Kevin Lynn spent years toiling in an effort to create momentum for his anti-H-1B movement to combat the prevalence of these visas, which allow US businesses to hire foreign experts. His group, the Institute for Sound Public Policy, took out advertisements and hawked stories regarding outsourcing, but the cause didn't catch on. Not even Donald Trump's efforts in his first term to limit visas prompted a lasting shift, the New York Times reported.
All of this changed last month, when the Trump administration proposed a $100,000 fee for each new H-1B visa, a move that surprised corporate leaders as well as advocates for immigrants. For Lynn, whose "America first" message in white-collar jobs had been dismissed so long, the surprise policy shift was vindication. "Our voices are being heard," he announced.
A shifting labour market
The political relevance of the new accusation is linked closely to the labour market. Foreigners are a small percent of the US work force overall but are about one in five software developers. They were seen for years as an addition to American workers, not a threat.
But the math had altered since 2022, when the big tech companies began firing tens of thousands of individuals. It had become more difficult for new graduates in computer science and engineering in America to get jobs, and computer-related work has picked up. Foreign workers were a convenient target of irritation against this background.
Trump's political math
The $100,000 visa fee lets Trump pose as an advocate for American workers while driving his broader agenda to remake US labour markets. Supporters argue the policy forces companies to invest in homegrown talent rather than outsourcing to cheaper foreign labour. The opposition retorts that the action is a blunt instrument that risks sending innovation overseas.
The action followed mounting pressure from Trump's political establishment, including far-right activist Laura Loomer, who intensified Lynn's anti-visa cause after the election. They diverted broader populist anger over outsourcing and globalization.
Industry pushback
The corporate leader reaction has been caustic. It has been one of the biggest offenders in H-1B visa abuse, but the technology sector now says it is too expensive to employ high-skilled staff with the new charge. People who work in health care, education, and non-profits—also industries that rely on skilled visas—threaten they might be severely short-staffed.
Immigration attorneys indicate companies will respond by shelving H-1B hiring, offshore outsourcing jobs, or seeking alternative visa programs. Others predict a fresh offshoring tide with corporations opening up operations in Canada, Europe, or Asia to house workers they can no longer relocate to the United States affordably.
The human cost
For foreign workers themselves, the expense has introduced a new level of uncertainty. Most have invested years of their lives living and working in the United States, studying and training with the expectation of securing long-term careers. The sudden spike in visa fees risks taking away opportunities from the very same pool of talent that has fuelled much of America's innovation.
Others also argue the policy puts the potential to close labour holes in those places where domestic supply cannot meet demand at risk. During a time of heightened technology competition with China, restrictions on access to foreign talent might erode US competitiveness.
A long-smouldering complaint
Above the din of outrage, Trump's move is rooted in resentments that have built up over years. For many like Lynn, the foreign labour force has long been a metaphor for a broader erosion of middle-class opportunities. What was once an outsider campaign is now national policy, reshaping both the politics of immigration and the economics of the American workforce.
The true impact of the $100,000 visa fee will play out over years to come. Meanwhile, it's one of the best examples yet of how new economic trends and populist opinion can propel a notion from the fringe to the mainstream of US policy.
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