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How to read the market direction? Remember ‘Chakravyuh’ in Mahabharat

The young Abhimanyu knew how to penetrate the labyrinth formation, but ultimately met his death in the ‘Chakravyuh,’ because he did not have the knowledge of its ‘exit’ strategy.

March 15, 2020 / 10:02 AM IST

William O'Neil India

Investors spend a disproportionate amount of time buying a stock, as compared to selling it. A good game plan for investing is akin to the war strategy used in the ‘Mahabharat,’ known as ‘Chakravyuh.’

The young Abhimanyu knew how to penetrate into the labyrinth formation but ultimately met his death in the ‘Chakravyuh,’ because he did not have the knowledge of its ‘exit’ strategy.

It is often said, “Only when the tide goes out, do you discover who's been swimming naked.”


As the global markets come under pressure, a strict sell-rule is what can protect you from emotional and financial stress.

Often, when the market is in a correction, three out of four stocks follow the market direction. Investors often believe that they are right in their research and approach and cling on to a stock, even if the markets turn the tide.

Selling is the key factor that determines a successful investor from others. If a sell-rule is in place, it provides a clear framework for avoiding biases and emotions to creep into your investing.

With the Indian market in a correction, do not hesitate to sell away stocks that breach your sell rules. You simply cannot afford to have a love affair with a stock, as it could become an extremely expensive affair.

Post a correction in the markets, a Rally Attempt begins after the markets cool off, and the index trades above the recent bottom for at least three consecutive sessions.

A Follow-Through Day is a solid up session, generally a 1.5 percent or higher gain, with the volume being higher than the previous day.

A follow-through session officially opens the buying season for leading stocks. Leaders often second the rally's confirmation by breaking out of bases near the Follow-Through Day.

A Distribution Day is a weak day in the market when the index closes on a higher volume by 0.2 percent or more. The number of distribution days in the market can be used to gauge the strength in the market

Most of the stocks continue to take on technical damage with many moving deeper into their respective bases and breaking below logical levels of support.

It is advisable to continue to monitor quality ideas with rising relative strength lines and superior fundamentals that could be set up to buy when and if the market begins to stabilize.

Watch closely if the Nifty holds its low of 8,555 for at least three days.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts on Moneycontrol.com are their own and not that of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

Moneycontrol Contributor

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