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UK's next prime minister: Does Rishi Sunak have a real shot in the race to No. 10 Downing Street?

Rishi Sunak is now the foremost target of Boris Johnson and his supporters, who see him as an important architect in the downfall of the (now caretaker) PM’s regime.

July 10, 2022 / 10:42 IST
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Rishi Sunak on a visit to pharma major GSK's new campus at Stevenage, UK, on July 4, 2022 - the day before he resigned as the UK's Chancellor of the Exchequer. In the coming days, Sunak’s and his wife’s tax status and the issue of their US green card are bound to come up. (Image via Twitter/RishiSunak)

A core belief in keeping taxes low has guided the Conservative ethos in the UK. As Chancellor of the Exchequer, Rishi Sunak had the lever to the country’s taxation. Now that he has resigned and announced his interest to lead the Tory party, his record and future plans on taxes have the potential to make or break his chances.

An earlier piece by this writer had spoken about how the cost-of-living crisis and impending tax rises in the UK would have led to an intense blame game between Sunak and Boris Johnson. It has now emerged that days before his resignation, Sunak had a showdown with Johnson on the issue of tax – Johnson wanted to cut corporation tax, which was resisted by Sunak.

Taking potshots at Sunak, Johnson’s key ally and Brexit opportunities minister Jacob Rees-Mogg has described him as a “high-tax chancellor” and “much-lamented socialist chancellor”. This is just a sample of what lies ahead for Sunak. For some fiscal purists, Sunak is seen as someone who did not resist Johnson’s demands to lower taxes and as such should be seen as an enabler. Yet, it is hardly a secret that the biggest fault line between No 10 and No 11 - the residence of UK's prime minister and finance minister, respectively - has been on the issue of public spending and taxes.

Sajid Javid and Jeremy Hunt, two other hopefuls, who have been health secretaries – Javid was also  Sunak’s predecessor as the Chancellor of the Exchequer – have announced their candidature for the Conservative party leadership with a call to cut corporation tax. The current chancellor Nadhim Zahawi has also promised to lower taxes with an eye on the top job. Which explains why Sunak in his resignation letter mentioned that “Our people know that if something is too good to be true then it’s not true,” in a clear reference on why he pushed for the increase in taxes to finance public spending.

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As on Saturday evening (July 9, 2022), Sunak clearly had the backing of more Tory MPs than others who had announced their candidature. Some of the prominent names who are backing him are Mark Spencer, the Commons leader, Robert Jenrick, former communities secretary, Liam Fox, former defence secretary, Oliver Dowden, former Tory chairman. Sunak’s promotional clip has taken the internet by storm, sparking at the same time, conversations that the cheesy video predates his resignation as the chancellor.