Buy ITC; target of Rs 320: Dolat Capital

Dolat Capital's research report on ITC

ITC’s Q4FY19 results were marginally ahead of our estimates. The cigarette business posted +9% volume growth, which was ahead of our estimate of 7%. However, decline in margins in the cigarette business is a cause for concern. Despite sluggish demand in Q4, ITC’s FMCG business delivered 7.3% increase in top-line and 100bps expansion in margin, was encouraging. We have maintained our FY20E and FY21E EPS estimates at ` 11.2 and ` 12.2, respectively. In our view, the stock is trading at a steep discount to peers and is an attractive bet.

Outlook

We value the stock at 26x PE, to arrive at a TP of ` 320. Maintain Buy. In volatile market conditions we believe that there would be some pressure on stock. Nevertheless, in the long run we maintain positive view on ITC.