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Pharma stocks results preview for Q3FY12: KRChoksey

KRChoksey has come with its December quarterly earning estimates for Pharma sector. According to the research firm, Q3FY12 is expected to be a strong quarter in terms of top-line growth mainly due to improved performance in the Indian pharmaceutical market, launch of limited competitive products in the US market & rupee depreciation.

January 14, 2012 / 12:01 IST
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KRChoksey has come with its December quarterly earning estimates for pharma sector. According to the research firm, Q3FY12 is expected to be a strong quarter in terms of top-line growth mainly due to improved performance in the Indian pharmaceutical market, launch of limited competitive products in the US market & rupee depreciation.

"We expect Q3FY12 to be a strong quarter in terms of top-line growth mainly due to improved performance in the Indian pharmaceutical market, launch of limited competitive products in the US market & rupee depreciation. Overall operating margins would improve due to rupee depreciation but at the net level, companies with exposure to foreign currency debt & hedged on derivatives position might get impacted negatively", says KR Choksey's Research report. Preview on Pharma: We expect Q3FY12 to show improved performance aided mainly by pick up in the Indian pharmaceuticals market, wide penetration of generics segment due to huge patent expiry & rupee depreciation to positively impact export-oriented companies. Overall operating margins would be positively impacted mainly due to ~15% rupee depreciation in the current quarter. From our KRC universe, considering the foreign currency changes & the expected quarter performance major beneficiaries would be Glenmark & Dr Reddys. Ranbaxy's profit could be offsetted due to leverage & Hedging. Factors to watch in the Q3FY12E result: Forex loss/gain Monetizing key Para IV/limited competition products & new product launches in US market Top Picks:
Glenmark, Unichem  

Company NameSales (Rs Cr)PAT (Rs Cr)Reco.
 FY12EFY13EFY12EFY13E
Cadila Healthcare5,1695,964826997BUY
Dishman1,0801,1944569SELL
Ranbaxy9,20611,2199491,494HOLD
Glenmark Pharma3,6063,925413509BUY
Unichem Labs9341,08793136BUY
Dr. Reddys8,6509,5201,1311,295HOLD
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first published: Jan 11, 2012 06:20 pm

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