Buy Bharat Dynamics; target of Rs 1965: Choice Institutional Equities

Choice Institutional Equities's report on Bharat Dynamics

BDL delivered a strong topline performance in Q2FY26, with revenue surging 114.2% YoY and 396.4% QoQ. It’s way ahead of street estimate, driven by accelerated execution across missile programs and a favourable delivery schedule. The company’s execution momentum highlights its strengthened operational capabilities and improved supplychain coordination, following recent modernisation efforts. We believe that multiple high-value indigenous programs, such as Astra Mk-2, Akash NG and ATGM, are expected to move into production. Hence, BDL remains one of the most credible beneficiaries of India’s growing missile modernisation agenda. Its established infrastructure, close collaboration with DRDO and proven execution capability across complex missile systems provide it a clear competitive advantage. These upcoming projects are poised to significantly expand the orderbook, driving sustained revenue visibility and margin accretion over the medium term.

Outlook

BDL’s robust orderbook of ~7x FY25 revenue, coupled with an incremental pipeline of INR 500–600 Bn, provides multi-year earnings visibility and operating leverage tailwinds. As execution scales up, we expect strong cash generation and profitability improvement through FY28E. Given the company’s strategic positioning and healthy financials, we maintain our BUY rating with a TP of INR 1,965, valuing the stock at 35x average of FY27–28E EPS.