Phalodi Satta Bazar prediction, Delhi Assembly Election 2025: The stage is set for voting to be held for the Delhi Assembly elections with the conclusion of the nomination process last week. Ahead of polling day on February 5, major parties including the ruling Aam Aadmi Party, the Bharatiya Janata Party and the Congress have rolled out a slew of 'freebies' promising the world in a bid to woo Delhi voters.
Having been in power for two terms, the AAP faces multiple challenges as it eyes a third straight term in power. These include, but are not limited to, voter apathy, anti-incumbency, corruption allegations, lack of development and poor civic conditions. The BJP, which has been out of power in the capital for around three decades now, has launched an aggressive campaign against AAP and its convener Arvind Kejriwal.
However, the continuing popularity of AAP's welfare schemes and the absence of a credible face could hinder the saffron party's prospects. With nothing to lose, Congress entered the poll fray late, yet determined to dislodge Kejriwal's AAP from power and avenge the campaign that cost the UPA government heavily over a decade ago.
Opinion polls so far have given an edge to the ruling party, suggesting AAP's likely return to power in the city-state. The Phalodi Satta Bazar, a bustling betting market located in Rajasthan's Phalodi, has also come out with its projections for the coming Delhi elections.
Phalodi Satta Bazar prediction for Delhi elections
At the time the polls were announced, the Phalodi Satta Bazar projections showed AAP in the lead and crossing the majority mark of 36 in the 70-member Assembly. However, two weeks ahead of polls, the market has revised its estimates.
Here's a look at the latest projections:
Aam Aadmi Party (AAP): The ruling AAP, which swept the last two elections winning 67 seats and 62 seats in 2015 and 2020, respectively, is hoping for a third successive term in power. The party, faced with allegations of corruption against its top leaders, is staring at a significantly reduced tally this time around.
As per the Phalodi Satta Bazar estimates at the time polls were announced, the AAP was projected to win between 37 and 39 seats. However, the revised seats projection show AAP winning 39 to 41 seats, suggesting a slight uptick in sentiment in the ruling party's favour.
Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP): Having last won the Delhi election in 1993, the BJP is hopeful of turning the tide and reclaiming power in the capital. Following in the footsteps of AAP and buoyed by its recent victories in Maharashtra and Haryana after a lackluster outing in the Lok Sabha elections, the BJP has also lined up a slew of populist promises with an eye to dent the popularity of AAP's schemes.
According to the latest revised estimates of the Phalodi Satta Bazar, the BJP is projected to win 29 to 31 seats -- a good 5-6 seats short of the majority mark of 36. In its earlier estimate, the Phalodi satta bazar had projected the BJP to win 25 to 35 seats in Delhi.
Congress: With virtually no representation of the Congress in the Assembly as well as the Lok Sabha from Delhi, the Congress party is desperate to make a mark in the coming elections. The party has fielded candidates on all 70 seats but has only now ramped up its offensive against Kejriwal and the AAP, its partner in the INDIA bloc in the LS polls.
In its latest estimates, the Phalodi Satta Bazar has made no projections for the Congress. In its earlier projections at the time of announcement of polls, the market had estimated 3 seats for the grand old party.
Delhi Elections 2025: 699 candidates in fray
With the nominations process concluding on January 20, the last date of withdrawal of nominations, Delhi will see a contest on 70 seats where a total of 699 candidates will try and prove their mettle. While the AAP and Congress have fielded their candidates on all 70 seats, the BJP is contesting 68 seats while its alliance partners the JD(U) and LJP (Ram Vilas) will contest one seat each.
Polling in all 70 seats will be held on February 5 and the results will be declared on February 8. The term of the Delhi Assembly ends on February 23.
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