Nitin Agrawal Moneycontrol Research
GNA Axles is a niche player in the auto-component segment with a strong brand, long-term relationship with clients, and strong financials. With the leadership position in the domestic market and significant presence in leading economies coupled with positive industry outlook and reasonable valuations, the company merits investors' attention.
The business – a niche player GNA operates in a niche segment of the auto ancillary industry and is a leading manufacturer of rear axle shafts, spindles and splined shafts, which find applications in light & heavy commercial vehicles and off-highway vehicles. These products also find applications with other speciality vehicles used for mining and defence.
Due to the niche segment, GNA has very limited competition in the same product range. This has led the company to continuously gain market share and currently has a domestic market share of around 60-65 percent.
We like the following about the company
Strong brand – long-term relationship with clients The company has a strong brand as is evident in the long-term relationships with its customers. Mahindra & Mahindra has been its customer since 1995. Automotive Axle, TAFE, John Deere, Dana India, Bharat Benz have also been its domestic clients for long. Apart from that, the company has been supplying to its global customers for over a decade.
Strong presence in export markets The company started exporting its products in 2002 and since then it has been gaining market share in the leading economies. GNA’s ability to scale up production coupled with adhering to stringent quality norms and meeting stringent deadlines have helped in gaining significant share in export markets. Exports contributed 48 percent of the total revenues in FY17 and achieved 19 percent growth in export revenues compounded annually over FY13-17.
State-of-the-art manufacturing facilities GNA has two state-of-the-art manufacturing facilities in Punjab with a total annual capacity of 2.30 million rear axle shafts, 0.40 million other shafts and 0.30 million spindles as of FY17. The manufacturing facilities include machinery imported from various countries including Italy, Germany, Japan, China and Taiwan, used for various processes to manufacture the final product. The company’s machinery enables it to manufacture rear axle shafts up to input weight of 165 kg.
Capacity expansion GNA has earmarked Rs 90-100 crore for the capacity expansion from 3 million units to 4 million units in the next two years. The management is confident of funding this through IPO proceeds and internal accruals.
Ownership – lends comfort Even after the sale of shares by one of the promoters, the total promoter holding is still above a healthy level of 65 percent. Leading mutual funds also have invested in the company. HDFC’s two funds hold around 4.79 percent and UTI’s two funds hold 2.9 percent of the total shares as of September 2017.
Strong outlook On the global front, there is a significant pickup in heavy trucks demand compared to last year on the back of stronger freight growth in the US. The heavy truck sales witnessed a growth of 33 percent over April to October 2017 which has started propelling the growth for the company. Also, the continued renewal and expansion of fleet along with a strong freight environment is supporting demand for trucks in Europe.
Additionally, the company is targeting other geographies like Australia and South America which would help de-risk the business from significant dependence on North America and Europe.
On the domestic front, with many of the headwinds largely behind, volume pick-up in M&HCV has started, riding on the positive impact of GST rollout and the government’s increased focus on infrastructure spending. Also, the strict ban on overloading would increase the demand for M&HCVs. Apart from M&HCV segment, healthy growth in domestic tractor sales on the back of good monsoon and improved rural sentiments, has also improved the company’s domestic business.
Immune to EV wave Upcoming disruption coming from electric vehicles has the least impact on the products GNA manufactures as the products are critical for the mobility of any type of vehicle.
Financial performance From the financial perspective, net revenues have posted a growth of 10.4 percent compounded annually over FY13-17 and EBITDA margin averages around 14 percent over the same period.
Moreover, GNA has consistently been focusing on reducing debt and used IPO proceeds to pay back the large chunk of its debt. Debt-to-equity ratio has come down to 0.40 in FY17 from 1.47 in FY13.
In terms of return ratios, the company has given the average RoE and RoCE of 15.7 percent and 15.9 percent, respectively, over FY13-17. The fall in FY17 is due to the large equity base on the back of IPO proceeds.
In terms of valuation, the company is trading at 20.3 and 17.0 times FY18 and FY19 projected earnings.
Peer analysis Peer analysis suggests that the company is currently trading at a discount compared to the average multiple of its peers.
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