BSE PSUBNK

Financial markets often behave in the most unexpected way. You've done your homework. You've analyzed the derivatives data. You enter the trade with confidence. Then the market does what it does best: it moves against you.

Your carefully planned bullish trade on Stock X starts bleeding red as the price drops from 580 to 530. Most traders panic here, either holding onto losing positions, hoping for a miracle, or doubling down and increasing their risk. But what if there was a third option? What if you could reshape your position to reduce risk, improve reward potential, or buy more time for your view to play out when your original conviction remains intact?

Let's understand this through real examples.

Scenario 1: Turning a losing position into a better structure

Say you're bullish on Stock X trading at 580. You buy a 580 call option for Rs. 23. The next day, the stock drops to 530, and your call is now worth just Rs. 7. Your initial reaction might be to hold and hope, or average down by buying more of the same option. Both approaches lock you into higher risk.

Here's where creativity helps. If you believe the stock will bounce from 530, buy a 530 call option trading at Rs. 22. Since many traders are stuck at the 580 level, it becomes a natural resistance point. Sell two 580 calls: one to exit your original position, and another to create a fresh trade. Your net position is now long 530 call at Rs. 22 and short 580 call at Rs. 8. This structure gives you better odds because you're positioned at the new support level rather than the old resistance.

Scenario 2: When your spread loses its edge

You entered a bull call spread at 580, buying the 580 call and selling the 620 call. The stock falls to 530. Your original spread now faces an uphill battle since 580 has turned into resistance. Instead of waiting and watching, adjust proactively. Exit the old 580-620 spread and create a new one by buying the 530 call and selling the 580 call. This new spread captures the full bounce potential from current levels, giving you a much higher probability of success.

Scenario 3: When time is running out

Sometimes the problem isn't direction but time. Imagine you're holding that same 580-620 bull call spread in December expiry, but the stock goes sideways. With just 10 days left to expiry, every passing day erodes your position's value, even if the stock doesn't move against you.

Solution? Roll the position forward. Square off the December spread and recreate the same 580-620 structure in the January expiry. This adjustment transforms a losing race against time into a viable trade with breathing room.

So next time the market moves against you, pause and ask yourself: Can I manage this trade creatively? Options give you flexibility that most instruments don't. Cultivate this habit consistently, and creative adjustments will become second nature.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by experts on Moneycontrol.com are their own and not those of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

Shubham Agarwal is a CEO &amp; Head of Research at Quantsapp Pvt. Ltd.

He has been into many major kinds of market research and has been a programmer himself in Tens of programming languages.

Earlier to the current position, Shubham has served for Motilal Oswal as Head of Quantitative, Technical &amp; Derivatives Research and as a Technical Analyst at JM Financial.

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MCD is a wholly owned subsidiary of Network 18 Media & Investments Ltd ("Network18"), in which Independent Media Trust (IMT) holds 56.89% stake. Reliance Industries Limited ("RIL") is the sole beneficiary of IMT. Network18 and RIL and their subsidiaries, joint ventures and associates can be considered as associates of MCD.

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Beyond Panic: Take control when your derivatives trade turns red, says Shubham Agarwal

Financial markets often behave in the most unexpected way. You've done your homework. You've analyzed the derivatives data. You enter the trade with confidence. Then the market does what it does best: it moves against you.

Your carefully planned bullish trade on Stock X starts bleeding red as the price drops from 580 to 530. Most traders panic here, either holding onto losing positions, hoping for a miracle, or doubling down and increasing their risk. But what if there was a third option? What if you could reshape your position to reduce risk, improve reward potential, or buy more time for your view to play out when your original conviction remains intact?

Let's understand this through real examples.

Scenario 1: Turning a losing position into a better structure

Say you're bullish on Stock X trading at 580. You buy a 580 call option for Rs. 23. The next day, the stock drops to 530, and your call is now worth just Rs. 7. Your initial reaction might be to hold and hope, or average down by buying more of the same option. Both approaches lock you into higher risk.

Here's where creativity helps. If you believe the stock will bounce from 530, buy a 530 call option trading at Rs. 22. Since many traders are stuck at the 580 level, it becomes a natural resistance point. Sell two 580 calls: one to exit your original position, and another to create a fresh trade. Your net position is now long 530 call at Rs. 22 and short 580 call at Rs. 8. This structure gives you better odds because you're positioned at the new support level rather than the old resistance.

Scenario 2: When your spread loses its edge

You entered a bull call spread at 580, buying the 580 call and selling the 620 call. The stock falls to 530. Your original spread now faces an uphill battle since 580 has turned into resistance. Instead of waiting and watching, adjust proactively. Exit the old 580-620 spread and create a new one by buying the 530 call and selling the 580 call. This new spread captures the full bounce potential from current levels, giving you a much higher probability of success.

Scenario 3: When time is running out

Sometimes the problem isn't direction but time. Imagine you're holding that same 580-620 bull call spread in December expiry, but the stock goes sideways. With just 10 days left to expiry, every passing day erodes your position's value, even if the stock doesn't move against you.

Solution? Roll the position forward. Square off the December spread and recreate the same 580-620 structure in the January expiry. This adjustment transforms a losing race against time into a viable trade with breathing room.

So next time the market moves against you, pause and ask yourself: Can I manage this trade creatively? Options give you flexibility that most instruments don't. Cultivate this habit consistently, and creative adjustments will become second nature.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by experts on Moneycontrol.com are their own and not those of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

"We have no doubt that FIIs will return in 2026 as the reasons for selling are now reversing," said Dinshaw Irani, MD &amp; CEO at Helios India, in an interview with Moneycontrol.

According to him, the valuations have become reasonable, and the growth rates are back. Even the main reasons - the outcome of the trade deal with the US and a confirmation on growth sustainability - are expected to be addressed by Q1CY26, he said.

Among sectors, he believes the domestic consumption demand-related sectors are the best placed to outperform. Selectively, one can even play the capex and infra theme, which will need to kick in to satisfy the growing domestic demand, he said.

Do you think the incoming Fed Chair is likely to push rates lower more aggressively in 2026?

The existing Chairman of the Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell's term is to end on May 15, 2026. A new Chairman is to be nominated by the POTUS, who has gone on record stating that he will reveal the name at the beginning of 2026. The betting counters in the US are pointing towards Kevin Hassett, his trusted economic advisor, to get nominated.

The Senate will subsequently have to confirm this nomination. The POTUS has already put one of his advisors, Stephen Miran, on the Fed Board temporarily, and he has voted for bumper rate cuts. If Hassett were to become the chair, he too would work in the same direction.

Do you believe earnings growth will pick up selectively next year, or will it be broad-based?

The marked slowdown in earnings growth started from the first quarter of FY25 and continued into the first quarter of FY26. The slowdown was a result of fiscal and monetary tightening undertaken in the previous year to control inflation, and has proved effective in controlling inflation.

However, the fiscal and monetary easing, too, which commenced in the last quarter of CY24, has been very effective in driving up consumption. Thus, we believe that domestic consumption-driven sectors will do potentially far better than export-driven companies.

Most experts believe there are enough reasons for FIIs to re-look at India. If yes, what factors are currently keeping them away from Indian markets, and do you expect them to return in 2026?

The sole reason for FIIs to move money out of the country was high valuations not being supported by adequate growth in earnings. FII exodus started in September last year with the drop in earnings growth, and since then, except for a few months, one has seen only outflows.

However, the reasons for selling are now reversing. The valuations have become reasonable, and the growth rates are back. Ideally, they should have started the buying spree, but we believe the main reasons for them to hold back are the outcome of the trade deal with the US and a confirmation on growth sustainability. Both these factors are expected to be addressed by Q1CY26. We do not doubt that they will return in 2026.

What are the top sectoral themes for next year?

We believe the domestic consumption demand-related sectors are the best placed to outperform. Fortunately, in India, we have a variety of such sectors like Banking, Financial Services and Insurance, Autos and ancillaries, Hospitality, Healthcare, E-Commerce and Quick Commerce, Platform Companies, etc.

Selectively, one can even play the capex and infra theme, which will need to kick in to satisfy the growing domestic demand.

Do you think inflation will not be a major concern in 2026? Do you expect the RBI to deliver a couple of rate cuts next year?

Given the aggressive rate cuts and the huge infusion of liquidity, demand for goods and services is bound to move up. This will certainly result in demand-led inflation at a later date as supplies are not able to keep pace with demand.

We believe that this scenario will play out by the end of CY26, which coincides with a low YoY base. However, that should not stop the RBI from cutting rates well into the first half of CY26 as inflation is expected to remain benign during that time period.

Do you expect demand for precious metals to remain strong even in 2026?

We have been flummoxed by the continued strength in precious metal prices. The erstwhile reasons for the strength, like geopolitical tensions, political and trade uncertainty, rising inflation, etc were well understood. But of late, these factors are easing.

The only thing supporting the rally now is the depreciating USD (against global currencies) and human greed. The former will ease out consequently, while we do not have any answers for the latter.

Do you like the quick-commerce space over the long term? Do you expect consolidation to take place, given that several players are sitting on large war chests?

We don’t like but we love the quick commerce space as this segment, given the underpenetration, is expected to see exponential growth in the near future. New players with deep pockets are bound to test the waters in such exponential growth industries, and consolidation is othe nly way forward, given that there will be failures. Established players are expected to have an inherent advantage, and heavy discounting cannot be the way forward, as it will only ensure an early crash and burn.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts on Moneycontrol.com are their own and not those of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

Daily Voice | FIIs to return in 2026: Helios’ Dinshaw Irani sees domestic consumption sectors outperform

&quot;We have no doubt that FIIs will return in 2026 as the reasons for selling are now reversing,&quot; said Dinshaw Irani, MD &amp;amp; CEO at Helios India, in an interview with Moneycontrol.

According to him, the valuations have become reasonable, and the growth rates are back. Even the main reasons - the outcome of the trade deal with the US and a confirmation on growth sustainability - are expected to be addressed by Q1CY26, he said.

Among sectors, he believes the domestic consumption demand-related sectors are the best placed to outperform. Selectively, one can even play the capex and infra theme, which will need to kick in to satisfy the growing domestic demand, he said.

Do you think the incoming Fed Chair is likely to push rates lower more aggressively in 2026?

The existing Chairman of the Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell's term is to end on May 15, 2026. A new Chairman is to be nominated by the POTUS, who has gone on record stating that he will reveal the name at the beginning of 2026. The betting counters in the US are pointing towards Kevin Hassett, his trusted economic advisor, to get nominated.

The Senate will subsequently have to confirm this nomination. The POTUS has already put one of his advisors, Stephen Miran, on the Fed Board temporarily, and he has voted for bumper rate cuts. If Hassett were to become the chair, he too would work in the same direction.

Do you believe earnings growth will pick up selectively next year, or will it be broad-based?

The marked slowdown in earnings growth started from the first quarter of FY25 and continued into the first quarter of FY26. The slowdown was a result of fiscal and monetary tightening undertaken in the previous year to control inflation, and has proved effective in controlling inflation.

However, the fiscal and monetary easing, too, which commenced in the last quarter of CY24, has been very effective in driving up consumption. Thus, we believe that domestic consumption-driven sectors will do potentially far better than export-driven companies.

Most experts believe there are enough reasons for FIIs to re-look at India. If yes, what factors are currently keeping them away from Indian markets, and do you expect them to return in 2026?

The sole reason for FIIs to move money out of the country was high valuations not being supported by adequate growth in earnings. FII exodus started in September last year with the drop in earnings growth, and since then, except for a few months, one has seen only outflows.

However, the reasons for selling are now reversing. The valuations have become reasonable, and the growth rates are back. Ideally, they should have started the buying spree, but we believe the main reasons for them to hold back are the outcome of the trade deal with the US and a confirmation on growth sustainability. Both these factors are expected to be addressed by Q1CY26. We do not doubt that they will return in 2026.

What are the top sectoral themes for next year?

We believe the domestic consumption demand-related sectors are the best placed to outperform. Fortunately, in India, we have a variety of such sectors like Banking, Financial Services and Insurance, Autos and ancillaries, Hospitality, Healthcare, E-Commerce and Quick Commerce, Platform Companies, etc.

Selectively, one can even play the capex and infra theme, which will need to kick in to satisfy the growing domestic demand.

Do you think inflation will not be a major concern in 2026? Do you expect the RBI to deliver a couple of rate cuts next year?

Given the aggressive rate cuts and the huge infusion of liquidity, demand for goods and services is bound to move up. This will certainly result in demand-led inflation at a later date as supplies are not able to keep pace with demand.

We believe that this scenario will play out by the end of CY26, which coincides with a low YoY base. However, that should not stop the RBI from cutting rates well into the first half of CY26 as inflation is expected to remain benign during that time period.

Do you expect demand for precious metals to remain strong even in 2026?

We have been flummoxed by the continued strength in precious metal prices. The erstwhile reasons for the strength, like geopolitical tensions, political and trade uncertainty, rising inflation, etc were well understood. But of late, these factors are easing.

The only thing supporting the rally now is the depreciating USD (against global currencies) and human greed. The former will ease out consequently, while we do not have any answers for the latter.

Do you like the quick-commerce space over the long term? Do you expect consolidation to take place, given that several players are sitting on large war chests?

We don’t like but we love the quick commerce space as this segment, given the underpenetration, is expected to see exponential growth in the near future. New players with deep pockets are bound to test the waters in such exponential growth industries, and consolidation is othe nly way forward, given that there will be failures. Established players are expected to have an inherent advantage, and heavy discounting cannot be the way forward, as it will only ensure an early crash and burn.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts on Moneycontrol.com are their own and not those of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

Live: Nifty extends gain to the second straight day but sees another weekly loss | Closing Bell

The equity benchmark indices gave up early gains on Friday amid profit booking at higher levels. The persistent foreign fund outflows and weakness in the rupee also weighed on investor sentiment.

In early trade, the Sensex rose 464.63 points or 0.54 percent to touch the day’s high of 85,282.76. The Nifty advanced 139.85 points or 0.53 percent to 26,038.40. However, both indices later retreated from these levels.

At around 11:15 a.m., the Sensex was at 85,118.13, while Nifty was at 25,995.05.

<a href="https://www.moneycontrol.com/india/stockpricequote/personal-care/hindustanunilever/HU" target="_blank">Hindustan Unilever</a>, Asian Paints and ITC were among the major laggards in the Nifty50 pack, declining up to 2 percent, while <a href="https://www.moneycontrol.com/india/stockpricequote/ironsteel/tatasteel/TIS" target="_blank">Tata Steel</a> and Hindalco Industries were among the top gainers, rising up to 3 percent.
<h3>Key factors behind market slide from day's high</h3>
1) Profit booking: Investors booked profits at higher levels after the markets extended their run in early trade after the previous session’s rally. On Thursday, the Sensex had gained 426.86 points or 0.51 percent to settle at 84,818.13, while the Nifty rose 140.55 points or 0.55 percent to close at 25,898.55. FMCG, IT and PSU bank stocks were among the major sectoral laggards, slipping up to 0.53 percent.

2) FII selling: Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) continued their selling streak, offloading equities worth Rs 2,020.94 crore on Thursday. This marked the 11th consecutive session of net selling.
<h3><a href="https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/stock-market-live-updates-gift-nifty-indicates-a-strong-opening-asia-trades-higher-us-mixed-liveblog-13722087.html" target="_blank">Stock Market LIVE Updates</a></h3>
3) Weak rupee: The rupee fell to a fresh record low amid a stronger US dollar and persistent foreign outflows. The local currency touched 90.56 against the dollar, breaching its earlier all-time low of 90.46 hit on Wednesday. It was last quoted at 90.46, down 0.1 percent for the day.
<h3><a href="https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/rupee-hits-fresh-record-low-of-90-55-against-us-dollar-13722448.html" target="_blank">Rupee hits fresh record low of 90.56 against US Dollar</a></h3>
<h3>Technical view</h3>
According to Anand James, Chief Market Strategist at Geojit Financial Services, the Nifty’s rise from the 25,690 zone on Wednesday met resistance near 25,900, keeping uncertainty intact over a sustained upside. He said the index may face hurdles near 26,190, and a failure to move above 25,977 or a slip below 25,854 could signal weakening momentum.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by experts on Moneycontrol are their own and not those of the website or its management. Moneycontrol advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

A financial journalist with over 10 years of experience, specialising in tracking stock market movements and fundamental developments that impact investors and the broader economy. A keen observer of global financial markets, I regularly engage with leading market voices to write stories. At Moneycontrol, I focus on decoding market trends, policy shifts and economic changes, driven by a constant passion to learn, analyse, and share knowledge with my readers.

Sensex drops over 150 pts from day's high, Nifty below 26,000: 3 key reasons behind market pullback

The equity benchmark indices gave up early gains on Friday amid profit booking at higher levels. The persistent foreign fund outflows and weakness in the rupee also weighed on investor sentiment.

In early trade, the Sensex rose 464.63 points or 0.54 percent to touch the day’s high of 85,282.76. The Nifty advanced 139.85 points or 0.53 percent to 26,038.40. However, both indices later retreated from these levels.

At around 11:15 a.m., the Sensex was at 85,118.13, while Nifty was at 25,995.05.

Hindustan Unilever, Asian Paints and ITC were among the major laggards in the Nifty50 pack, declining up to 2 percent, while Tata Steel and Hindalco Industries were among the top gainers, rising up to 3 percent.
Key factors behind market slide from day's high
1) Profit booking: Investors booked profits at higher levels after the markets extended their run in early trade after the previous session’s rally. On Thursday, the Sensex had gained 426.86 points or 0.51 percent to settle at 84,818.13, while the Nifty rose 140.55 points or 0.55 percent to close at 25,898.55. FMCG, IT and PSU bank stocks were among the major sectoral laggards, slipping up to 0.53 percent.

2) FII selling: Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) continued their selling streak, offloading equities worth Rs 2,020.94 crore on Thursday. This marked the 11th consecutive session of net selling.
Stock Market LIVE Updates
3) Weak rupee: The rupee fell to a fresh record low amid a stronger US dollar and persistent foreign outflows. The local currency touched 90.56 against the dollar, breaching its earlier all-time low of 90.46 hit on Wednesday. It was last quoted at 90.46, down 0.1 percent for the day.
Rupee hits fresh record low of 90.56 against US Dollar
Technical view
According to Anand James, Chief Market Strategist at Geojit Financial Services, the Nifty’s rise from the 25,690 zone on Wednesday met resistance near 25,900, keeping uncertainty intact over a sustained upside. He said the index may face hurdles near 26,190, and a failure to move above 25,977 or a slip below 25,854 could signal weakening momentum.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by experts on Moneycontrol are their own and not those of the website or its management. Moneycontrol advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

The equity benchmarks traded higher on Friday, extending gains from the previous session, supported by firm global cues and improved risk sentiment after the US Federal Reserve cut interest rates.

The Sensex settled 449.52 points or 0.53 percent at 85,267.66, while the broader Nifty advanced to 26,046.95, up 148.40 points or 0.57 percent.

<a href="https://www.moneycontrol.com/india/stockpricequote/ironsteel/hindalcoindustries/HI">Hindalco Industries</a>, Larsen &amp; Toubro and Tata Steel were among the top gainers in the Nifty50 pack, rising up to 2 percent, while <a href="https://www.moneycontrol.com/india/stockpricequote/personal-care/hindustanunilever/HU">Hindustan Unilever</a> and Infosys were among the major laggards, declining up to 2 percent. Market breadth remained positive as about 2324 shares advanced, 1002 shares declined and 145 shares remained unchanged.
<h3>Key factors behind market rise</h3>
1) Positive global cues: Asian indices, including South Korea’s Kospi, Japan’s Nikkei 225 and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng, traded in the green. US markets also ended mostly higher overnight, providing support to domestic equities.

2) Modi–Trump talks: Prime Minister Narendra Modi on Thursday said he spoke with US President Donald Trump, adding that they reviewed progress in bilateral ties and discussed regional and international issues. The interaction, described as "warm and engaging", came amid ongoing trade concerns and offered some reassurance to investors tracking developments on that front.
<h3><a href="https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/stock-market-live-updates-gift-nifty-indicates-a-strong-opening-asia-trades-higher-us-mixed-liveblog-13722087.html" target="_blank">Stock Market LIVE Updates</a></h3>
3) Volatility index eases: India’s volatility index declined 2.5 percent to 10.14. A lower VIX typically signals reduced market uncertainty, often encouraging traders to take on more risk and aiding overall sentiment.
<h3>Technical view</h3>
Anand James, Chief Market Strategist at Geojit Investments, said, “While the swing higher yesterday from the 25,690 vicinity was on anticipated lines, the pause on approach to 25,900 has retained some doubts on whether we have got back on to a strong upside trajectory again. We will begin the day with expectations of 26,190. Inability to push beyond and float above 25,977, or a direct fall back below 25,854, could signal loss in upside momentum.”

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by experts on Moneycontrol are their own and not those of the website or its management. Moneycontrol advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

Sensex settles 450 pts higher, Nifty ends near 26,050: Positive global cues among key factors behind market rise

Stock Market Today: Sensex gains 400 pts, Nifty reclaims 26,000 - Positive global cues among key factors behind market rise 

The equity benchmarks traded higher on Friday, extending gains from the previous session, supported by firm global cues and improved risk sentiment after the US Federal Reserve cut interest rates.

The Sensex settled 449.52 points or 0.53 percent at 85,267.66, while the broader Nifty advanced to 26,046.95, up 148.40 points or 0.57 percent.

Hindalco Industries, Larsen &amp;amp; Toubro and Tata Steel were among the top gainers in the Nifty50 pack, rising up to 2 percent, while Hindustan Unilever and Infosys were among the major laggards, declining up to 2 percent. Market breadth remained positive as about 2324 shares advanced, 1002 shares declined and 145 shares remained unchanged.
Key factors behind market rise
1) Positive global cues: Asian indices, including South Korea’s Kospi, Japan’s Nikkei 225 and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng, traded in the green. US markets also ended mostly higher overnight, providing support to domestic equities.

2) Modi–Trump talks: Prime Minister Narendra Modi on Thursday said he spoke with US President Donald Trump, adding that they reviewed progress in bilateral ties and discussed regional and international issues. The interaction, described as &quot;warm and engaging&quot;, came amid ongoing trade concerns and offered some reassurance to investors tracking developments on that front.
Stock Market LIVE Updates
3) Volatility index eases: India’s volatility index declined 2.5 percent to 10.14. A lower VIX typically signals reduced market uncertainty, often encouraging traders to take on more risk and aiding overall sentiment.
Technical view
Anand James, Chief Market Strategist at Geojit Investments, said, “While the swing higher yesterday from the 25,690 vicinity was on anticipated lines, the pause on approach to 25,900 has retained some doubts on whether we have got back on to a strong upside trajectory again. We will begin the day with expectations of 26,190. Inability to push beyond and float above 25,977, or a direct fall back below 25,854, could signal loss in upside momentum.”

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by experts on Moneycontrol are their own and not those of the website or its management. Moneycontrol advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

null out of 1 years BSE PSUBNK has given negative returns in December.

Type	R1	R2	R3	PP	S1	S2	S3
Classic	4,690.72	4,711.65	4,738.61	4,663.76	4,642.83	4,615.87	4,594.94
Fibonacci	4,682.05	4,693.36	4,711.65	4,663.76	4,645.47	4,634.16	4,615.87
Camarilla	4,674.18	4,678.57	4,682.96	4,663.76	4,665.40	4,661.01	4,656.62

INDEX CONTRIBUTION - BSE PSUBNK

Net Contribution

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