FIIs which turned net sellers in Indian Capital markets in August, September and October pulling out nearly Rs 60,000 crore in the last three months turned net buyers in November.
After pulling out funds from Indian capital markets for three consecutive months in August, September and October, foreign institutional investors (FIIs) turned buyers in November.
They have poured in a little over Rs 10,000 crore (equity and Debt) in Indian markets so far this month as macro concerns receded due to fall in crude oil prices and a sharp appreciation in rupee against the dollar which went below Rs 70/USD in trade on Thursday.
“With the sharp decline in crude prices, almost 30 percent in 7 weeks, the key macro headwind for India has been addressed and the same is reflected in Indian rupee (appreciating over 4.6% in November, which is the strongest recovery in Asian FX),” Pankaj Pandey, Head-Research, ICICIdirect.com told Moneycontrol.
“With crude price outlook fading on excess supply concerns and the US Fed adopting a slightly dovish tone, strong EM stories have started to make a comeback. India is stacked well in current set up and FIIs are likely to renew their focus on Indian markets,” he said.
Pandey further added that India continues to offer one of the highest positive real rates (accretive Bond Inflows) and equity market has also cooled off falling more than 10 percent from its record high in January 2018 and looking more compelling based on forward growth projections.
US Federal Reserve's dovish outlook also helped money to flow into riskier assets. One big factor that will act in favour of India is the earnings growth. HSBC analysts said MSCI India EPS (earnings per share) growth consensus expectations — of 18.8 percent in 2018 and 24 percent in 2019 — pegs India as one of the fastest growing markets across the region.
FIIs turning net buyers in the Indian market also boosted some of the FII-heavy stocks. As many as 44 stocks in the S&P BSE 500 index, where FIIs hold more than 10 percent stake, have rallied 10-50% so far this month.
Stocks that witnessed rally include Adani Transmission (up 50%), followed by PNB Housing (up 28%), PC Jeweller (up 2%), Pidilite Industries (up 22%), BPCL (up 21%), Future Consumer (up 19%), VIP Industries (up 18%), and Kajaria Ceramics (up 17%). The table shows top 21 stocks from the list:
“It is indeed pleasant to see FIIs turning net buyers of Indian equities in November and the hope is that the trend would continue. As of now, data seems to suggest that a large part of the inflows is on the account of emerging market ETF flows of which India, too, is a beneficiary,” Shibani Kurian, Sr. Vice President and Head of Equity Research, Kotak Mahindra Asset Management Company (KMAMC) told Moneycontrol.“In a scenario wherein risks are emerging to the global growth outlook, India does stand out with fairly stable expectations on GDP growth. Further, post the recent correction in the markets, valuations are not as stretched as before,” she said.