I thought to write an article on "where to invest in the year 2013". I appreciate the fact that all of us are looking for these readymade answers to our financial problems but then this is like feeding fish to a person. I thought and pondered that rather than giving fish to the readers and feeding them for one day why not teach the readers how to fish themselves and make their tummy full for life. As such I ventured on writing the “10 Commandments on Mutual Fund investing” which I hope will give financial freedom to the readers and what better a New Year gift than freeing somebody from money and its problems.
Commandment 1: Thou shall make a proper Asset Allocation Plan Asset Allocation is the primary premise for investments. The only thing in your control is asset allocation and the good news is that 90% of portfolio variability is due to asset allocation while only 10% of the variability in portfolio performance is due to market timing and stock selection. Remember that all assets move in business and economic cycles of their own and while one asset might be in a bear market there might simultaneously be another asset class in a big bull market of its own. The broader fund groups of equities, bonds and commodities (others being real estate and art) will lead you to the gateway of long term wealth creation and sustenance. Risk and return are inextricably entwined. As a general rule, do not expect higher return from safe investments. However, do expect higher long term wealth creation from the optimal asset allocation in various funds whose combined risk as a portfolio is much less than the risk of the individual funds which make it up. Portfolios behave differently from their individual constituents. The aim of an optimal asset allocation is not to invest only in safe assets but to invest in a combination of safe and risky assets whose combined risk is much less than the individual constituents and at the same time offers higher degree of return. Therefore, focus on the behavior of your portfolio and not its constituents. Small portions of your portfolio will often sustain serious losses, but will cause only minor damage to the whole portfolio. Commandment 2: Thou shall budget for yourself via regular MF investing Try to create a budget surplus by ensuring your income is more than your expenses. And then channelize your additional income properly into investments like mutual funds. Make paying yourself via budget surplus a priority like how you pay to the Government (taxes), bank (loan EMIs), utility bills, school fees etc. Then start a proper systematic investment plan (SIP) in your favorite MF schemes keeping in mind Commandment 1. Commandment 3: Thou shall not over invest in Liquid Funds Liquid Funds are only for parking “temporary surplus” and not for long term investments. If you believe that liquid funds are for long term investments then you believe in the fallacy that “saving is investing” and are in for a rude shock. The rules of money permanently changed in the year 1971 when the then US President Mr. Richard Nixon took the US off the gold standard and granted itself the license to print money. Since, then the US Dollar and other world “currencies” have depreciated while the price of all commodities measured against it be it precious metals like gold, silver or industrial metals like steel, copper, aluminum or agricultural commodities – all have gone up and will continue to go up over the long term. That's why we call "money as currency". Therefore, don’t save in terms of money – currency whose value is continuously and incessantly losing its value. In this modern information age of currency, savers are losers. Hence, Liquid Funds are to be used just as an instrument to park temporary funds in order to earn superior return on your short term funds as compared to bank deposits and not as a long term investment vehicle. Commandment 4: Thou shall not ignore Equity Funds Thou shall not ignore equity funds because they are the gateway to long term wealth creation. If you ignore equity funds and only invest in debt funds then you are doing the grave mistake which may considerably hinder your long term wealth creation potential. An all bond portfolio is the not the less risky portfolio; infact addition of a small amount of stock to an all bond portfolio actually reduces the risk slightly while improving the return considerably. The corollary to this would be that addition of a small amount of bond to an all stock portfolio would significantly reduce risk while only marginally bringing down the return. Commandment 5: Thou shall not commit the common mistakes while investing in MFs Many a times, individual rational intelligent persons commit simple mistakes while making investment decisions, which then get compounded while investing in mutual funds. Fund managers, marketers as well as the markets themselves have its own ways of finding and exploiting human weaknesses. I try to mention some of them below:- Don't imagine that a low NAV is cheap while a high NAV is costly. A MF unit in itself has no value - it is "not" an asset like a house property, bond, equity stock, gold etc.
- Don’t make the mistake of believing that a MF NAV is too costly or cheap because a MF unit can’t be costly or cheap – it is not an asset in itself which can be costly or cheap – it derives its value from the underlying investment.
- Buying MF NFO at “par” is another derivative of the first two mistakes – an investor can’t become more foolish when he invests in a MF NFO simply because it is available at “par value”. As explained above, the MF NAV is meaningless in itself as it is merely the value of the underlying asset.
- A grave mistake which investors do is sell winning funds while stick on to the losing ones. It’s important to be realistic about investments that are performing badly including MFs.
- Don’t pay too much credence to recent past performance because if you give too much importance to “continuous performance by looking at daily NAV” then you are inviting unnecessary worries for you in the form of selling a good fund and moving to a not so good fund, the MF churning advisors, income tax, higher commissions and other costs.
- Fund churning is a common advice which might be showered on you by your MF distributor. Instead of churning your fund just churn the MF distributor who gave you that advice. Distributors love the churning game – simply because it gives them extra commissions and fees while it gives you extra income tax, expenses and most probably a sub optimal fund.
- You may be put in the dividend temptation web by the MF distributors and marketers that a fund has declared dividend and it is trading cum-dividend and therefore take the advantage of earning “free” dividends. But, there is no free lunch in this world – particularly not in the world of investments and mutual funds. The dividend which a fund pays to an investor is immediately reduced from the NAV of the fund.
- Don’t fall victim to fancy Funds, fads and fantasies. Many new funds and schemes prop up during times of exuberance. These sector funds are simply smart tactics to collect money from the gullible investors. No sector or theme continuously performs well over a longer term.
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