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  • The fall in retail inflation in October is due entirely to the base effect Nov 15, 2022 08:56 AM IST

    The fall in retail inflation in October is due entirely to the base effect

    Overall month-on-month consumer price inflation was 0.8 percent in October, the highest monthly rise since May this year

  • Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Turnaround Time Nov 12, 2022 10:22 AM IST

    Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Turnaround Time

    A string of data sets point to inflation finally losing its bite. But is it too early to celebrate?

  • Policy focus will soon shift from inflation to growth Nov 09, 2022 09:12 AM IST

    Policy focus will soon shift from inflation to growth

    In India, strong urban consumption is expected to be soon joined by a revival of investment demand 

  • A financial stability storm could upset RBI’s optimism Oct 03, 2022 09:54 AM IST

    A financial stability storm could upset RBI’s optimism

    The central bank's optimism on domestic growth could get tested by transmission risks posed by global events on the trade and financial market fronts

  • RBI presents an optimal monetary policy Sep 30, 2022 04:13 PM IST

    RBI presents an optimal monetary policy

    There was a strongly-felt need for India to carve its own monetary policy path that would help it manage the inflation and external sector stabilisation without stalling the process of economic recovery 

  • MPC moves closer to a Neutral level and possibly a pause in early 2023 Sep 30, 2022 03:48 PM IST

    MPC moves closer to a Neutral level and possibly a pause in early 2023

    There’s room for more tightening ahead, especially as average inflation in the second half is seen at over 6 percent

  • MPC | RBI adopts a neutral tone amid clear shift to data dependency Sep 30, 2022 02:30 PM IST

    MPC | RBI adopts a neutral tone amid clear shift to data dependency

    A likely drop in inflation readings to below 6 percent after November-December 2022 suggests that additional repo hikes from the MPC are likely to be quite limited, notwithstanding the expected continued tightening by the US Federal Reserve and other major central banks

  • OECD predicts inflation will remain high in 2023, despite lower growth Sep 28, 2022 10:33 AM IST

    OECD predicts inflation will remain high in 2023, despite lower growth

    The OECD report on the economic outlook says, ‘annual inflation in 2023 will remain well above central bank targets almost everywhere.’ That is bad news

  • MPC set to raise rates by 50 bps, shift stance to Neutral and bolster support for the rupee Sep 28, 2022 08:54 AM IST

    MPC set to raise rates by 50 bps, shift stance to Neutral and bolster support for the rupee

    External risks have increased since the Monetary Policy Committee’s August meeting and the pressure on the rupee will weigh heavily on their deliberations 

  • The apocalyptic vision of Zoltan Pozsar Sep 05, 2022 09:59 AM IST

    The apocalyptic vision of Zoltan Pozsar

    The world is already in an economic war, says investment guru Zoltan Pozsar and that will mean economic security, rather than convenience or lower cost, will be the touchstone of policy. That is likely to mean higher inflation and lower growth

  • Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Shaktikanta Das refuses to pivot  Aug 06, 2022 10:21 AM IST

    Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Shaktikanta Das refuses to pivot 

    A look at the current macro readings is enough for the RBI governor not to budge and dilute his ‘withdrawal of accommodation’ stance

  • Monetary Policy Review | More rate hikes ahead Aug 05, 2022 01:24 PM IST

    Monetary Policy Review | More rate hikes ahead

    RBI is some distance away from its neutral rate

  • Does monetary policy really work? Aug 05, 2022 01:11 PM IST

    Does monetary policy really work?

    By targeting aggregate demand across the whole economy, monetary policy may be too blunt an instrument to tackle the ongoing inflationary pressures in the economy, instead adding to the already chronic high unemployment rates in the country 

  • RBI’s upbeat assessment of growth good for the stock market Aug 05, 2022 12:20 PM IST

    RBI’s upbeat assessment of growth good for the stock market

    Going forward, companies will benefit as inflation gradually comes under control. The markets are also taking confidence from the way Corporate India handled the tough inflationary challenge in the June quarter

  • RBI policy: Time to take the foot off the pedal? Aug 02, 2022 09:00 AM IST

    RBI policy: Time to take the foot off the pedal?

    When it comes to inflation, it’s not just the price of the money that matters but also the amount of the money. Amongst other things, this abundance of local and global liquidity may partly explain the prevailing rich asset valuations and stubborn global inflation, even in the face of a recessionary environment 

  • If the Fed chair doesn’t understand inflation, who does? Jul 27, 2022 09:13 AM IST

    If the Fed chair doesn’t understand inflation, who does?

    How are inflation expectations formed? Did Volcker really kill inflation, or was it the decimation of the trade unions? New research on these questions throws up interesting perspectives on inflation

  • Mohamed El-Erian writes: Central banks and markets share a secular awakening Jun 20, 2022 12:15 PM IST

    Mohamed El-Erian writes: Central banks and markets share a secular awakening

    The global economy is now facing growth disruptions, harmful inflation, greater inequality, and unsettling financial market volatility

  • The Fed’s war on inflation is also a battle for the minds of consumers Jun 17, 2022 01:20 PM IST

    The Fed’s war on inflation is also a battle for the minds of consumers

    Chair Jay Powell seems to understand that public perception matters but shaping it may be beyond his control

  • The Fed rate hike and its far-reaching consequences Jun 17, 2022 09:50 AM IST

    The Fed rate hike and its far-reaching consequences

    Inflation has become a global concern while global consumption demand is not as widespread and resilient as it has proved to be in the US. So, the situation is grimmer for countries outside the US

  • Quantitative Tightening: Going into uncharted waters Jun 15, 2022 09:13 AM IST

    Quantitative Tightening: Going into uncharted waters

    Quantitative Easing (QE) helped boost investor confidence, inject liquidity into markets and led to huge valuation gains for all asset classes. As QE is replaced by Quantitative Tightening (QT), the question is what will be the impact of the same on investor confidence, systemic liquidity and on asset valuations.

  • Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | The Outlook for Growth  Jun 11, 2022 10:01 AM IST

    Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | The Outlook for Growth 

    How will the growth trajectory shape up in days ahead? Going by the conflicting signals, there are no easy answers

  • The market see-sawed after MPC announcement. Why? Jun 10, 2022 08:56 AM IST

    The market see-sawed after MPC announcement. Why?

    Will the RBI successfully maintain the precarious balance between controlling inflation and supporting growth? 

  • RBI measures will have to be sizeable to keep yields in check Jun 09, 2022 09:39 AM IST

    RBI measures will have to be sizeable to keep yields in check

    The repo rate is likely to be hiked by another 60 basis points (bps) over the next two policy reviews, which will be rapidly transmitted by Banks to their lending and deposit rates, amidst the compression in the systemic liquidity surplus. However, the measures that are actually brought forth by the central bank to ensure the orderly completion of the Government borrowing programme, and their magnitude, would determine where bond yields settle in the coming months

  • Should markets be afraid of central bank tightening?  Jun 06, 2022 09:08 AM IST

    Should markets be afraid of central bank tightening? 

    Markets should not be overly concerned about front loaded and nimble RBI actions. The sooner we succeed in containing inflation, the better it is for long term growth

  • RBI can’t afford to take eyes off growth in the inflation battle  Jun 06, 2022 08:55 AM IST

    RBI can’t afford to take eyes off growth in the inflation battle 

    The consumer durables segment in the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) has been in contraction for six consecutive months since October 2021. Even IIP consumer non-durables have contracted for two straight months