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Buy Avanti Feeds; target of Rs 535: Geojit

Geojit is bullish on Avanti Feeds recommended buy rating on the stock with a target price of Rs 535 in its research report dated March 10, 2022.

March 10, 2022 / 21:59 IST
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The research firm ICICI Securities believes earnings of apparel brands and retail companies under their coverage may surprise positively from Q3FY22E as the likely demand recovery may result in better than expected margin performance. Some of the costs savings achieved during pandemic may sustain and coupled with high operating leverage may lead to higher than pre-covid margins from Q3FY22E.  Stocks like Trent, V-Mart and Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail are the preferred picks backed by their strong and consistent track record of execution.

Geojit's research report on Avanti Feeds

Avanti Feeds Ltd (AFL) is a leading manufacturer of Shrimp Feeds with a capacity of 6,00,000 MT, and Shrimp Processor & Exporter with a capacity of 22,000 MT. AFL has a tie-up with Thai Union Group, Thailand. We revised down our Target to Rs.535 (earlier Rs. 620) but upgrade to Buy (from Accumulate) factoring positive demand outlook and attractive valuation. Q3FY22 revenue grew by 17%YoY aided by growth in both Feed (18%YoY) & Processing segments (12%YoY). EBITDA de-grew by 27% YoY due to decline in EBITDA margin by 380bps YoY to 6.3% (3.5% in Q2FY22) on account of sharp surge in Feed raw material (RM) prices. Gross margin declined to 17% Vs 22.1% YoY. AFL has taken price hike Feed to reduce the impact of steep input price inflation. RM prices likely to ease when the supply issues normalize. Demand outlook has improved given better shrimp culture conditions, better farm-gate & export prices and re-opening of export markets. Revenue/PAT to grow at 11%/32% CAGR over FY22E-24E. We lower valuation to 16x (3Yr avg=20) on FY24E EPS to factor margin pressure.

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Outlook

Demand outlook is improving given the re-opening of hotels & malls in export markets along with better export & farm gate prices and favourable shrimp culture conditions. Considering current high volatility in RM prices, we lower our valuation to 16x FY24EP/E (3Yr avg=20) factoring margin pressure to arrive at a Target of Rs.535, but upgrade to Buy considering positive demand outlook and attractive valuation.

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