Hold Zee Entertainment Enterprises; target of Rs 167: Prabhudas Lilladher

Prabhudas Lilladher's research report on Zee Entertainment Enterprises

In an address to investors, Mr R Gopalan, Chairman of the Board, highlighted 1) revival plan is in place post-merger fall out and monthly reviews will be undertaken to track progress 2) an independent advisory committee has been formed to counter circulation of mis-information and 3) steps to enforce merger with Sony are still ongoing (ZEEL has approached NCLT to implement the merger scheme). We believe recalibration measures taken to reset the cost structure by re-visiting content, technology, marketing and people spends will take some time to unfold and the competitive landscape is likely to evolve after merger of Disney-Viacom18.

Outlook

We maintain our estimates and expect sales CAGR of 10% over next 2 years with EBITDA margin of 11.3%/16.8% in FY24E/FY25E but upgrade our rating to HOLD (earlier REDUCE) with a TP of Rs167 (12x FY26E EPS; no change in target multiple) amid ~18% correction in stock price since our last note.

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