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Zomato IPO | Stock market valuation benchmarks might have to change

The PE ratio indicator and the ‘Warren Buffett’ indicator may soon lose their relevance, especially in the context of the Indian markets 

July 09, 2021 / 15:25 IST
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While discussing the present state of affairs in the markets, especially the valuations, two statistical parameters are used most often: One, the price to earnings (PE) ratio of the benchmark (e.g., Nifty50), and two, the market capitalisation to GDP ratio (popularly known as the Warren Buffet indicator).

Both these indicators may soon lose their relevance, particularly in the context of Indian markets.

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In next couple of years a large number of new economy stocks may get listed. Many of the new economy stocks that listed earlier may get included in the benchmark indices. Obviously, the old economy stocks, especially PSU and cyclical commodity stocks will pave the way for these new economy stocks. The point here is that the new economy stocks are valued at a multiple of the revenue, not profits.

For example, it is expected that in the next Nifty reshuffle Avenue Supermart (198x PE) or Info Edge (500x PE) may replace Indian Oil Corporation (5x PE). This will obviously inflate the composite valuation of Nifty in PE ratio terms. At some point in time Reliance Retail (100x PE), Reliance JIO (150x PE), Zomato (200x PE), PayTM (150x PE) Indiamart Intermesh (80x PE), etc. shall find place in the benchmark index at the expense of Coal India (7x PE), BPCL (8x PE), NTPC (7x PE), Power Grid (9x PE). Assessment of market valuation through Nifty PE ratio would become totally meaningless at that point in time.