Nifty Microcap 250

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US Mkt build on gains, ‘Takaichi Trade’ Powers Japanese Mkt. Nifty less than 2% away from fresh high

Indian equity benchmarks Sensex and Nifty are likely to open higher on February 10, tracking gains in GIFT Nifty, which was trading around 25,984.50.

Track the latest updates on GIFT Nifty right here on Moneycontrol.

Indian benchmark indices extended gains from the previous session, supported by positive global cues and broad-based buying across sectors, after the announcement of an interim trade framework with the US that includes a reduction in reciprocal tariffs to 18 percent on several Indian goods.

At close, the Sensex was up 485.35 points or 0.58 percent at 84,065.75, and the Nifty was up 173.60 points or 0.68 percent at 25,867.30.

Here is how financial markets across the globe fared overnight:

GIFT Nifty (Up)

GIFT Nifty was trading higher at around 25,984.50, indicating a positive opening for the day.

Asian Equities (Up)

Asian equities rose on Tuesday as a recovery in US tech stocks gathered momentum after last week’s selloff tied to concerns over massive spending on artificial intelligence.



US Equities (Rise)

The S&amp;amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq rose solidly after a shaky start on Monday, as technology stocks found their footing following last week's AI-sparked selloff, while investors waited for key economic data that could shed light on the Federal Reserve's interest-rate path.

While the Dow notched its second closing record in a row with a small gain, the S&amp;amp;P 500 ultimately finished short of its closing record.

After surpassing 50,000 points for the first time on Friday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 20.20 points, or 0.04%, to 50,135.87. The S&amp;amp;P 500 gained 32.52 points, or 0.47%, to 6,964.82, and the Nasdaq Composite gained 207.46 points, or 0.90%, to 23,238.67.

The Nasdaq finished 3% below its latest record closing high, reached in November, while the S&amp;amp;P 500 was just out of reach of its last record close of 6978.60 reached on January 27.



US Bond Yield (Down)

The yield on 10-year Treasuries and 2-year Treasuries were little changed at 4.19% and 3.48%, respectively.

First Tick: Top global cues to watch in today’s trade

Geopolitical developments and commodity price volatility key market risks to monitor, Focus should be on companies that can translate policy tailwinds into sustained earnings growth rather than short-term thematic trades, Expect Q4 earnings to show further stability to improvement

* Geopolitical developments and commodity price volatility key market risks to monitor
* Focus should be on companies that can translate policy tailwinds into sustained earnings growth rather than short-term thematic trades
* Expect Q4 earnings to show further stability to improvement

shorts/business/daily-voice-geopolitical-and-commodity-risks-persist-yet-domestic-growth-stays-resilient-says-divam-sharma

* Geopolitical developments and commodity price volatility key market risks to monitor
* Focus should be on companies that can translate policy tailwinds into sustained earnings growth rather than short-term thematic trades
* Expect Q4 earnings to show further stability to improvement

According to Divam Sharma, the Co-Founder and Fund Manager at Green Portfolio PMS, geopolitical developments and commodity price volatility are key market risks to monitor. However, at this point, they are not overshadowing the underlying domestic growth momentum, he said in an interview to Moneycontrol.

After India–US interim trade agreement, for long-term investors, this is shaping up to be a good phase to increase equity exposure selectively rather than remain on the sidelines, Divam Sharma believes.

The focus should be on companies that can translate policy tailwinds into sustained earnings growth rather than short-term thematic trades, he advised.

What is your take on the India–US interim trade agreement? Do you think the worst is over for the market?

The India–US interim trade agreement is a meaningful positive for markets and reinforces India’s positioning as a preferred investment destination in global supply chains. It improves visibility for exporters and manufacturers and is also supportive for foreign institutional flows.

Domestically, growth remains resilient, corporate balance sheets are strong, and earnings are gradually broadening. After the recent correction in parts of the market, valuations in several segments now look attractive from a medium-term perspective.

While geopolitical risks remain a variable, the overall setup appears constructive. For long-term investors, this is shaping up to be a good phase to increase equity exposure selectively rather than remain on the sidelines.

Do you plan to take exposure to sectors that are beneficiaries of the India–US interim trade agreement?

Yes — we are already positioned in some of the beneficiary sectors and are selectively increasing exposure where fundamentals, order visibility, and balance-sheet strength are compelling.

We are also looking at the opportunity through a broader lens — factoring in India’s wider trade engagements, the direction from the Budget, and relative valuations. The focus remains on companies that can translate policy tailwinds into sustained earnings growth rather than short-term thematic trades.

After easing trade-related concerns, what do you see as the biggest challenges and supports for the equity market going forward?

On the support side, infrastructure spending, defense manufacturing, the energy transition, and manufacturing linked to global supply-chain diversification remain powerful structural drivers. If Budget announcements continue to be executed effectively on the ground, they should further strengthen the earnings outlook.

On the challenge front, geopolitical developments and commodity price volatility are key risks to monitor. However, at this point, they are not overshadowing the underlying domestic growth momentum.

Overall, we expect volatility to persist in the short term, but the medium-term outlook for Indian equities remains firmly positive.

Are you satisfied with the Q3 earnings performance? Do you expect the earnings recovery to continue in Q4?

Q3 earnings were encouraging and broadly in line with expectations, with improving trends across several cyclical and domestic-oriented sectors.

We expect Q4 to show further stability to improvement, supported by government spending, infrastructure activity, and healthy consumption trends. A gradually broadening earnings recovery should underpin the next leg of the market.

Are you concerned about rising oil prices?

At present levels, oil prices are not a major concern. India’s macro position is relatively comfortable, and corporate margins have room to absorb moderate fluctuations.

Of course, a sharp and sustained spike in crude would need close monitoring, but it is not our base-case scenario.

Are you avoiding the IT sector after Anthropic’s launch of a sophisticated legal-focused AI tool weighed on the space?

We have been selectively underweight IT, but we view the current phase as one of transition rather than structural decline.

AI adoption is likely to reshape service models and open up new growth avenues over time. We are watching closely for companies that demonstrate the ability to pivot quickly, protect margins, and build scalable AI-led offerings. Those leaders could present attractive opportunities as the cycle evolves.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by experts on Moneycontrol are their own and not those of the website or its management. Moneycontrol advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

Daily Voice: Geopolitical and commodity risks persist, yet domestic growth stays resilient, says Divam Sharma

According to Divam Sharma, the Co-Founder and Fund Manager at Green Portfolio PMS, geopolitical developments and commodity price volatility are key market risks to monitor. However, at this point, they are not overshadowing the underlying domestic growth momentum, he said in an interview to Moneycontrol.

After India–US interim trade agreement, for long-term investors, this is shaping up to be a good phase to increase equity exposure selectively rather than remain on the sidelines, Divam Sharma believes.

The focus should be on companies that can translate policy tailwinds into sustained earnings growth rather than short-term thematic trades, he advised.

What is your take on the India–US interim trade agreement? Do you think the worst is over for the market?

The India–US interim trade agreement is a meaningful positive for markets and reinforces India’s positioning as a preferred investment destination in global supply chains. It improves visibility for exporters and manufacturers and is also supportive for foreign institutional flows.

Domestically, growth remains resilient, corporate balance sheets are strong, and earnings are gradually broadening. After the recent correction in parts of the market, valuations in several segments now look attractive from a medium-term perspective.

While geopolitical risks remain a variable, the overall setup appears constructive. For long-term investors, this is shaping up to be a good phase to increase equity exposure selectively rather than remain on the sidelines.

Do you plan to take exposure to sectors that are beneficiaries of the India–US interim trade agreement?

Yes — we are already positioned in some of the beneficiary sectors and are selectively increasing exposure where fundamentals, order visibility, and balance-sheet strength are compelling.

We are also looking at the opportunity through a broader lens — factoring in India’s wider trade engagements, the direction from the Budget, and relative valuations. The focus remains on companies that can translate policy tailwinds into sustained earnings growth rather than short-term thematic trades.

After easing trade-related concerns, what do you see as the biggest challenges and supports for the equity market going forward?

On the support side, infrastructure spending, defense manufacturing, the energy transition, and manufacturing linked to global supply-chain diversification remain powerful structural drivers. If Budget announcements continue to be executed effectively on the ground, they should further strengthen the earnings outlook.

On the challenge front, geopolitical developments and commodity price volatility are key risks to monitor. However, at this point, they are not overshadowing the underlying domestic growth momentum.

Overall, we expect volatility to persist in the short term, but the medium-term outlook for Indian equities remains firmly positive.

Are you satisfied with the Q3 earnings performance? Do you expect the earnings recovery to continue in Q4?

Q3 earnings were encouraging and broadly in line with expectations, with improving trends across several cyclical and domestic-oriented sectors.

We expect Q4 to show further stability to improvement, supported by government spending, infrastructure activity, and healthy consumption trends. A gradually broadening earnings recovery should underpin the next leg of the market.

Are you concerned about rising oil prices?

At present levels, oil prices are not a major concern. India’s macro position is relatively comfortable, and corporate margins have room to absorb moderate fluctuations.

Of course, a sharp and sustained spike in crude would need close monitoring, but it is not our base-case scenario.

Are you avoiding the IT sector after Anthropic’s launch of a sophisticated legal-focused AI tool weighed on the space?

We have been selectively underweight IT, but we view the current phase as one of transition rather than structural decline.

AI adoption is likely to reshape service models and open up new growth avenues over time. We are watching closely for companies that demonstrate the ability to pivot quickly, protect margins, and build scalable AI-led offerings. Those leaders could present attractive opportunities as the cycle evolves.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by experts on Moneycontrol are their own and not those of the website or its management. Moneycontrol advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

Sensex Today | Stock Market LIVE Updates: ONGC, Tata Motors PV, Axis Bank, Cipla, Eternal, were among major gainers on the Nifty, while losers were HCL Technologies, Wipro, Hindalco, Shriram Finance, JSW Steel. Nifty Midcap index up marginally, while smallcap index up 0.5%.

Stock Market LIVE Updates: Nifty at 25,900, Sensex up 140 pts; Bata shines 7% post earnings

Live Blog

Healthy momentum and technical indicators suggest upward market move, Nifty may march toward psychological 26,000 level, followed by 26,200 zone, Support is placed at 25,800

* Healthy momentum and technical indicators suggest upward market move
* Nifty may march toward psychological 26,000 level, followed by 26,200 zone
* Support is placed at 25,800

shorts/business/trading-plan-can-bullish-momentum-drive-nifty-50-and-bank-nifty-higher-for-a-third-straight-session

* Healthy momentum and technical indicators suggest upward market move
* Nifty may march toward psychological 26,000 level, followed by 26,200 zone
* Support is placed at 25,800

The second gap-up opening in the current month following a correction, along with healthy momentum and technical indicators, has signalled a strong market mood. Hence, experts expect the Nifty 50 to march toward the psychological 26,000 level, followed by the 26,200 zone in the upcoming sessions, as long as it holds the 25,800 support. A fall below this level could drag the index toward 25,641. Meanwhile, the Bank Nifty is likely to surpass the 61,000 zone, followed by 61,765 (the record high seen last week). However, immediate support is placed at 60,500–60,400, followed by 60,150.

On February 9, the Nifty 50 surged 174 points (0.68 percent) to 25,867, while the Bank Nifty rallied 549 points (0.91 percent) to 60,669. Market breadth turned strong after recent weakness, with about 2,324 shares backed by bulls against 612 shares supported by bears on the NSE.

Nifty Outlook and Strategy

Jay Thakkar, Head of Derivatives and Quant Research and Vice President at ICICI Securities

The Nifty has closed well above the 25,800 level, indicating that the uptrend is likely to continue, as a close above 25,800 increases the likelihood of the index heading toward 26,000 levels. The highest Call base on an immediate basis is at the 26,000 level, so above this, the index could gain further momentum; otherwise, it may consolidate within a range of 25,700–26,000. Below 25,700, the next support lies at 25,500, which is very important, as a break below this level carries the risk of the entire gap being filled toward 25,100. However, this is less likely if the uptrend is to continue.

The broader market has performed well, and the index PCR has jumped beyond 1, indicating bullishness in the near term. Overall market sentiment remains positive. India VIX has also cooled off from its recent high of 16, and is now likely to trade in the 10–15 range. As long as it does not close above 15, markets are likely to trade with a sideways-to-positive bias.

FII index shorts have declined from around 2 lakh contracts, indicating short covering, while participation in the equity cash segment has also improved, suggesting support at lower levels. Hence, the strategy should be to buy at current levels as well as on dips, as long as 25,500 is held on a closing basis.

Key Resistance: 26,000, 26,200

Key Support: 25,700, 25,500

Strategy: Buy Nifty Futures at CMP of 25,867 and on dips near 25,750, with a stop-loss of 25,490 on a closing basis, targeting 26,000 and 26,200.

Jigar S Patel, Senior Manager - Equity Research at Anand Rathi

In the latest trading session, the sharp recovery from intraday lows reflects aggressive buying interest at lower levels and reinforces the underlying strength in the market.

From a technical perspective, the index found strong support in the 25,500–25,600 zone, which coincides with the confluence of the 20-day and 50-day DEMA, an area that continues to act as a demand zone. On the daily chart, a bullish divergence in the RSI is visible, indicating strengthening momentum and hinting at potential upside in the coming sessions.

On the derivatives front, the Put–Call Ratio (PCR) rebounded sharply to 1.05 after slipping to 0.80 intraday, signalling improved sentiment and a more balanced positioning structure.

Collectively, these technical and derivative indicators suggest a possible continuation of bullish momentum, provided the index sustains above key support levels.

Key Resistance: 26,000, 26,150

Key Support: 25,700, 25,600

Strategy: Buy Nifty Futures in the 25,900–25,800 zone, with a stop-loss of 25,600, targeting 26,250.

Aditya Thukral, Founder &amp; Analyst of AT Research &amp; Risk Managers

The Nifty 50 has managed to close above the 20-day EMA in three out of the last four trading sessions. This was expected to maintain the bullish stance on the index, and given the recent price action following a strong gap-up, maintaining a bullish outlook appears justified.

The index has been closing above all major EMAs—20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day—over the past few sessions, with all EMAs sloping upward, which is a positive sign. Strengthening market breadth, which has been improving over the last few days, further supports the view that buying momentum is gaining traction after a patchy phase over the past two to three months.

In the derivatives segment, aggressive long build-up and mild short covering point to a bullish bias. Any dip toward the 25,700–25,800 support zone could be a buying opportunity over the next couple of days.

Key Resistance: 25,950, 26,150

Key Support: 25,750, 25,550

Strategy: Buy Nifty Futures on dips around 25,820 with a stop-loss of 25,699, targeting 26,000.

Bank Nifty - Outlook and Positioning

Jay Thakkar, Head of Derivatives and Quant Research and Vice President at ICICI Securities

The Bank Nifty has bounced back strongly with improved data. The 60,000 strike currently has the highest Put base, and as long as it remains intact, the short-term trend remains positive. On the upside, the 61,000 strike has the highest Call base, indicating a short-term range of 60,000–61,000.

The Bank Nifty PCR has also improved and remains well above 1, signalling positive short-term sentiment. Public sector banks continue to outperform, while selling pressure in private sector banks has eased. As a result, short covering in private sector banks cannot be ruled out, which could help the index move beyond the 61,000 level.

Key Resistance; 61,000, 63,000

Key Support: 60,000, 59,500

Strategy: Buy at CMP and on dips near 60,000, with a stop-loss below 59,500, targeting 62,000 and 63,000.

Jigar S Patel, Senior Manager - Equity Research at Anand Rathi

From a technical perspective, the Bank Nifty index found robust support in the 59,800–60,000 zone. This region coincides with a previous breakout area as well as falling trendline support, reinforcing it as a strong demand zone. Additionally, the daily RSI is trending higher and sustaining above the 50 mark, indicating strengthening bullish momentum.

On the derivatives front, the Put–Call Ratio (PCR) improved to 1.01 after slipping to 0.92 intraday, suggesting stabilising sentiment and a more balanced positioning structure.

Taken together, these technical and derivatives indicators point toward the continuation of bullish momentum in the near term, provided the index sustains above the 60,300–60,400 support zone.

Key Resistance: 60,900, 61,000

Key Support: 60,400, 60,300

Strategy: Buy Bank Nifty Futures in the 60,750–60,600 zone, with a stop-loss of 60,250, targeting 61,500.

Aditya Thukral, Founder &amp; Analyst of AT Research &amp; Risk Managers

Prices have been able to sustain above the breakout from the falling trendline in the banking index and are now witnessing follow-up buying after a strong gap-up, further strengthening the bullish outlook. An intact uptrend marked by higher highs and higher lows makes the index a buy-on-dips candidate.

Prices have been closing above all major EMAs—20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day—with all EMAs sloping higher. The 14-period RSI is hovering near the 60 level, and further strength in prices can be expected as it is still not close to the overbought zone.

A sideways-to-positive price action may emerge, as derivatives positioning indicates mild short covering by traders.

Key Resistance: 60,900, 61,000

Key Support: 60,300, 59,800

Strategy: Buy Bank Nifty Futures on dips around 60,450 with a stop-loss of 60,150, targeting 60,900.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by experts on Moneycontrol are their own and not those of the website or its management. Moneycontrol advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

Trading Plan: Can bullish momentum drive Nifty 50 and Bank Nifty higher for a third straight session?

The second gap-up opening in the current month following a correction, along with healthy momentum and technical indicators, has signalled a strong market mood. Hence, experts expect the Nifty 50 to march toward the psychological 26,000 level, followed by the 26,200 zone in the upcoming sessions, as long as it holds the 25,800 support. A fall below this level could drag the index toward 25,641. Meanwhile, the Bank Nifty is likely to surpass the 61,000 zone, followed by 61,765 (the record high seen last week). However, immediate support is placed at 60,500–60,400, followed by 60,150.

On February 9, the Nifty 50 surged 174 points (0.68 percent) to 25,867, while the Bank Nifty rallied 549 points (0.91 percent) to 60,669. Market breadth turned strong after recent weakness, with about 2,324 shares backed by bulls against 612 shares supported by bears on the NSE.

Nifty Outlook and Strategy

Jay Thakkar, Head of Derivatives and Quant Research and Vice President at ICICI Securities

The Nifty has closed well above the 25,800 level, indicating that the uptrend is likely to continue, as a close above 25,800 increases the likelihood of the index heading toward 26,000 levels. The highest Call base on an immediate basis is at the 26,000 level, so above this, the index could gain further momentum; otherwise, it may consolidate within a range of 25,700–26,000. Below 25,700, the next support lies at 25,500, which is very important, as a break below this level carries the risk of the entire gap being filled toward 25,100. However, this is less likely if the uptrend is to continue.

The broader market has performed well, and the index PCR has jumped beyond 1, indicating bullishness in the near term. Overall market sentiment remains positive. India VIX has also cooled off from its recent high of 16, and is now likely to trade in the 10–15 range. As long as it does not close above 15, markets are likely to trade with a sideways-to-positive bias.

FII index shorts have declined from around 2 lakh contracts, indicating short covering, while participation in the equity cash segment has also improved, suggesting support at lower levels. Hence, the strategy should be to buy at current levels as well as on dips, as long as 25,500 is held on a closing basis.

Key Resistance: 26,000, 26,200

Key Support: 25,700, 25,500

Strategy: Buy Nifty Futures at CMP of 25,867 and on dips near 25,750, with a stop-loss of 25,490 on a closing basis, targeting 26,000 and 26,200.

Jigar S Patel, Senior Manager - Equity Research at Anand Rathi

In the latest trading session, the sharp recovery from intraday lows reflects aggressive buying interest at lower levels and reinforces the underlying strength in the market.

From a technical perspective, the index found strong support in the 25,500–25,600 zone, which coincides with the confluence of the 20-day and 50-day DEMA, an area that continues to act as a demand zone. On the daily chart, a bullish divergence in the RSI is visible, indicating strengthening momentum and hinting at potential upside in the coming sessions.

On the derivatives front, the Put–Call Ratio (PCR) rebounded sharply to 1.05 after slipping to 0.80 intraday, signalling improved sentiment and a more balanced positioning structure.

Collectively, these technical and derivative indicators suggest a possible continuation of bullish momentum, provided the index sustains above key support levels.

Key Resistance: 26,000, 26,150

Key Support: 25,700, 25,600

Strategy: Buy Nifty Futures in the 25,900–25,800 zone, with a stop-loss of 25,600, targeting 26,250.

Aditya Thukral, Founder &amp;amp; Analyst of AT Research &amp;amp; Risk Managers

The Nifty 50 has managed to close above the 20-day EMA in three out of the last four trading sessions. This was expected to maintain the bullish stance on the index, and given the recent price action following a strong gap-up, maintaining a bullish outlook appears justified.

The index has been closing above all major EMAs—20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day—over the past few sessions, with all EMAs sloping upward, which is a positive sign. Strengthening market breadth, which has been improving over the last few days, further supports the view that buying momentum is gaining traction after a patchy phase over the past two to three months.

In the derivatives segment, aggressive long build-up and mild short covering point to a bullish bias. Any dip toward the 25,700–25,800 support zone could be a buying opportunity over the next couple of days.

Key Resistance: 25,950, 26,150

Key Support: 25,750, 25,550

Strategy: Buy Nifty Futures on dips around 25,820 with a stop-loss of 25,699, targeting 26,000.

Bank Nifty - Outlook and Positioning

Jay Thakkar, Head of Derivatives and Quant Research and Vice President at ICICI Securities

The Bank Nifty has bounced back strongly with improved data. The 60,000 strike currently has the highest Put base, and as long as it remains intact, the short-term trend remains positive. On the upside, the 61,000 strike has the highest Call base, indicating a short-term range of 60,000–61,000.

The Bank Nifty PCR has also improved and remains well above 1, signalling positive short-term sentiment. Public sector banks continue to outperform, while selling pressure in private sector banks has eased. As a result, short covering in private sector banks cannot be ruled out, which could help the index move beyond the 61,000 level.

Key Resistance; 61,000, 63,000

Key Support: 60,000, 59,500

Strategy: Buy at CMP and on dips near 60,000, with a stop-loss below 59,500, targeting 62,000 and 63,000.

Jigar S Patel, Senior Manager - Equity Research at Anand Rathi

From a technical perspective, the Bank Nifty index found robust support in the 59,800–60,000 zone. This region coincides with a previous breakout area as well as falling trendline support, reinforcing it as a strong demand zone. Additionally, the daily RSI is trending higher and sustaining above the 50 mark, indicating strengthening bullish momentum.

On the derivatives front, the Put–Call Ratio (PCR) improved to 1.01 after slipping to 0.92 intraday, suggesting stabilising sentiment and a more balanced positioning structure.

Taken together, these technical and derivatives indicators point toward the continuation of bullish momentum in the near term, provided the index sustains above the 60,300–60,400 support zone.

Key Resistance: 60,900, 61,000

Key Support: 60,400, 60,300

Strategy: Buy Bank Nifty Futures in the 60,750–60,600 zone, with a stop-loss of 60,250, targeting 61,500.

Aditya Thukral, Founder &amp;amp; Analyst of AT Research &amp;amp; Risk Managers

Prices have been able to sustain above the breakout from the falling trendline in the banking index and are now witnessing follow-up buying after a strong gap-up, further strengthening the bullish outlook. An intact uptrend marked by higher highs and higher lows makes the index a buy-on-dips candidate.

Prices have been closing above all major EMAs—20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day—with all EMAs sloping higher. The 14-period RSI is hovering near the 60 level, and further strength in prices can be expected as it is still not close to the overbought zone.

A sideways-to-positive price action may emerge, as derivatives positioning indicates mild short covering by traders.

Key Resistance: 60,900, 61,000

Key Support: 60,300, 59,800

Strategy: Buy Bank Nifty Futures on dips around 60,450 with a stop-loss of 60,150, targeting 60,900.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by experts on Moneycontrol are their own and not those of the website or its management. Moneycontrol advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

4 out of 5 years Nifty Microcap 250 has given negative returns in February.

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