HomeNewsBusinessBudgetBudget 2024: Govt likely to stick to Rs 1.64 lakh crore fertiliser subsidy in FY25

Budget 2024: Govt likely to stick to Rs 1.64 lakh crore fertiliser subsidy in FY25

The government will be aided in this by the fact that input costs have come off record highs, and a further boost to domestic urea production will also help. Moreover, according to a World Bank report, 'a resumption of China’s exports and lower-than-expected crop prices could contribute to further declines in fertiliser prices'.

July 19, 2024 / 17:50 IST
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Fertiliser companies have struggled with weak prices, muted demand and an influx of low-cost Chinese inventory in the global market through FY24, but are now seeing green shoots of recovery.
Fertiliser companies have struggled with weak prices, muted demand and an influx of low-cost Chinese inventory in the global market through FY24, but are now seeing green shoots of recovery.

The upcoming Union budget on July 23 is likely to keep the fertiliser subsidy at approximately Rs 1.64 lakh crore as estimated in the interim financial statement of the government, which is a significant reduction of over 13 percent from the previous year’s expenditure of Rs 1.89 lakh crore, a government official said.

“The fertiliser subsidy allocation is likely to remain more or less the same in the Union budget as urea imports will be significantly lower this year with a boost in nano urea, and the global input prices are expected to be stable,” the official told Moneycontrol on condition of anonymity.

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“Fertiliser input costs have dropped significantly from their 2022-23 peaks. Key inputs for fertiliser production saw substantial price declines from their 2022-23 records. Compared to 2023, prices are expected to average lower in 2024 and 2025. However, a resumption of China’s exports and lower-than-expected crop prices could contribute to further declines in fertiliser prices,” a blog post on the April edition of the Commodity Markets Outlook, a flagship report published by the World Bank, said.

India has seen significantly high fertiliser subsidy expenditures in the past few years, coming in at at over Rs 2.5 lakh crore in 2022-23, due to volatile global fertiliser prices.