NIFTY Energy

Nifty 50 direction remains uncertain at this stage, Bet on HCL Technologies, Punjab National Bank for next week, Bullish view on AU Small Finance Bank, Federal Bank, Bank of India remains intact, Technical factors reinforce likelihood of upside breakout in Nifty IT index in near term

* Nifty 50 direction remains uncertain at this stage
* Bet on HCL Technologies, Punjab National Bank for next week
* Bullish view on AU Small Finance Bank, Federal Bank, Bank of India remains intact
* Technical factors reinforce likelihood of upside breakout in Nifty IT index in near term

shorts/business/chartist-talk-direction-for-nifty-50-remains-uncertain-but-sudeep-shah-bets-on-these-top-5-stocks-for-next-week

* Nifty 50 direction remains uncertain at this stage
* Bet on HCL Technologies, Punjab National Bank for next week
* Bullish view on AU Small Finance Bank, Federal Bank, Bank of India remains intact
* Technical factors reinforce likelihood of upside breakout in Nifty IT index in near term

The 20-day EMA continues to slope lower, while the 50-day and 100-day EMAs are largely flat, underscoring the lack of strong directional conviction. Momentum indicators echo this uncertainty, said Sudeep Shah, the Head - Technical and Derivatives Research at SBI Securities in an interview to Moneycontrol.

He believes the current price structure supports the possibility of a significant breakout in the Nifty IT index in the near term.

Sudeep Shah is betting on <a href="https://www.moneycontrol.com/india/stockpricequote/computers-software/hcltechnologies/HCL02">HCL Technologies</a>, and <a href="https://www.moneycontrol.com/india/stockpricequote/banks-public-sector/punjabnationalbank/PNB05">Punjab National Bank</a> for next week. Further, he maintains bullish view on <a href="https://www.moneycontrol.com/india/stockpricequote/banks-private-sector/ausmallfinancebank/ASF02">AU Small Finance Bank</a>, <a href="https://www.moneycontrol.com/india/stockpricequote/banks-private-sector/federalbank/FB">Federal Bank</a> and <a href="https://www.moneycontrol.com/india/stockpricequote/banks-public-sector/bankindia/BOI">Bank of India</a> remains intact, supported by both sectoral and stock-specific technical strength.

Do you expect the Nifty 50 to break out of its consolidation on the upside?

After posting a fresh all-time high of 26,373 on January 5, the Nifty has entered a corrective phase. Importantly, the decline has been arrested near the 100-day EMA — a key technical support that has held steadily for the past five trading sessions. The index is now hovering around this zone, suggesting consolidation rather than any signs of panic-driven selling.

On the weekly chart, Nifty has printed a Doji candle, reflecting growing indecision among market participants amid the ongoing Q3 earnings season. The key question now is whether this consolidation is simply a pause before the next move, or a precursor to a deeper correction.

From a technical perspective, the short-term trend remains subdued. The 20-day EMA continues to slope lower, while the 50-day and 100-day EMAs are largely flat, underscoring the lack of strong directional conviction. Momentum indicators echo this uncertainty, with the daily RSI trapped in a narrow range of 38.55–42.84 for five consecutive sessions — a clear sign of subdued momentum and a cautious, wait-and-watch stance among traders. Historically, such extended compression in momentum tends to precede a sharp directional breakout, though the direction remains uncertain at this stage.

Going forward, Q3 earnings from index heavyweights are likely to act as the primary catalyst for Nifty’s next directional move. On the upside, the 25,900–25,950 zone near the 20-day EMA will be an important resistance area; a sustained breakout above 25,950 could trigger a quick rebound towards 26,200, with 26,500 as the next short-term objective. Conversely, the 25,500–25,450 band remains a crucial support zone, and a decisive breakdown below 25,450 could open the door for a sharper phase of correction.

Given the improvement in momentum and technical indicators, do you see the Bank Nifty hitting a fresh record high next week?

Bank Nifty extended its streak of outperformance versus the frontline indices for another week. While the broader market remained largely flat, the banking index gained 1.42%, further strengthening its relative leadership. On the weekly timeframe, the index has formed a bullish candle with a small lower shadow, suggesting that buying interest continues to emerge on declines.

The Bank Nifty–Nifty ratio has moved to a 132-week high, clearly reflecting a phase of sustained outperformance. Structurally, the trend remains firmly positive, with the index trading comfortably above its key moving averages. Momentum indicators also remain supportive, as the daily RSI is holding above the 60 mark and continues to trend higher.

Looking ahead, the Q3 earnings announcements of key heavyweights HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank over the weekend are likely to act as important triggers and could shape the next leg of movement in the index.

From a levels perspective, the 60,400–60,500 zone is expected to act as a crucial resistance area. A convincing close above 60,500 could open the door for a swift move toward 61,200, with further upside potential toward 62,000 in the near term. On the downside, immediate support is placed in the 59,300–59,400 band.

Do you see the formation of a cup-and-handle pattern in Nifty IT on the daily chart? If so, does it indicate a potential significant breakout in the near term?

Yes, a cup and handle–like pattern is clearly visible on the daily chart of the Nifty IT index. The current price structure supports the possibility of a significant breakout in the near term. The index is trading comfortably above its key moving averages, indicating sustained strength, and the daily RSI is on the verge of crossing above the 60 level, which typically reflects improving momentum. Together, these factors reinforce the likelihood of an upside breakout in the near term.

What are your top two stock picks for next week?

<a href="https://www.moneycontrol.com/india/stockpricequote/computers-software/hcltechnologies/HCL02">HCL Technologies</a>

HCL Technologies has delivered a downward-sloping trendline breakout on the daily chart, signalling a potential trend reversal. The stock found strong support near the confluence of its 50-day and 200-day EMAs on January 5 and has been steadily moving higher since then. Momentum indicators remain supportive, with RSI trending upward. Additionally, DI+ crossing above DI- on ADX suggests strengthening bullish strength.

The ratio line in Nifty IT/Nifty ratio has also broken above its previous high, indicating possible outperformance ahead, with the stock poised to lead the rally. Hence, we recommend accumulating the stock in the zone of Rs 1,700-1,690 with a stop-loss of Rs 1,630. On the upside, it is likely to test the level of Rs 1,850 in the short term.

<a href="https://www.moneycontrol.com/india/stockpricequote/banks-public-sector/punjabnationalbank/PNB05">Punjab National Bank</a>

PNB has delivered a horizontal trendline resistance breakout on the daily chart, backed by a healthy rise in volumes. The Rs 127.5–128.5 zone, which earlier acted as a strong supply area, has now been decisively surpassed. Notably, the stock has closed above the upper Bollinger Band for two consecutive sessions, signalling strong momentum and aggressive buying interest, often seen in the early phase of a trending move.

ADX is steadily rising, indicating strengthening bullish trend strength. Additionally, the Nifty PSU Bank/Nifty ratio continues to move sharply higher, highlighting clear relative outperformance within the PSU banking space Hence, we recommend accumulating the stock in the zone of Rs 133-132 with a stop-loss of Rs 127. On the upside, it is likely to test the level of Rs 145 in the short term.

Are you maintaining a bullish view on AU Small Finance Bank, Federal Bank and Bank of India?

Yes, the bullish view on AU Small Finance Bank, Federal Bank and Bank of India remains intact, supported by both sectoral and stock-specific technical strength.

Both private banks and PSU banks are clearly outperforming the benchmark, as reflected by fresh breakouts and rising ratio line on their respective ratio charts versus the Nifty, indicating sustained relative strength.

Bank of India has witnessed a horizontal trendline breakout on the daily chart, backed by a rise in volumes. The stock is trading above its key moving averages, while the MACD remains above both the signal line and the zero line, confirming positive momentum. The price action and indicator setup suggest scope for continuation of the ongoing upmove.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts on Moneycontrol.com are their own and not those of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

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Chartist Talk: Direction for Nifty 50 remains uncertain but Sudeep Shah bets on these top 5 stocks for next week

The 20-day EMA continues to slope lower, while the 50-day and 100-day EMAs are largely flat, underscoring the lack of strong directional conviction. Momentum indicators echo this uncertainty, said Sudeep Shah, the Head - Technical and Derivatives Research at SBI Securities in an interview to Moneycontrol.

He believes the current price structure supports the possibility of a significant breakout in the Nifty IT index in the near term.

Sudeep Shah is betting on HCL Technologies, and Punjab National Bank for next week. Further, he maintains bullish view on AU Small Finance Bank, Federal Bank and Bank of India remains intact, supported by both sectoral and stock-specific technical strength.

Do you expect the Nifty 50 to break out of its consolidation on the upside?

After posting a fresh all-time high of 26,373 on January 5, the Nifty has entered a corrective phase. Importantly, the decline has been arrested near the 100-day EMA — a key technical support that has held steadily for the past five trading sessions. The index is now hovering around this zone, suggesting consolidation rather than any signs of panic-driven selling.

On the weekly chart, Nifty has printed a Doji candle, reflecting growing indecision among market participants amid the ongoing Q3 earnings season. The key question now is whether this consolidation is simply a pause before the next move, or a precursor to a deeper correction.

From a technical perspective, the short-term trend remains subdued. The 20-day EMA continues to slope lower, while the 50-day and 100-day EMAs are largely flat, underscoring the lack of strong directional conviction. Momentum indicators echo this uncertainty, with the daily RSI trapped in a narrow range of 38.55–42.84 for five consecutive sessions — a clear sign of subdued momentum and a cautious, wait-and-watch stance among traders. Historically, such extended compression in momentum tends to precede a sharp directional breakout, though the direction remains uncertain at this stage.

Going forward, Q3 earnings from index heavyweights are likely to act as the primary catalyst for Nifty’s next directional move. On the upside, the 25,900–25,950 zone near the 20-day EMA will be an important resistance area; a sustained breakout above 25,950 could trigger a quick rebound towards 26,200, with 26,500 as the next short-term objective. Conversely, the 25,500–25,450 band remains a crucial support zone, and a decisive breakdown below 25,450 could open the door for a sharper phase of correction.

Given the improvement in momentum and technical indicators, do you see the Bank Nifty hitting a fresh record high next week?

Bank Nifty extended its streak of outperformance versus the frontline indices for another week. While the broader market remained largely flat, the banking index gained 1.42%, further strengthening its relative leadership. On the weekly timeframe, the index has formed a bullish candle with a small lower shadow, suggesting that buying interest continues to emerge on declines.

The Bank Nifty–Nifty ratio has moved to a 132-week high, clearly reflecting a phase of sustained outperformance. Structurally, the trend remains firmly positive, with the index trading comfortably above its key moving averages. Momentum indicators also remain supportive, as the daily RSI is holding above the 60 mark and continues to trend higher.

Looking ahead, the Q3 earnings announcements of key heavyweights HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank over the weekend are likely to act as important triggers and could shape the next leg of movement in the index.

From a levels perspective, the 60,400–60,500 zone is expected to act as a crucial resistance area. A convincing close above 60,500 could open the door for a swift move toward 61,200, with further upside potential toward 62,000 in the near term. On the downside, immediate support is placed in the 59,300–59,400 band.

Do you see the formation of a cup-and-handle pattern in Nifty IT on the daily chart? If so, does it indicate a potential significant breakout in the near term?

Yes, a cup and handle–like pattern is clearly visible on the daily chart of the Nifty IT index. The current price structure supports the possibility of a significant breakout in the near term. The index is trading comfortably above its key moving averages, indicating sustained strength, and the daily RSI is on the verge of crossing above the 60 level, which typically reflects improving momentum. Together, these factors reinforce the likelihood of an upside breakout in the near term.

What are your top two stock picks for next week?

HCL Technologies

HCL Technologies has delivered a downward-sloping trendline breakout on the daily chart, signalling a potential trend reversal. The stock found strong support near the confluence of its 50-day and 200-day EMAs on January 5 and has been steadily moving higher since then. Momentum indicators remain supportive, with RSI trending upward. Additionally, DI+ crossing above DI- on ADX suggests strengthening bullish strength.

The ratio line in Nifty IT/Nifty ratio has also broken above its previous high, indicating possible outperformance ahead, with the stock poised to lead the rally. Hence, we recommend accumulating the stock in the zone of Rs 1,700-1,690 with a stop-loss of Rs 1,630. On the upside, it is likely to test the level of Rs 1,850 in the short term.

Punjab National Bank

PNB has delivered a horizontal trendline resistance breakout on the daily chart, backed by a healthy rise in volumes. The Rs 127.5–128.5 zone, which earlier acted as a strong supply area, has now been decisively surpassed. Notably, the stock has closed above the upper Bollinger Band for two consecutive sessions, signalling strong momentum and aggressive buying interest, often seen in the early phase of a trending move.

ADX is steadily rising, indicating strengthening bullish trend strength. Additionally, the Nifty PSU Bank/Nifty ratio continues to move sharply higher, highlighting clear relative outperformance within the PSU banking space Hence, we recommend accumulating the stock in the zone of Rs 133-132 with a stop-loss of Rs 127. On the upside, it is likely to test the level of Rs 145 in the short term.

Are you maintaining a bullish view on AU Small Finance Bank, Federal Bank and Bank of India?

Yes, the bullish view on AU Small Finance Bank, Federal Bank and Bank of India remains intact, supported by both sectoral and stock-specific technical strength.

Both private banks and PSU banks are clearly outperforming the benchmark, as reflected by fresh breakouts and rising ratio line on their respective ratio charts versus the Nifty, indicating sustained relative strength.

Bank of India has witnessed a horizontal trendline breakout on the daily chart, backed by a rise in volumes. The stock is trading above its key moving averages, while the MACD remains above both the signal line and the zero line, confirming positive momentum. The price action and indicator setup suggest scope for continuation of the ongoing upmove.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts on Moneycontrol.com are their own and not those of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

Union Budget likely to do fine-tuning existing schemes, reallocating spending toward high-multiplier areas, Budget to maintain fiscal discipline, support to export segments impacted due to tariffs, Focused push in budget to fast-track PSU privatisation could be a game changer

* Union Budget likely to do fine-tuning existing schemes, reallocating spending toward high-multiplier areas
* Budget to maintain fiscal discipline, support to export segments impacted due to tariffs
* Focused push in budget to fast-track PSU privatisation could be a game changer

shorts/business/daily-voice-focused-push-in-budget-2026-to-fast-track-psu-privatisation-could-be-a-game-changer-says-entrust-s-karthik

* Union Budget likely to do fine-tuning existing schemes, reallocating spending toward high-multiplier areas
* Budget to maintain fiscal discipline, support to export segments impacted due to tariffs
* Focused push in budget to fast-track PSU privatisation could be a game changer

According to Karthik S, the Head of Family Office Investment Advisory at Entrust Family Office, the focus in Union Budget is likely to be on fine-tuning existing schemes, reallocating spending toward high-multiplier areas, maintaining fiscal discipline, and possibly added support to export segments impacted due to tariffs.

A focused push in this budget to fast-track PSU privatisation which will unlock value, improve efficiency, and increase competitiveness could be a game changer, he believes.

On the recent rangebound market action, he is of the view that if earnings recovery broadens, market breadth is likely to improve. "Key drivers for market performance in 2026 include positive progress on tariffs, a strengthening earnings outlook, and stable geopolitical conditions," he said in an interview to Moneycontrol.

Do you expect meaningful reforms in the Union Budget, even after the government has announced several measures in recent months to boost economic and earnings growth? Which single focus area could be a game changer?

This year’s Budget will be under focus amid geopolitical tensions, and trade disruptions. With several growth-supportive measures already announced, such as continued focus on capex with faster infrastructure rollout, Direct tax benefits and GST rationalisation, expectations should hinge more towards measured reforms.

The focus is likely to be on fine-tuning existing schemes, reallocating spending toward high-multiplier areas, maintaining fiscal discipline, and possibly added support to export segments impacted due to tariffs. Maintaining continuity with selective targeted improvements could be expected rather than any sweeping changes.

A focused push in this budget to fast-track PSU privatisation which will unlock value, improve efficiency, and increase competitiveness could be a game changer.

Do you agree that PSUs offer significant upside and are now more reasonably valued than the private sector?

It is not possible to generalise. Select PSU banks and energy PSUs look attractive. PSU banks have witnessed re-rating recently benefiting from reasonable credit growth, asset book improvements, and expected NIM stability. Credit revival could potentially drive further re-rating. Energy-linked PSUs are entering an execution-led phase with more predictable cash flows.

On the other hand, few defence sector PSUs look expensive having seen significant valuation gains driven by robust order books and rising optimism on spends.

Certain segments offer attractive valuations, making 2026 a year for selective alpha. Well-managed PSUs with strong earnings visibility could deliver significant upside.

Which themes do you expect to perform well this year despite uncertain global cues?

Sectors such as banks, metals, autos, and few capital goods are poised to benefit from sustained infrastructure push, uptick in credit growth, and consumption trends. Progress on resolving tariff challenges could further accelerate export-oriented industries by providing significant tailwinds.

Additionally, energy, and select IT services remain attractive driven by increasing global demand and technological shifts. A clear policy framework on privatization could unlock substantial value in select PSU stocks, enhancing their growth prospects.

In general, companies showing better earnings visibility and comfort in valuations will benefit.

Do you expect the US Federal Reserve to continue its monetary policy easing cycle?

Recent Fed’s dot plot points to a gradual, limited easing for 2026–27, a shift from rapid easing to a measured strategy. Inflation has moderated but remains above target. The labour market shows slower job growth and GDP is projected to grow moderately.

Fed is expected to take a cautious data-driven approach, with modest cuts during the year if inflation eases and labour conditions soften.

Do you think US tariffs are likely to persist for a longer period?

India remains cautiously optimistic, with officials noting that active negotiations are underway with the US to manage and potentially ease tariff pressures through pragmatic negotiated solutions. At the same time, the US Supreme Court’s decision is still awaited. Given how long this has been ongoing, no one can predict the outcome or its timeline. We will have to wait and watch how it unfolds.

Do you expect the equity market to deliver a significant breakout, or remain range-bound in current year, given that performance has been largely flat over the past 15 months?

If earnings recovery broadens, market breadth is likely to improve. Key drivers for market performance in 2026 include positive progress on tariffs, a strengthening earnings outlook, and stable geopolitical conditions. Ultimately, the sustainability of the earnings trajectory is crucial to justify valuations and fuel a breakout in market performance. While we remain optimistic about the 2026 trend, it’s essential to closely monitor developments on the earnings front.

Do you believe this tough period will lead to the emergence of many important companies from India?

Tough times often provide opportunities for new leaders to emerge, and we really hope that this period helps Indian companies to emerge, reinvent and adapt to market shifts and become global leaders.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts on Moneycontrol.com are their own and not those of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

Daily Voice: Focused push in Budget 2026 to fast-track PSU privatisation could be a game changer, says Entrust’s Karthik

According to Karthik S, the Head of Family Office Investment Advisory at Entrust Family Office, the focus in Union Budget is likely to be on fine-tuning existing schemes, reallocating spending toward high-multiplier areas, maintaining fiscal discipline, and possibly added support to export segments impacted due to tariffs.

A focused push in this budget to fast-track PSU privatisation which will unlock value, improve efficiency, and increase competitiveness could be a game changer, he believes.

On the recent rangebound market action, he is of the view that if earnings recovery broadens, market breadth is likely to improve. &quot;Key drivers for market performance in 2026 include positive progress on tariffs, a strengthening earnings outlook, and stable geopolitical conditions,&quot; he said in an interview to Moneycontrol.

Do you expect meaningful reforms in the Union Budget, even after the government has announced several measures in recent months to boost economic and earnings growth? Which single focus area could be a game changer?

This year’s Budget will be under focus amid geopolitical tensions, and trade disruptions. With several growth-supportive measures already announced, such as continued focus on capex with faster infrastructure rollout, Direct tax benefits and GST rationalisation, expectations should hinge more towards measured reforms.

The focus is likely to be on fine-tuning existing schemes, reallocating spending toward high-multiplier areas, maintaining fiscal discipline, and possibly added support to export segments impacted due to tariffs. Maintaining continuity with selective targeted improvements could be expected rather than any sweeping changes.

A focused push in this budget to fast-track PSU privatisation which will unlock value, improve efficiency, and increase competitiveness could be a game changer.

Do you agree that PSUs offer significant upside and are now more reasonably valued than the private sector?

It is not possible to generalise. Select PSU banks and energy PSUs look attractive. PSU banks have witnessed re-rating recently benefiting from reasonable credit growth, asset book improvements, and expected NIM stability. Credit revival could potentially drive further re-rating. Energy-linked PSUs are entering an execution-led phase with more predictable cash flows.

On the other hand, few defence sector PSUs look expensive having seen significant valuation gains driven by robust order books and rising optimism on spends.

Certain segments offer attractive valuations, making 2026 a year for selective alpha. Well-managed PSUs with strong earnings visibility could deliver significant upside.

Which themes do you expect to perform well this year despite uncertain global cues?

Sectors such as banks, metals, autos, and few capital goods are poised to benefit from sustained infrastructure push, uptick in credit growth, and consumption trends. Progress on resolving tariff challenges could further accelerate export-oriented industries by providing significant tailwinds.

Additionally, energy, and select IT services remain attractive driven by increasing global demand and technological shifts. A clear policy framework on privatization could unlock substantial value in select PSU stocks, enhancing their growth prospects.

In general, companies showing better earnings visibility and comfort in valuations will benefit.

Do you expect the US Federal Reserve to continue its monetary policy easing cycle?

Recent Fed’s dot plot points to a gradual, limited easing for 2026–27, a shift from rapid easing to a measured strategy. Inflation has moderated but remains above target. The labour market shows slower job growth and GDP is projected to grow moderately.

Fed is expected to take a cautious data-driven approach, with modest cuts during the year if inflation eases and labour conditions soften.

Do you think US tariffs are likely to persist for a longer period?

India remains cautiously optimistic, with officials noting that active negotiations are underway with the US to manage and potentially ease tariff pressures through pragmatic negotiated solutions. At the same time, the US Supreme Court’s decision is still awaited. Given how long this has been ongoing, no one can predict the outcome or its timeline. We will have to wait and watch how it unfolds.

Do you expect the equity market to deliver a significant breakout, or remain range-bound in current year, given that performance has been largely flat over the past 15 months?

If earnings recovery broadens, market breadth is likely to improve. Key drivers for market performance in 2026 include positive progress on tariffs, a strengthening earnings outlook, and stable geopolitical conditions. Ultimately, the sustainability of the earnings trajectory is crucial to justify valuations and fuel a breakout in market performance. While we remain optimistic about the 2026 trend, it’s essential to closely monitor developments on the earnings front.

Do you believe this tough period will lead to the emergence of many important companies from India?

Tough times often provide opportunities for new leaders to emerge, and we really hope that this period helps Indian companies to emerge, reinvent and adapt to market shifts and become global leaders.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts on Moneycontrol.com are their own and not those of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

Intelligent investing is about discipline, balance, and risk management, Next phase of wealth creation for Indian investors will come from investing more intelligently across the world, Portfolio construction incomplete without geographic allocation

* Intelligent investing is about discipline, balance, and risk management
* Next phase of wealth creation for Indian investors will come from investing more intelligently across the world
* Portfolio construction incomplete without geographic allocation

shorts/business/global-investing-the-missing-link-in-indian-portfolios

* Intelligent investing is about discipline, balance, and risk management
* Next phase of wealth creation for Indian investors will come from investing more intelligently across the world
* Portfolio construction incomplete without geographic allocation

Over the past year, Indian equity investors have faced an uncomfortable reality. The Nifty 50 delivered returns of roughly 10%, while mid-cap and small-cap indices slipped into negative territory. This matters because the average Indian investor’s portfolio is heavily tilted toward mid and small caps. As a result, many are facing the heat even when Nifty is trading close to its all-time highs.

This phase has exposed a deeper issue in how Indian investors build portfolios. Most portfolios are equity-heavy. Even within equities, investments are often concentrated in sectoral or thematic funds. While these choices may appear diversified on the surface, they are all tied to one underlying factor, the Indian economy. When growth moderates, liquidity tightens, or valuations compress domestically, the entire portfolio feels the impact at once. This is economic concentration risk, and it is far more common than investors realize.

If we step back and examine household asset allocation, the picture becomes clearer. Equity dominates. Commodities account for barely 2% of investor participation, and exposure to global markets is almost negligible. In contrast over the past 1 year, institutional investors withdrawn money from Indian market and spread it across countries, currencies, and asset classes. Retail investors, however, remain home-biased largely due to familiarity, comfort, and historical habit.

Yet the opportunity set outside India is vast. India represents around 4% of global market capitalization. By restricting portfolios to domestic markets alone, investors are effectively ignoring 96% of listed opportunities worldwide. Over the last one year itself, several global benchmark indices have delivered returns well above India’s headline indices. This is not an argument against India as long-term growth story. It is an argument against limiting portfolios to a single geography at all the times.

This is where the concept of global investing—investing beyond India becomes relevant. Global investing allows participation in economies that are at different points in the business cycle. While one region slows, another may accelerate. While one market faces valuation compression, another may benefit from earnings expansion or policy support. Country-level ETFs now make this access simple and cost-efficient. Importantly, Indian brokerage platforms have begun enabling global investing, removing operational barriers that existed earlier.

The below chart shows how different countries benchmark indices performed compared to Nifty 50 over the past 1 year.

<img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-13777314 aligncenter" src="https://images.moneycontrol.com/static-mcnews/2026/01/20260117201924_Image217012026.jpg" alt="Image217012026" width="1600" height="662" />

Currency appreciation benefit:

There is also a currency dimension that deserves attention. Over long periods, the Indian rupee has shown a structural depreciation bias against hard currencies, especially the US dollar. Global assets denominated in foreign currencies act as a natural hedge. Dollar-linked investments help protect real purchasing power. In this sense, global exposure is not only about chasing returns—it is equally about capital preservation.

Non-correlated assets:

Another crucial pillar of resilient portfolios is the inclusion of non-correlated assets. Non-correlated assets are investments whose returns do not move in tandem with equities. When stocks fall, these assets may remain stable or even rise. This reduces overall portfolio volatility and drawdowns. Commodities, global bonds, and select international equities often behave differently from domestic stocks, making them effective stabilizers during periods of stress.

Diversification of Portfolio:

Portfolio construction is incomplete without geographic allocation. Just as investors diversify across sectors and market capitalizations, they must also diversify across economies and currencies. A well-constructed portfolio should reflect global realities, not just domestic optimism.

Conclusion:

India will remain a core allocation for long-term investors, driven by demographics, consumption, and structural reforms. But intelligent investing is not about loyalty to a single market. It is about discipline, balance, and risk management. The next phase of wealth creation for Indian investors will not come from investing more aggressively in the same space, it will come from investing more intelligently across the world.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts on Moneycontrol.com are their own and not those of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

Jimeet Modi is the CEO and Founder of SAMCO Securities.

Global investing - The missing link in Indian portfolios

Over the past year, Indian equity investors have faced an uncomfortable reality. The Nifty 50 delivered returns of roughly 10%, while mid-cap and small-cap indices slipped into negative territory. This matters because the average Indian investor’s portfolio is heavily tilted toward mid and small caps. As a result, many are facing the heat even when Nifty is trading close to its all-time highs.

This phase has exposed a deeper issue in how Indian investors build portfolios. Most portfolios are equity-heavy. Even within equities, investments are often concentrated in sectoral or thematic funds. While these choices may appear diversified on the surface, they are all tied to one underlying factor, the Indian economy. When growth moderates, liquidity tightens, or valuations compress domestically, the entire portfolio feels the impact at once. This is economic concentration risk, and it is far more common than investors realize.

If we step back and examine household asset allocation, the picture becomes clearer. Equity dominates. Commodities account for barely 2% of investor participation, and exposure to global markets is almost negligible. In contrast over the past 1 year, institutional investors withdrawn money from Indian market and spread it across countries, currencies, and asset classes. Retail investors, however, remain home-biased largely due to familiarity, comfort, and historical habit.

Yet the opportunity set outside India is vast. India represents around 4% of global market capitalization. By restricting portfolios to domestic markets alone, investors are effectively ignoring 96% of listed opportunities worldwide. Over the last one year itself, several global benchmark indices have delivered returns well above India’s headline indices. This is not an argument against India as long-term growth story. It is an argument against limiting portfolios to a single geography at all the times.

This is where the concept of global investing—investing beyond India becomes relevant. Global investing allows participation in economies that are at different points in the business cycle. While one region slows, another may accelerate. While one market faces valuation compression, another may benefit from earnings expansion or policy support. Country-level ETFs now make this access simple and cost-efficient. Importantly, Indian brokerage platforms have begun enabling global investing, removing operational barriers that existed earlier.

The below chart shows how different countries benchmark indices performed compared to Nifty 50 over the past 1 year.



Currency appreciation benefit:

There is also a currency dimension that deserves attention. Over long periods, the Indian rupee has shown a structural depreciation bias against hard currencies, especially the US dollar. Global assets denominated in foreign currencies act as a natural hedge. Dollar-linked investments help protect real purchasing power. In this sense, global exposure is not only about chasing returns—it is equally about capital preservation.

Non-correlated assets:

Another crucial pillar of resilient portfolios is the inclusion of non-correlated assets. Non-correlated assets are investments whose returns do not move in tandem with equities. When stocks fall, these assets may remain stable or even rise. This reduces overall portfolio volatility and drawdowns. Commodities, global bonds, and select international equities often behave differently from domestic stocks, making them effective stabilizers during periods of stress.

Diversification of Portfolio:

Portfolio construction is incomplete without geographic allocation. Just as investors diversify across sectors and market capitalizations, they must also diversify across economies and currencies. A well-constructed portfolio should reflect global realities, not just domestic optimism.

Conclusion:

India will remain a core allocation for long-term investors, driven by demographics, consumption, and structural reforms. But intelligent investing is not about loyalty to a single market. It is about discipline, balance, and risk management. The next phase of wealth creation for Indian investors will not come from investing more aggressively in the same space, it will come from investing more intelligently across the world.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts on Moneycontrol.com are their own and not those of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

Broader indices lagged the benchmarks during the week, with mid- and small-cap indices extending losses for a second straight week, declining up to 0.4 percent.

For the week, BSE Sensex index fell 5.89 points at 83570.35, while Nifty50 index rose 11.05 points or 0.04 percent at 25694.35.

Sectorally, Nifty Consumer Durables, Realty, Pharma, Healthcare shed 2 percent each, Nifty Auto index slipped 1.75 percent and Nifty Media index down 1 percent during the week. On the other hand, Nifty PSU Bank, Metal added 4.5% each and Nifty IT index rose 2.8%.

Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) extended their selling in this week also as they offloaded equities worth Rs 14,265.58 crore. In contrast, Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) provided support to the market, purchasing equities worth RS 16,173.69 crore.

"The Indian equity markets experienced a range-bound trading week, with the benchmark index oscillating within the confines of its 50 and 100-day EMAs. Despite heightened intraday volatility and sharp swings in both directions, the Nifty50 concluded the truncated week on a subdued note, settling a tad below the 25700 mark and registering a marginal weekly gain of 0.04%," said Osho Krishan, Chief Manager -Technical and Derivative research at Angel One.

"The shortened trading week was eventful, influenced by a mix of global and domestic developments. Persistent concerns around trade tariffs and escalating geopolitical tensions continued to weigh on investor sentiment, fostering a cautious market environment. At the same time, ongoing quarterly earnings announcements and key macroeconomic data provided selective opportunities across sectors. Despite these headwinds, the market exhibited notable resilience. The Nifty50 index managed to contain downside risks, holding near the key EMA on the daily charts, underscoring the underlying strength and consolidation phase in the broader market structure."

"Going forward, it remains crucial to closely monitor global developments, particularly those related to trade tariffs and geopolitical tensions, as these factors are likely to act as significant catalysts in shaping near-term market trends. Additionally, several heavyweight constituents of the Nifty are scheduled to announce their earnings over the weekend, the impact of which is expected to be reflected in market action in the forthcoming sessions. In this backdrop, a prudent and disciplined approach is recommended, with market participants aligning their strategies around the aforementioned technical levels," he added.

The BSE Small-cap index declined nearly 0.5 percent during the week. Stocks such as Genesys International Corporation, Nectar Lifesciences, GTPL Hathway, Universal Cables, Tejas Networks, InfoBeans Technologies, Lotus Chocolate Company, United Foodbrands, Amal, Igarashi Motors, Cohance Lifesciences, Globus Spirits and Jindal Poly Films fell between 10–18 percent.

Meanwhile, Wardwizard Innovations and Mobility, JTL Industries, Antelopus Selan Energy, IFCI, Baazar Style Retail, Angel One, Dredging Corporation India, 3B BlackBio Dx, Neogen Chemicals and Antony Waste Handling Cell gained between 15–62 percent.

<img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-13776731" src="https://images.moneycontrol.com/static-mcnews/2026/01/20260117024726_14332.png" alt="14332" width="760" height="584" />

Where is Nifty50 headed?

Nagaraj Shetti, Senior Technical Research Analyst at HDFC Securities

Nifty on the weekly chart formed a small bull candle with upper and lower shadow. Technically, this market action signal formation of high wave type candle pattern after a sharp weakness of previous week. This reflects ongoing volatility in the market.

The underlying trend of Nifty remains choppy. A sustainable move above 25900 could open further upside for the next week. However, a slide below the support of 25500 could trigger more downside in the market ahead.

Ajit Mishra – SVP, Research, Religare Broking

The ongoing tussle around the medium-term moving average, the 100 DEMA near the 25,600 zone, is keeping participants cautious. The market is likely to take cues from the earnings announcements of key heavyweights such as Reliance Industries, HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank in early trade on Monday, which could determine the next directional move.

Until then, participants are advised to maintain a selective, stock-specific approach, focusing on sectors showing relative strength such as IT, financials and metals, while adhering to disciplined risk management in the prevailing volatile environment.

Amol Athawale, VP Technical Research, Kotak Securities

We are of the view that the current market formation is volatile and non-directional, and the short-term activity indicating a non-directional trend is likely to continue in the near future. On the downside, 25,500/83000 and 25,400/82700 would act as key support zones, while the daily SMA (Simple Moving Average) at 25,950/84600 and the 20-day SMA at 26,000/84800 would be crucial resistance levels for the bulls.

For Bank Nifty, as long as it is trading above the 20-day SMA at 59,500, the uptrend is likely to continue. On the higher side, it could move up to 60,500. Further upside potential may lift the index up to 60,800. Conversely, if it falls below the 20-day SMA at 59,500, the uptrend would become vulnerable.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by experts on Moneycontrol.com are their own and not those of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

Broader indices underperform but these 27 small-cap stocks gain up to 62%

Broader indices lagged the benchmarks during the week, with mid- and small-cap indices extending losses for a second straight week, declining up to 0.4 percent.

For the week, BSE Sensex index fell 5.89 points at 83570.35, while Nifty50 index rose 11.05 points or 0.04 percent at 25694.35.

Sectorally, Nifty Consumer Durables, Realty, Pharma, Healthcare shed 2 percent each, Nifty Auto index slipped 1.75 percent and Nifty Media index down 1 percent during the week. On the other hand, Nifty PSU Bank, Metal added 4.5% each and Nifty IT index rose 2.8%.

Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) extended their selling in this week also as they offloaded equities worth Rs 14,265.58 crore. In contrast, Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) provided support to the market, purchasing equities worth RS 16,173.69 crore.

&quot;The Indian equity markets experienced a range-bound trading week, with the benchmark index oscillating within the confines of its 50 and 100-day EMAs. Despite heightened intraday volatility and sharp swings in both directions, the Nifty50 concluded the truncated week on a subdued note, settling a tad below the 25700 mark and registering a marginal weekly gain of 0.04%,&quot; said Osho Krishan, Chief Manager -Technical and Derivative research at Angel One.

&quot;The shortened trading week was eventful, influenced by a mix of global and domestic developments. Persistent concerns around trade tariffs and escalating geopolitical tensions continued to weigh on investor sentiment, fostering a cautious market environment. At the same time, ongoing quarterly earnings announcements and key macroeconomic data provided selective opportunities across sectors. Despite these headwinds, the market exhibited notable resilience. The Nifty50 index managed to contain downside risks, holding near the key EMA on the daily charts, underscoring the underlying strength and consolidation phase in the broader market structure.&quot;

&quot;Going forward, it remains crucial to closely monitor global developments, particularly those related to trade tariffs and geopolitical tensions, as these factors are likely to act as significant catalysts in shaping near-term market trends. Additionally, several heavyweight constituents of the Nifty are scheduled to announce their earnings over the weekend, the impact of which is expected to be reflected in market action in the forthcoming sessions. In this backdrop, a prudent and disciplined approach is recommended, with market participants aligning their strategies around the aforementioned technical levels,&quot; he added.

The BSE Small-cap index declined nearly 0.5 percent during the week. Stocks such as Genesys International Corporation, Nectar Lifesciences, GTPL Hathway, Universal Cables, Tejas Networks, InfoBeans Technologies, Lotus Chocolate Company, United Foodbrands, Amal, Igarashi Motors, Cohance Lifesciences, Globus Spirits and Jindal Poly Films fell between 10–18 percent.

Meanwhile, Wardwizard Innovations and Mobility, JTL Industries, Antelopus Selan Energy, IFCI, Baazar Style Retail, Angel One, Dredging Corporation India, 3B BlackBio Dx, Neogen Chemicals and Antony Waste Handling Cell gained between 15–62 percent.



Where is Nifty50 headed?

Nagaraj Shetti, Senior Technical Research Analyst at HDFC Securities

Nifty on the weekly chart formed a small bull candle with upper and lower shadow. Technically, this market action signal formation of high wave type candle pattern after a sharp weakness of previous week. This reflects ongoing volatility in the market.

The underlying trend of Nifty remains choppy. A sustainable move above 25900 could open further upside for the next week. However, a slide below the support of 25500 could trigger more downside in the market ahead.

Ajit Mishra – SVP, Research, Religare Broking

The ongoing tussle around the medium-term moving average, the 100 DEMA near the 25,600 zone, is keeping participants cautious. The market is likely to take cues from the earnings announcements of key heavyweights such as Reliance Industries, HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank in early trade on Monday, which could determine the next directional move.

Until then, participants are advised to maintain a selective, stock-specific approach, focusing on sectors showing relative strength such as IT, financials and metals, while adhering to disciplined risk management in the prevailing volatile environment.

Amol Athawale, VP Technical Research, Kotak Securities

We are of the view that the current market formation is volatile and non-directional, and the short-term activity indicating a non-directional trend is likely to continue in the near future. On the downside, 25,500/83000 and 25,400/82700 would act as key support zones, while the daily SMA (Simple Moving Average) at 25,950/84600 and the 20-day SMA at 26,000/84800 would be crucial resistance levels for the bulls.

For Bank Nifty, as long as it is trading above the 20-day SMA at 59,500, the uptrend is likely to continue. On the higher side, it could move up to 60,500. Further upside potential may lift the index up to 60,800. Conversely, if it falls below the 20-day SMA at 59,500, the uptrend would become vulnerable.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by experts on Moneycontrol.com are their own and not those of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

<img class="wp-image-13776598 size-full" src="https://images.moneycontrol.com/static-mcnews/2026/01/20260116155620_market_flat.jpg" alt="Benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty ended the truncated week largely flat amid elevated volatility, weighed down by global trade uncertainties, geopolitical tensions, mixed global cues, and sustained FII outflows." width="1280" height="720" /> Benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty ended the truncated week largely flat amid elevated volatility, weighed down by global trade uncertainties, geopolitical tensions, mixed global cues, and sustained FII outflows.

<img class="size-full wp-image-13776601" src="https://images.moneycontrol.com/static-mcnews/2026/01/20260116155736_stock-market.jpg" alt="BSE Sensex index fell 5.89 points at 83570.35, while Nifty50 index rose 11.05 points or 0.04 percent at 25694.35." width="1280" height="720" /> BSE Sensex index fell 5.89 points at 83570.35, while Nifty50 index rose 11.05 points or 0.04 percent at 25694.35.

<img class="size-full wp-image-13776720" src="https://images.moneycontrol.com/static-mcnews/2026/01/20260117023021_sensex_nifty_sensex_market.jpg" alt="The BSE Mid-cap index ended marginally lower during the week, dragged down by LT Technology Services, Dixon Technologies, GE Vernova TD India, Hitachi Energy India, Bharti Hexacom and Kalyan Jewellers India. Meanwhile, Bank of India, Punjab &amp; Sind Bank, Oil India, Bank of Maharashtra, Federal Bank, Motilal Oswal Financial Services, Dalmia Bharat and Jindal Stainless emerged as gainers." width="1290" height="720" /> The BSE Mid-cap index ended marginally lower during the week, dragged down by LT Technology Services, Dixon Technologies, GE Vernova TD India, Hitachi Energy India, Bharti Hexacom and Kalyan Jewellers India. Meanwhile, Bank of India, Punjab &amp; Sind Bank, Oil India, Bank of Maharashtra, Federal Bank, Motilal Oswal Financial Services, Dalmia Bharat and Jindal Stainless emerged as gainers.

<img class="size-full wp-image-13776721" src="https://images.moneycontrol.com/static-mcnews/2026/01/20260117023100_Sensex_nifty_market_down_Sensex.jpg" alt="The BSE Small-cap index declined nearly 0.5 percent during the week. Stocks such as Genesys International Corporation, Nectar Lifesciences, GTPL Hathway, Universal Cables, Tejas Networks, InfoBeans Technologies, Lotus Chocolate Company, United Foodbrands, Amal, Igarashi Motors, Cohance Lifesciences, Globus Spirits and Jindal Poly Films fell between 10–18 percent. Meanwhile, Wardwizard Innovations and Mobility, JTL Industries, Antelopus Selan Energy, IFCI, Baazar Style Retail, Angel One, Dredging Corporation India, 3B BlackBio Dx, Neogen Chemicals and Antony Waste Handling Cell gained between 15–62 percent." width="1280" height="720" /> The BSE Small-cap index declined nearly 0.5 percent during the week. Stocks such as Genesys International Corporation, Nectar Lifesciences, GTPL Hathway, Universal Cables, Tejas Networks, InfoBeans Technologies, Lotus Chocolate Company, United Foodbrands, Amal, Igarashi Motors, Cohance Lifesciences, Globus Spirits and Jindal Poly Films fell between 10–18 percent. Meanwhile, Wardwizard Innovations and Mobility, JTL Industries, Antelopus Selan Energy, IFCI, Baazar Style Retail, Angel One, Dredging Corporation India, 3B BlackBio Dx, Neogen Chemicals and Antony Waste Handling Cell gained between 15–62 percent.

<img class="size-full wp-image-13776723" src="https://images.moneycontrol.com/static-mcnews/2026/01/20260117023136_Nifty_sensex_marketup.jpg" alt="The BSE Large-cap index ended with marginal gains during the week, led by Vedanta, Billionbrains Garage Ventures, Union Bank of India, IndusInd Bank, Punjab National Bank, Tech Mahindra, Oil and Natural Gas Corporation, Tata Steel and Hindustan Zinc. On the other hand, Polycab India, Divi’s Laboratories, CG Power and Industrial Solutions, Adani Energy Solutions, Cipla, ABB India, Larsen &amp; Toubro and Siemens were among the top losers." width="1280" height="720" /> The BSE Large-cap index ended with marginal gains during the week, led by Vedanta, Billionbrains Garage Ventures, Union Bank of India, IndusInd Bank, Punjab National Bank, Tech Mahindra, Oil and Natural Gas Corporation, Tata Steel and Hindustan Zinc. On the other hand, Polycab India, Divi’s Laboratories, CG Power and Industrial Solutions, Adani Energy Solutions, Cipla, ABB India, Larsen &amp; Toubro and Siemens were among the top losers.

<img class="size-full wp-image-13776726" src="https://images.moneycontrol.com/static-mcnews/2026/01/20260117024147_market_down_Sensex-Nifty2.jpg" alt="During the week, State Bank of India added the most in market capitalisation, followed by Infosys, UltraTech Cement and Tata Steel. In contrast, Larsen &amp; Toubro, Reliance Industries and Maruti Suzuki India saw the largest erosion in market value. (Disclaimer: MoneyControl is a part of the Network18 group. Network18 is controlled by Independent Media Trust, of which Reliance Industries is the soles beneficiary.)" width="1280" height="720" /> During the week, State Bank of India added the most in market capitalisation, followed by Infosys, UltraTech Cement, and Tata Steel. In contrast, Larsen &amp; Toubro, Reliance Industries, and Maruti Suzuki India saw the largest erosion in market value. (Disclaimer: MoneyControl is a part of the Network18 group. Network18 is controlled by Independent Media Trust, of which Reliance Industries is the sole beneficiary.)

<img class="size-full wp-image-13776727" src="https://images.moneycontrol.com/static-mcnews/2026/01/20260117024209_stock1.jpg" alt="Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) extended their selling in this week also as they offloaded equities worth Rs 14,265.58 crore. In contrast, Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) provided support to the market, purchasing equities worth RS 16,173.69 crore." width="1280" height="720" /> Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) extended their selling this week, also as they offloaded equities worth Rs 14,265.58 crore. In contrast, Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) provided support to the market, purchasing equities worth RS 16,173.69 crore.

<img class="size-full wp-image-13776728" src="https://images.moneycontrol.com/static-mcnews/2026/01/20260117024235_sensex_nifty_stocknew.jpg" alt="Sectorally, Nifty Consumer Durables, Realty, Pharma, Healthcare shed 2 percent each, Nifty Auto index slipped 1.75 percent and Nifty Media index down 1 percent during the week. On the other hand, Nifty PSU Bank, Metal added 4.5% each and Nifty IT index rose 2.8%." width="1280" height="720" /> Sectorally, Nifty Consumer Durables, Realty, Pharma, and Healthcare shed 2 percent each, Nifty Auto index slipped 1.75 percent, and Nifty Media index was down 1 percent during the week. On the other hand, Nifty PSU Bank and Metal added 4.5% each, and the  Nifty IT index rose 2.8%.

<img class="size-full wp-image-13776729" src="https://images.moneycontrol.com/static-mcnews/2026/01/20260117024256_rupee_dollar.jpg" alt="The Indian rupee continued to weaken against the U.S. dollar during the week, slipping to 90.86 per dollar on January 16 from 90.16 a week earlier, with the currency moving in a band of 89.98–90.87." width="1280" height="720" /> The Indian rupee continued to weaken against the U.S. dollar during the week, slipping to 90.86 per dollar on January 16 from 90.16 a week earlier, with the currency moving in a band of 89.98–90.87.

Sectorally, Nifty Consumer Durables, Realty, Pharma, Healthcare shed 2 percent each, Nifty Auto index slipped 1.75 percent and Nifty Media index down 1 percent during the week.

Benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty ended the truncated week largely flat amid elevated volatility, weighed down by global trade uncertainties, geopolitical tensions, mixed global cues, and sustained FII outflows.

BSE Sensex index fell 5.89 points at 83570.35, while Nifty50 index rose 11.05 points or 0.04 percent at 25694.35.

The BSE Mid-cap index ended marginally lower during the week, dragged down by LT Technology Services, Dixon Technologies, GE Vernova TD India, Hitachi Energy India, Bharti Hexacom and Kalyan Jewellers India. Meanwhile, Bank of India, Punjab &amp; Sind Bank, Oil India, Bank of Maharashtra, Federal Bank, Motilal Oswal Financial Services, Dalmia Bharat and Jindal Stainless emerged as gainers.

The BSE Small-cap index declined nearly 0.5 percent during the week. Stocks such as Genesys International Corporation, Nectar Lifesciences, GTPL Hathway, Universal Cables, Tejas Networks, InfoBeans Technologies, Lotus Chocolate Company, United Foodbrands, Amal, Igarashi Motors, Cohance Lifesciences, Globus Spirits and Jindal Poly Films fell between 10–18 percent. Meanwhile, Wardwizard Innovations and Mobility, JTL Industries, Antelopus Selan Energy, IFCI, Baazar Style Retail, Angel One, Dredging Corporation India, 3B BlackBio Dx, Neogen Chemicals and Antony Waste Handling Cell gained between 15–62 percent.

The BSE Large-cap index ended with marginal gains during the week, led by Vedanta, Billionbrains Garage Ventures, Union Bank of India, IndusInd Bank, Punjab National Bank, Tech Mahindra, Oil and Natural Gas Corporation, Tata Steel and Hindustan Zinc. On the other hand, Polycab India, Divi’s Laboratories, CG Power and Industrial Solutions, Adani Energy Solutions, Cipla, ABB India, Larsen &amp; Toubro and Siemens were among the top losers.

During the week, State Bank of India added the most in market capitalisation, followed by Infosys, UltraTech Cement and Tata Steel. In contrast, Larsen &amp; Toubro, Reliance Industries and Maruti Suzuki India saw the largest erosion in market value. (Disclaimer: MoneyControl is a part of the Network18 group. Network18 is controlled by Independent Media Trust, of which Reliance Industries is the soles beneficiary.)

Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) extended their selling in this week also as they offloaded equities worth Rs 14,265.58 crore. In contrast, Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) provided support to the market, purchasing equities worth RS 16,173.69 crore.

Sectorally, Nifty Consumer Durables, Realty, Pharma, Healthcare shed 2 percent each, Nifty Auto index slipped 1.75 percent and Nifty Media index down 1 percent during the week. On the other hand, Nifty PSU Bank, Metal added 4.5% each and Nifty IT index rose 2.8%.

The Indian rupee continued to weaken against the U.S. dollar during the week, slipping to 90.86 per dollar on January 16 from 90.16 a week earlier, with the currency moving in a band of 89.98–90.87.

Benchmarks flat in volatile week; rupee weakens against dollar

<img class="wp-image-13776598 size-full" src="https://images.moneycontrol.com/static-mcnews/2026/01/20260116155620_market_flat.jpg" alt="Benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty ended the truncated week largely flat amid elevated volatility, weighed down by global trade uncertainties, geopolitical tensions, mixed global cues, and sustained FII outflows." width="1280" height="720" /> Benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty ended the truncated week largely flat amid elevated volatility, weighed down by global trade uncertainties, geopolitical tensions, mixed global cues, and sustained FII outflows.

<img class="size-full wp-image-13776601" src="https://images.moneycontrol.com/static-mcnews/2026/01/20260116155736_stock-market.jpg" alt="BSE Sensex index fell 5.89 points at 83570.35, while Nifty50 index rose 11.05 points or 0.04 percent at 25694.35." width="1280" height="720" /> BSE Sensex index fell 5.89 points at 83570.35, while Nifty50 index rose 11.05 points or 0.04 percent at 25694.35.

<img class="size-full wp-image-13776720" src="https://images.moneycontrol.com/static-mcnews/2026/01/20260117023021_sensex_nifty_sensex_market.jpg" alt="The BSE Mid-cap index ended marginally lower during the week, dragged down by LT Technology Services, Dixon Technologies, GE Vernova TD India, Hitachi Energy India, Bharti Hexacom and Kalyan Jewellers India. Meanwhile, Bank of India, Punjab &amp; Sind Bank, Oil India, Bank of Maharashtra, Federal Bank, Motilal Oswal Financial Services, Dalmia Bharat and Jindal Stainless emerged as gainers." width="1290" height="720" /> The BSE Mid-cap index ended marginally lower during the week, dragged down by LT Technology Services, Dixon Technologies, GE Vernova TD India, Hitachi Energy India, Bharti Hexacom and Kalyan Jewellers India. Meanwhile, Bank of India, Punjab &amp; Sind Bank, Oil India, Bank of Maharashtra, Federal Bank, Motilal Oswal Financial Services, Dalmia Bharat and Jindal Stainless emerged as gainers.

<img class="size-full wp-image-13776721" src="https://images.moneycontrol.com/static-mcnews/2026/01/20260117023100_Sensex_nifty_market_down_Sensex.jpg" alt="The BSE Small-cap index declined nearly 0.5 percent during the week. Stocks such as Genesys International Corporation, Nectar Lifesciences, GTPL Hathway, Universal Cables, Tejas Networks, InfoBeans Technologies, Lotus Chocolate Company, United Foodbrands, Amal, Igarashi Motors, Cohance Lifesciences, Globus Spirits and Jindal Poly Films fell between 10–18 percent. Meanwhile, Wardwizard Innovations and Mobility, JTL Industries, Antelopus Selan Energy, IFCI, Baazar Style Retail, Angel One, Dredging Corporation India, 3B BlackBio Dx, Neogen Chemicals and Antony Waste Handling Cell gained between 15–62 percent." width="1280" height="720" /> The BSE Small-cap index declined nearly 0.5 percent during the week. Stocks such as Genesys International Corporation, Nectar Lifesciences, GTPL Hathway, Universal Cables, Tejas Networks, InfoBeans Technologies, Lotus Chocolate Company, United Foodbrands, Amal, Igarashi Motors, Cohance Lifesciences, Globus Spirits and Jindal Poly Films fell between 10–18 percent. Meanwhile, Wardwizard Innovations and Mobility, JTL Industries, Antelopus Selan Energy, IFCI, Baazar Style Retail, Angel One, Dredging Corporation India, 3B BlackBio Dx, Neogen Chemicals and Antony Waste Handling Cell gained between 15–62 percent.

<img class="size-full wp-image-13776723" src="https://images.moneycontrol.com/static-mcnews/2026/01/20260117023136_Nifty_sensex_marketup.jpg" alt="The BSE Large-cap index ended with marginal gains during the week, led by Vedanta, Billionbrains Garage Ventures, Union Bank of India, IndusInd Bank, Punjab National Bank, Tech Mahindra, Oil and Natural Gas Corporation, Tata Steel and Hindustan Zinc. On the other hand, Polycab India, Divi’s Laboratories, CG Power and Industrial Solutions, Adani Energy Solutions, Cipla, ABB India, Larsen &amp; Toubro and Siemens were among the top losers." width="1280" height="720" /> The BSE Large-cap index ended with marginal gains during the week, led by Vedanta, Billionbrains Garage Ventures, Union Bank of India, IndusInd Bank, Punjab National Bank, Tech Mahindra, Oil and Natural Gas Corporation, Tata Steel and Hindustan Zinc. On the other hand, Polycab India, Divi’s Laboratories, CG Power and Industrial Solutions, Adani Energy Solutions, Cipla, ABB India, Larsen &amp; Toubro and Siemens were among the top losers.

<img class="size-full wp-image-13776726" src="https://images.moneycontrol.com/static-mcnews/2026/01/20260117024147_market_down_Sensex-Nifty2.jpg" alt="During the week, State Bank of India added the most in market capitalisation, followed by Infosys, UltraTech Cement and Tata Steel. In contrast, Larsen &amp; Toubro, Reliance Industries and Maruti Suzuki India saw the largest erosion in market value. (Disclaimer: MoneyControl is a part of the Network18 group. Network18 is controlled by Independent Media Trust, of which Reliance Industries is the soles beneficiary.)" width="1280" height="720" /> During the week, State Bank of India added the most in market capitalisation, followed by Infosys, UltraTech Cement, and Tata Steel. In contrast, Larsen &amp; Toubro, Reliance Industries, and Maruti Suzuki India saw the largest erosion in market value. (Disclaimer: MoneyControl is a part of the Network18 group. Network18 is controlled by Independent Media Trust, of which Reliance Industries is the sole beneficiary.)

<img class="size-full wp-image-13776727" src="https://images.moneycontrol.com/static-mcnews/2026/01/20260117024209_stock1.jpg" alt="Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) extended their selling in this week also as they offloaded equities worth Rs 14,265.58 crore. In contrast, Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) provided support to the market, purchasing equities worth RS 16,173.69 crore." width="1280" height="720" /> Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) extended their selling this week, also as they offloaded equities worth Rs 14,265.58 crore. In contrast, Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) provided support to the market, purchasing equities worth RS 16,173.69 crore.

<img class="size-full wp-image-13776728" src="https://images.moneycontrol.com/static-mcnews/2026/01/20260117024235_sensex_nifty_stocknew.jpg" alt="Sectorally, Nifty Consumer Durables, Realty, Pharma, Healthcare shed 2 percent each, Nifty Auto index slipped 1.75 percent and Nifty Media index down 1 percent during the week. On the other hand, Nifty PSU Bank, Metal added 4.5% each and Nifty IT index rose 2.8%." width="1280" height="720" /> Sectorally, Nifty Consumer Durables, Realty, Pharma, and Healthcare shed 2 percent each, Nifty Auto index slipped 1.75 percent, and Nifty Media index was down 1 percent during the week. On the other hand, Nifty PSU Bank and Metal added 4.5% each, and the  Nifty IT index rose 2.8%.

<img class="size-full wp-image-13776729" src="https://images.moneycontrol.com/static-mcnews/2026/01/20260117024256_rupee_dollar.jpg" alt="The Indian rupee continued to weaken against the U.S. dollar during the week, slipping to 90.86 per dollar on January 16 from 90.16 a week earlier, with the currency moving in a band of 89.98–90.87." width="1280" height="720" /> The Indian rupee continued to weaken against the U.S. dollar during the week, slipping to 90.86 per dollar on January 16 from 90.16 a week earlier, with the currency moving in a band of 89.98–90.87.

8 out of 16 years NIFTY ENERGY has given positive returns in January.

Type	R1	R2	R3	PP	S1	S2	S3
Classic	34,645.48	34,944.62	35,143.93	34,446.17	34,147.03	33,947.72	33,648.58
Fibonacci	34,636.57	34,754.21	34,944.62	34,446.17	34,255.76	34,138.12	33,947.72
Camarilla	34,392.04	34,437.73	34,483.42	34,446.17	34,300.66	34,254.97	34,209.28

INDEX CONTRIBUTION - NIFTY Energy

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