HomeNewsOpinionStockology: Will markets see trend-reversal in last trading week of the year?

Stockology: Will markets see trend-reversal in last trading week of the year?

The historical data from TimeMap indicates a preference for bullish trends, and the uptrend could persist until the end of December

December 26, 2023 / 06:11 IST
Story continues below Advertisement
.
The prevailing sentiment in the market is optimistic and clear-cut; panic selling last week was succeeded by a recovery phase, instilling confidence in investors and traders

Over the recent fortnight, there has been increased volatility in the markets. The historical data from TimeMap indicates a preference for bullish trends, and the uptrend could persist until the end of December. Venus, the second most pivotal planet for wealth creation, has exerted influence over the past 45 days. However, on the 25th, it will ingress the sign Scorpio, a sign not conducive to wealth creation, and harmonious with planet Venus.

As mentioned in our earlier write-up, swift corrective rallies or price recoveries typically occur when Venus assumes a more favourable position; this enables trapped traders to exit with minimal losses. Upward momentum is building in technology and communication-related stocks and institutional investment is noticeably increasing. Additionally, a noteworthy development is the increased stability in INR/USD, with the possibility of the rupee strengthening.

Story continues below Advertisement

Also read: Primary market action | Six IPOs to hit Dalal Street with 14 listings scheduled this week

Technical: Post-election results, the Nifty was driven by FOMO sentiment and equally by the short-covering of the hedged positions. On the upside, the high-friction zone is 21,880 - 22,001, and the possibility of burning out of the bulls is very high; the chart formation of the last 10 days has started showing exhaustion gaps, which means the reversal would be as early as before January 31, 2023.