Udayan Mukherjee, Consulting Editor at CNBC TV18, explains how contrarian investing can give good returns.
The market is facing significant resistance around 11,000 on the Nifty, and is likely to consolidate in a 500-point range between 10,500 and 11,000, says Udayan Mukherjee.
In medium term, there could be far bigger headwinds for the market, said Udayan Mukherjee, Consulting Editor, CNBC-TV18
Mukherjee noted that credit issues still linger in the system and we need to be very vigilant over the next 4-6 month to ensure that some of these issues do not blow up once again.
Mukherjee said the the market's bigger worry right now is macro and that is evident from the way in which it has been ignoring strong quarterly performances from index heavyweights like TCS and Hindustan Unilever.
FIIs are selling out, but SIP inflows are supporting the market so far. If SIPs start diminishing, the market will take a significantly hit.
Udayan said the big worry among investors now is rising interest rates, as bond yields have hardened.
The market has been remarkably mature about the rupee/dollar. In part it thinks that the depreciation in the rupee versus the dollar is not as alarming as what it is in other emerging markets.
Mukherjee said there is an opportunity to make 50 percent in many of the beaten down stocks even if the stock prices don’t rise all the way till their earlier highs.
Mukherjee says the early trends of the first quarter earnings season seems to indicate that the Nifty may struggle to log a 25 percent earnings growth for this financial year. That is because there are hardly any sectors capable of delivering huge earnings surprises
I would be very surprised if pharma companies went back and made new lows or broke their lows from which the rally started, says Udayan, adding the could be over for the sector.
Not so great earnings expectations and on the margin crude oil at USD 75-76 is leading FIIs to take a more dim view of the Indian market, says Udayan Mukherjee.
Geopolitical tensions have eased a bit, but the market could continue to face global headwinds for a while, Udayan Mukherjee said in an interview with Moneycontrol.
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