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Last Updated : Oct 13, 2019 08:43 AM IST | Source: Moneycontrol.com

3-week-tight pattern on chart indicates an extra ‘buy’ point post breakout

According to the O’Neil methodology, there were two follow-up entry points after the tight area formation. After both instances, the stock gave good returns

Moneycontrol Contributor @moneycontrolcom

William O’Neil India

If a stock progresses well, you may want to increase the holding of that stock in your portfolio. In such cases, to take a follow-up entry can be a smart move.

At William O’Neil, we analyze how the best growth stocks behaved soon after a strong breakout. It was observed that if a true market leader with top-notch fundamentals holds firm near a certain price level for at least three straight weeks, it can give the investor a chance to add shares ahead of another solid price run.

Close

At the outset, look for a base pattern formation, including the cup-with-handle, double bottom, flat base, and base-on-base. If the breakout is healthy, you should establish a full-size position in the stock.

Generally, the follow-up buy should not be a full-size position; you may add 10–20 percent of your original position. If you buy the same number of shares as the first purchase, your average cost will go up dramatically.

This leaves you more vulnerable to a loss if the stock pulls back to its buy point. So be happy with a small addition.

One element of a good base is its narrow-range trading action -- both in the size of its swings from high to low and how it closes. A stock that closes at Rs 500 one week, Rs 430 the next, and Rs 490 a week later is not showing price tightness.

Market players are revealing mixed views about the company's future. This can lead to false rallies. After a strong breakout, if shares close at nearly the same price as in prior weeks, a light bulb should shine inside your head.

This behavior suggests that the overall demand for the stock is exceptionally high. If the difference between each weekly close exceeds 1.5 percent, the three-week-tight pattern likely has flaws.

The time to add shares is when the stock climbs above the highest price in the tight pattern, ideally in strong weekly volume. You might also find a lower buy point where the stock faced an area of upward resistance.

Not all three-week-tight patterns work. A sudden spate of bad economic or corporate news can drown a stock in sellers. So could a major market top. Also, some three-week-tight patterns stretch to four weeks.

In the chart, you can see that in January, the stock broke out of a double-bottom base. Later, with its quarterly results above consensus, management remained positive on future growth and its growth story remained intact.

According to the O’Neil methodology, there were two follow-up entry points after the tight area formation. After both instances, the stock gave good returns.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts on Moneycontrol.com are his own and not that of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

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First Published on Oct 13, 2019 08:43 am
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