economy
Gold choppy as investors weigh rate hikes against recession risks
Jun 29, 09:06

Gold prices see-sawed on June 29, 2022, caught between headwinds from aggressive interest rate hikes and support from safe-haven bids spurred by growing recession risks.

Spot gold fell 0.2 percent to $1,816.19 per ounce by 02.35 pm. Prices bounced as much as 0.7 percent on data showing a contraction in the U.S. economy in the first quarter, before quickly giving up those gains and moving back into the tight range it has been in for the past few sessions.

U.S. gold futures, meanwhile, fell 0.1 percent to $1,818.80.

Gold, considered a hedge against inflation, usually benefits during economic uncertainties, but rising interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding the asset since it yields no interest.

"The slightly weaker than expected GDP numbers continue to propagate the concerns of potentially moving towards a recessionary situation. As a result, we could see a move towards safe-haven assets," said David Meger, director of metals trading at High Ridge Futures.

"However, the gold market continues to be in a push-pull situation as the Fed is strongly committed to fighting inflation," he added.

Investors also took stock of comments from Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell who said that while there is a risk that rate increases could slow the economy too much, the bigger risk was persistent inflation.

Spot silver fell 0.8 percent at $20.67 per ounce, and platinum added 0.6 percent to $915.25.

Palladium rose 2.4 percent at $1,918.94.

Recently G7 nations announced a plan to ban Russian gold imports. "It will be important to see if discussions (of ban) spill over to other precious metals, particularly palladium," UBS analyst Joni Teves wrote in a note.

"Russia accounts for over 40 percent of global palladium mine supply, while countries like the U.S. and Japan have auto industries that need palladium as an input in autocatalysts for gasoline vehicles," he added.