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The Trump rally seems to be fading away but the dips are temporary and the bull market argument still remains intact at least in the short term for the US markets, Richard Harris, CEO, Port Shelter Investment Management said in an exclusive interview with CNBC-TV 18.
Harris who is bearish on US markets on long-term basis said that India does look attractive on a relative basis when compared with other emerging markets (EMs), but the reform process has to pick up which would really boost the sentiment.
“For India, we have seen two steps forward and one step back and I don’t think the sort of reforms which westerners want to see are not particularly happening and if they would, it will be extremely positive for India,” he said.
“The emerging markets are at the stage where they are looking more interesting especially at a time when western markets are looking slight expensive, this often leads to rotational trade,” said Harris.
China is lagging because they have a number of issues largely on account of an election year. The oil price is languishing a bit, so the oil based emerging markets are going to do the same. And, I think India relative to that looks relatively good, explains Harris.
Commenting on the US markets, he said that the pullback in US markets was largely on cards after a strong run-up seen after US presidential election but it is not in a bubble territory yet.
Although he does not see a deep correction, but in case the US markets come back 5-7 percent, we would still be scratching the surface, added Harris. “We are still in the bull -run and the bias is on the upside. Buy on dips should be your approach,” he said.
However, on a long-term basis, Harris is bearish on US markets because it has a lot of issues to deal with. “But, we are not in the bubble territory where we would see sharp bear markets.
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