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Foreign Workers: Japan quietly prepares for more immigration

The Japan government, treading a thin line between businesses complaining of labour shortages and a public that is broadly cautious over large-scale immigration, is letting the rise in foreign workers take its course. A post-COVID dearth of workers and swelling number of retirees has made the labour crunch tighter

August 04, 2023 / 16:36 IST
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It’s common knowledge that Japan isn’t an outlier when it comes to low fertility rates, merely a frontrunner. (Source: Bloomberg)

New statistics regularly pop up to illustrate the accelerating decline of Japan’s population. Last week, the first-ever drop of locals in all 47
prefectures
 made headlines. Numbers even began to decline in Okinawa, which has the country’s highest birthrate.

At this stage, it’s common knowledge that Japan isn’t an outlier when it comes to low fertility rates, merely a frontrunner. The same demographic crunch is starting to hit other nations, notably South Korea and China.
Fertility in every European Union country is below replacement level. When the debate quickly turns to the benefits of immigration, Japan is often painted as hostile, if not downright xenophobic, and rejecting the choice of foreign workers.

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Take a closer look at that data from last week, however. It shows the number of foreigners rose 11 percent from a year earlier to comprise 2.4 percent of the total population, or just under 3 million people; as the figures are from Jan. 1, that milestone has now likely already been passed. It often goes unremarked that the number of workers from overseas has more than doubled in the last decade alone, while the broader foreign community
(including students and families) has risen 50 percent.

Based on population projections, conversation has already been shifting to a future where foreigners will make up more than 10 percent of people in the country 50 years from now — similar to the current levels of the US, UK or France. Naturally, this creates some unease; what Japan may lack in economic dynamism, it makes up for in social cohesion. Civil unrest and large, no-go immigrant neighborhoods are basically unheard of.