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Last Updated : Mar 22, 2019 11:37 AM IST | Source:

Sell USDINR; target of 68.80 - 68.70: ICICI Direct

ICICI Direct expects USDINR to meet supply pressure at higher levels. Utilise upsides in the pair to initiate short positions.

ICICI Direct's currency report on USDINR

Spot Currency

The rupee sustained gains in the previous session as continued flows in domestic markets along with weakness in US$ aided rupee recovery. Upcoming RBI monetary policy meeting will provide cues on rupee in backdrop of rising oil prices, dovish major central banks • The dollar witnessed volatile trading sessions post the Fed monetary policy meeting. It fell sharply to 95.7 post policy meeting while again recouping from its supports and is currently at 96.3 levels. The Fed has been surprised by its dovish inclination with 2019 rate hike expectations coming to nil. Also, the Fed put a time stamp on unwinding, saying it will stop the programme by September 2019.

Benchmark yield

Sovereign benchmark treasury yields fell to 7.36% tracking muted global yields. Domestic retail inflation for February rose to 2.57% while flows in the debt segment would keep yields contained • US treasury yields fell sharply post Fed’s monetary policy meeting, which was more dovish than the market expected. Currently, the yield is at 2.54%, lowest since the second week of January 2019.

Currency futures on NSE

The dollar-rupee March contract on the NSE was at 68.87 in the previous session. March contract open interest declined 1.78% in the previous session • We expect the US$INR to meet supply pressure at higher levels. Utilise upsides in the pair to initiate short positions.

Intra-day strategy 

US$INR March futures contract (NSE)View: Bearish on US$INR
Sell US$ in the range of 69.05 -69.11Market Lot: US$1000
Target: 68.80 / 68.70Stop Loss: 69.24
S1/ S2: 68.70 / 68.50R1/R2:69.05 /69.25

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts/broking houses/rating agencies on are their own, and not that of the website or its management. advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

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First Published on Mar 22, 2019 11:37 am
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