout for November 11 polling stands at 67.14 percent.

Bihar Exit Polls 2025 Live Updates: What happened in exit polls in 2020 - See agency-wise results

Agency	NDA	MGB	LJP	Others
P-Marq	123–135	123–135	2	5
ABP–C Voter	104–128	108–131	1–3	4–8
Patriotic Voter	129	107	2	5
Dainik Bhaskar	120	116	2	5
India Ahead–ETG	108–120	114–126	2–5	5–8
Times Now–C Voter	116	120	1	6
Republic–Jan Ki Baat	91–117	118–138	5–8	3–5
CNX	110	115	13	5
Matrize	106	95	10	32
Axis My India	69–91	139–161	3–5	3–5
News 18–Chanakya	55	180	0	8
Poll of Polls (Average)	108	125	5	6
Actual Results (2020)	125	110	1	6

Bihar Exit Polls 2025 Live Updates: Exit polls in 2020 predicted Mahagathbandhan win, but NDA edged ahead in final results

In the 2020 Bihar Assembly elections, most exit polls forecast a slim victory for the RJD-led Mahagathbandhan. On average, 11 surveys gave the alliance around 125 seats - just over the majority mark of 122 in the 243-member Assembly - while projecting 108 seats for the JD(U)-led NDA. However, the actual outcome flipped the script. The NDA secured 125 seats, just enough to retain power, while the Mahagathbandhan ended up with 110. The undivided Lok Janshakti Party (LJP) had contested independently that year, and the Mukesh Sahani-led Vikassheel Insaan Party (VIP), now aligned with the Opposition, was then part of the NDA.

Exit poll Bihar 2025 Live News: Caste dynamics, not religion, define Bihar's politics under Nitish Kumar

Beyond bread-and-butter issues, caste equations outweigh religious factors in Bihar's politics - but with a unique Nitish Kumar imprint, notes an Indian Express analysis. Here, caste is mobilised not around pride or identity, but as the central channel through which welfare policies reach targeted communities. This approach contrasts sharply with the Sangh Parivar's long-standing strategy of mobilising marginalised castes and tribes by framing their icons as Hindu heroes.

Exit poll Bihar 2025 Live News: Why BJP has no room for Hindutva in Bihar?

Under Chief Minister Nitish Kumar's leadership for the past 20 years - mostly in alliance with the BJP - Bihar has witnessed a distinctive version of the NDA experiment. Despite the BJP's significant influence in the state, the coalition's focus remains largely on "bijli, sadak, paani" (electricity, roads, water), leaving little room for Hindutva politics, apart from occasional remarks by leaders like Union Minister Giriraj Singh. Unlike other BJP-ruled states where Hindutva often complements the "development" narrative, Bihar's NDA model continues to prioritize governance and infrastructure as its core political message.

Exit poll Bihar 2025 Live News: News18 mega exit poll - Methodology

Among major pollsters, News18 will also release exit poll results of Bihar after 6:30 pm. Heres' a look at the methodology: The News18 Mega Exit Poll surveyed 122 Vidhan Sabha constituencies in Bihar, covering 50% of the state's total 243 seats. In each constituency, 225 interviews were conducted with voters who had cast their votes, resulting in a total planned sample size of 27,450 respondents across Bihar. Given that the election took place in two phases, a mixed methodology was adopted. Instead of the traditional approach of interviewing voters immediately after they cast their votes, fieldwork for Phase 1 was conducted the day after polling, as this method is believed to produce more reliable responses. For Phase 2, however, the traditional exit poll method was followed, interviewing voters as they exited polling booths.

Exit poll Bihar 2025 Live News: Bihar seals borders for next 72 hours

Following the Red Fort blast in New Delhi and the ongoing Bihar assembly elections, the state has sealed its nearly 700-kilometre-long international border with Nepal for 72 hours to maintain law and order, Bihar Director General of Police (DGP) Vinay Kumar said on Tuesday. "The police are on high alert after the incident in Delhi to ensure that no such event occurs in Bihar. The international border with Nepal has been sealed for the past 72 hours in view of the elections," DGP Kumar told ANI. Bihar shares its border with Nepal across seven districts - West Champaran, East Champaran, Madhubani, Supaul, Araria, Kishanganj, and Sitamarhi. All these districts are voting in the second phase of the assembly elections.

Exit poll Bihar 2025 Live News: Czech Republic: Exit polls prohibited at polling stations

The Czech Republic does not allow the conducting of exit polls at polling stations under its election laws.

Exit poll Bihar 2025 Live News: South Africa: Reporting restrictions during entire election process

South Africa bans any reporting of election results or trends while the election process is ongoing to ensure fairness and transparency.

Exit poll Bihar 2025 Live News: Singapore: Legal ban on publishing exit polls

Singapore's Parliamentary Election Act strictly forbids the publication of exit polls from the time elections are announced until voting concludes.

Exit poll Bihar 2025 Live News: United Kingdom: Exit polls lose relevance amid quick results

In the UK, exit polls have gradually lost significance as vote counting begins immediately after polling ends, and results are usually announced by the next morning.

Exit poll Bihar 2025 Live News: Canada: Exit polls rare due to mail-in voting

Exit polls are uncommon in Canada since a large number of mail-in ballots cannot be captured at polling stations, making accurate predictions difficult.

Exit poll Bihar 2025 Live News: Germany: Minimal use of exit polls due to rapid counting

In Germany, exit polls are limited because the vote counting process is fast and transparent, with official results typically available within hours.

Exit poll Bihar 2025 Live News: Italy: Exit polls barred to prevent misinformation

Italy prohibits exit polls from being conducted or published from 15 days before voting until counting concludes, aiming to avoid misleading the public.

Exit poll Bihar 2025 Live News: France: Strict restrictions on exit polls to avoid voter influence

France enforces a complete ban on exit polls during elections that stretch over multiple weeks to prevent influencing voters. Only estimated vote shares are released after the counting process is completed.

Exit poll Bihar 2025 Live News: These are the countries that have banned exit pols

France, Italy, Germany, Canada, United Kingdom, Singapore, South Africa, Czech Republic

Exit poll Bihar 2025 Live News: Nitish Kumar holds strategy meeting at JDU war room amid voting

The second phase of the Bihar Assembly Election 2025 is underway, with voting taking place for 122 seats across 20 districts. This phase is being seen as crucial for determining the overall outcome. On Tuesday, Chief Minister Nitish Kumar visited the JD(U) headquarters. Before arriving there, his convoy stopped at the residences of Union Minister Lalan Singh and Bihar Minister Vijay Kumar Choudhary, where he held discussions with both leaders. Later, the Chief Minister, accompanied by the two ministers, reached the war room at the JD(U) office, where State President Umesh Kushwaha and Minister Ashok Choudhary were also present. According to sources, Nitish Kumar reviewed the polling situation and discussed future strategies, including various aspects of the alliance and election management.

Exit poll Bihar 2025 Live News: Today's Chanakya forecats tomorrow

We will release our analysis on Bihar Assembly Elections tomorrow 12 Nov 2025, which kindly be noted, says Today's Chanakya

Exit poll Bihar 2025 Live News: Akhtarul Iman seeks re-election from Amour constituency

AIMIM's Bihar chief, Akhtarul Iman, was renominated from the Amour Assembly constituency, which falls under the Kishanganj Lok Sabha seat. In the 2020 Assembly elections, Iman secured a victory by defeating JD(U) candidate Saba Zafar.

Exit poll Bihar 2025 Live News: All eyes on Maithili Thakur's electoral debut in Darbhanga

Folk singer and BJP leader Maithili Thakur is contesting the Bihar Assembly elections from the Alinagar constituency in Darbhanga. She faces a tough contest against RJD's Binod Mishra and Jan Suraaj's Biplaw Kumar Chowdhary. In the 2020 elections, Vikassheel Insaan Party's Mishri Lal Yadav narrowly won the seat, defeating Binod Mishra by just 3,101 votes. Earlier, in 2015, senior RJD leader Abdul Bari Siddiqui had claimed victory from Alinagar.

Exit poll Bihar 2025 Live News: Samrat Choudhary's uphill task in Tarapur

Deputy Chief Minister Samrat Choudhary is contesting the upcoming Bihar Assembly elections from the Tarapur constituency, a seat that has remained a JD(U) bastion for the past two decades. Interestingly, his father, Shakuni Choudhary, won Tarapur twice - first as an Independent and later as a Congress candidate in the 1990 Bihar Assembly election.

Exit poll Bihar 2025 Live News: Tej Pratap Yadav and the fierce three-way battle in Mahua

Former RJD leader Tej Pratap Yadav, son of Lalu Prasad Yadav, launched his own political outfit ahead of the Bihar Assembly elections and is contesting from the Mahua seat. He faces a tough challenge from RJD's sitting MLA Mukesh Kumar Raushan and LJP (Ram Vilas) candidate Sanjay Kumar. The Mahua constituency, traditionally an RJD stronghold, is expected to witness one of the election's most closely fought contests.

Exit poll Bihar 2025 Live News: Tejashwi Yadav defends family bastion Raghopur in high-stakes contest

Mahagathbandhan's chief ministerial candidate Tejashwi Yadav is contesting from his family stronghold, Raghopur. He faces BJP's Satish Kumar, who had defeated his mother, Rabri Devi, in 2010 by a margin of 13,000 votes. Tejashwi later avenged that defeat with consecutive wins in 2015 and 2020, securing the last victory by over 38,000 votes. The Raghopur seat has long been associated with the Yadav family, having been won by Lalu Prasad in 1995 and 2000, and later represented by Rabri Devi in 2005.

Exit poll Bihar 2025 Live News: Who are the key candidates?

This is a battle of prestige for both Mahagathbandhan and NDA. From Tejashwi Yadav to Tej Pratap Yadav to Maithili Thakur, take a look at big names in this election

Exit poll Bihar 2025 Live News: Seemanchal's electoral outcome

In the 2020 Bihar Assembly elections, the NDA (BJP + JD(U)) won 12 of Seemanchal's 24 seats, while the INDIA bloc secured seven. Notably, 11 of the 24 constituencies in Seemanchal elected Muslim candidates, underscoring the community's political influence in the region.