ICICI Direct's currency report on USDINR
Spot Currency
The rupee appreciated and moved towards its crucial support of 73 level amid broad based weakening of the dollar. A move below 73 may open the gates towards 71.50 for the US$INR in coming weeks • The US dollar index started the new year by slipping 0.3% to 89.51, the lowest level since April 2018. The ongoing weakness has propelled the fresh move in safe assets like gold.
Currency futures on NSE
The US$INR pair remained largely range bound but closed near its two-month low on the back of broader weakness in the dollar and continuous inflow from FIIs. Below 73 levels, further weakness in the currency pair can be expected • The dollar-rupee January contract on the NSE was at | 73.20 in the last session. The open interest in the January series increased marginally by 2% in the last session.
Intra-day strategy
US$INR JAN futures contract (NSE) | View: Bearish on US$INR |
Sell US$INR in the range of 73.28-73.32 | Market Lot: US$1000 |
Target: 73.10/ 73.00 | Stop Loss: 73.42 |
Support: 73.10/73.00 | R1/R2:68.25/68.45 |