Dolat Capital's research report on Berger Paints
Berger’s Q2FY19 revenues came in line with our estimate but EBITDA and APAT came below. The company posted better performance compared to APL on key counts – domestic sales growth ~16% and better volume growth (~15% vs 9%). We believe that the demand in the system is continuously improving and should sustain with better urban and rural demand. As ‘feel good’ factor remains with better economic conditions, mainly in the rural markets, improved macros and better monsoon would result in pent-up demand. Being the second largest player in the domestic decorative paint industry is likely to benefit more due to (1) rising distribution reach (2) strong presence in urban markets and (3) attractive product offering in all categories (4) Revision in GST rates. We expect Berger to report double digit volume growth but the margins would remain under pressure due to increase RM and currency depreciation. We have revised our estimates downward to factor in higher than expected increase in RM.
Outlook
Considering recent run up in the stock price and revision in earnings estimate we are downgrading the rating to SELL with TP of ` 286 (45x FY20E).
For all recommendations report, click here
Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts/broking houses/rating agencies on moneycontrol.com are their own, and not that of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.
Discover the latest Business News, Sensex, and Nifty updates. Obtain Personal Finance insights, tax queries, and expert opinions on Moneycontrol or download the Moneycontrol App to stay updated!
Find the best of Al News in one place, specially curated for you every weekend.
Stay on top of the latest tech trends and biggest startup news.