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Last Updated : Sep 13, 2015 01:55 PM IST | Source:

Crude oil futures - weekly outlook: September 14 - 18

Crude oil futures - weekly outlook: September 14 - 18 - - Crude oil futures fell sharply on Friday, after Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) lowered its forecast for oil prices amid ongoing concerns over a global supply glut.

Influential Wall Street investment bank Goldman Sachs lowered its 2016 forecast for U.S. crude to $45 a barrel from $57 previously, and Brent to $49.50 from $62, citing oversupply and concerns over China's economy.

"The oil market is even more oversupplied than we had expected and we forecast this surplus to persist in 2016," Goldman said in a note to investors.


On the New York Mercantile Exchange, crude oil for delivery in October dropped $1.29, or 2.81%, to end Friday's session at $44.63 a barrel.

Losses were limited amid indications U.S. oil drillers are cutting back on production following a collapse in prices over the summer.

Industry research group Baker Hughes (NYSE:BHI) said late Friday that the number of rigs drilling for oil in the U.S. decreased by 10 last week to 652, the second straight weekly decline.

For the week, New York-traded oil futures lost $1.19, or 3.08%, as worries over the health of the global economy added to the concerns that a global supply glut may stick around for longer than anticipated.

Crude oil prices have been under heavy selling pressure in recent months, as ongoing concerns over a glut in world markets drove down prices.

Global oil production is outpacing demand following a boom in U.S. shale oil production and after a decision by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries last year not to cut production.

Elsewhere, on the ICE Futures Exchange in London, Brent for October delivery fell 75 cents, or 1.53%, to close at $48.14 a barrel. London-traded Brent futures lost $1.13, or 2.96%, on the week, amid fears of a China-led global economic slowdown.

Meanwhile, the spread between the Brent and the WTI crude contracts stood at $3.51 a barrel by close of trade on Friday, above Thursday's level of $2.97.

Data released Sunday showed that China's industrial production increased at an annual rate of 6.1% in August, disappointing expectations for a 6.4% gain.

A separate report showed that fixed asset investment also fell short of forecasts, indicating that China needs to act to prevent a further slowdown in the economy.

The Asian nation is the world's second largest oil consumer after the U.S. and has been the engine of strengthening demand.

China's slowing economy and global market volatility have created fresh uncertainty over whether the Federal Reserve will hike interest rates when it meets next week.

The turmoil in markets began when China unexpectedly devalued the yuan on August 11, sparking fears that the economy may be slowing at a faster than expected rate.

In the week ahead investors will be eyeing Thursday's critical Fed policy announcement. Key U.S. data on inflation and retail sales ahead of the Fed's decision will also be in focus. has compiled a list of these and other significant events likely to affect the markets. The guide skips Friday as there is no relevant data on this date.

Monday, September 14

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Counties will publish its monthly assessment of oil markets.

Tuesday, September 15

The U.S. is to publish data on retail sales, industrial production and manufacturing activity in the New York region, while the American Petroleum Institute, an industry group, is to publish its weekly report on oil supplies.

Wednesday, September 16

The U.S. is to publish figures on consumer price inflation as well as a weekly government report on crude oil inventories.

Thursday, September 17

The U.S. is to release reports on jobless claims, building permits and housing starts, and manufacturing activity in the Philadelphia region.

Later in the day, the Federal Reserve is to announce its latest monetary policy decision at the conclusion of its two day meeting.

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First Published on Sep 13, 2015 01:55 pm
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