Manufacturing activity in the United States remained weak in December, shrinking for a 14th consecutive month according to survey data released Wednesday.
The Institute for Supply Management's (ISM) manufacturing index was 47.4 percent in the final month of 2023, up from November's 46.7 percent figure.
The figure, though slightly higher than the consensus estimate, was still firmly under the 50-point mark separating growth from contraction.
"The U.S. manufacturing sector continued to contract, but at a slightly slower rate in December," said ISM survey chief Timothy Fiore in a statement.
"None of the six biggest manufacturing industries registered growth in December," he added.
Fiore noted that demand eased as well, with the new orders index contracting at a quicker rate and the new export orders index "essentially flat."
Overall, the manufacturing sector has been weak "thanks in large part to constrained capital spending," said economists at Pantheon Macroeconomics.
But sentiment should improve with a fall in interest rates this year.
"Anticipation of the US Federal Reserve holding off on interest-rate changes will encourage more companies to spend on capital investments again," said an ISM respondent in the computer and electronic products sector.
"As budgets get approval after the start of the calendar year, this should help drive investment and increase manufacturing activity once again," the respondent added.
The Fed has lifted the benchmark lending rate rapidly since early 2022, making borrowing more expensive as it sought to cool demand and curb surging inflation.
But the central bank has held rates steady at recent policy meetings, while optimism grows that rate cuts are on the way.
Economists at Pantheon expect an eventual rebound in manufacturing and the interest-sensitive housing sector.
They warned however that the boost to GDP growth would likely be "offset by softer growth in real consumption spending, where the lagged effect of the prior surge in rates has yet to fully work through."
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